Jake Odorizzi (53.5% owned ESPN)
Tues, May 24 @ MIA
Odorizzi has a career FIP of 1.22 against the current roster of the Marlins. He gets the luxury of playing in a big-time pitcher’s park in MIA this week and should be able to suppress some damage. The Marlins are 26th out of 30 teams in the month of May in runs scored while maintaining a team BABIP of .326 in that time. That doesn’t quite correlate. They are getting a lot of balls in play but can’t seem to get runners to cross home plate on those hits. They are absolutely missing Dee Gordon right now. Not only does Odorizzi get a Gordon-less lineup, he might also get a Yelich-less lineup, and that's even better. Yelich has really been the only guy that has hit righties exceptionally well this year for the Marlins. I like Odorizzi against this team that has barely seen him. He is projected 8 K/9 and a sub-4.00 ERA by ZIPS and Steamers for the rest of the season. It’s almost hard to believe actually, that he’s only owned in half of leagues. This start should prove 53.5% of you guys have it right.
Steven Wright (58% owned ESPN)
Wed, May 25 vs COL
Wright has been a serious revelation this season. The Boston knuckler is sporting a 2.52 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and a respectable 3.27 FIP. Although he hasn’t pitched phenomenally well at home, I can see the law of averages working out here as he gets a decent-at-best offense to go up against. No one on the Rockies has seen his knuckle-ball yet. That in itself is a huge advantage.
Whether you play in a league that counts W or QS, I think Steven Wright comes out with both. The Sox are lava-hot and look like they cannot be beat at home. I expect Wright to go at least 6 innings if not 7 or 8 like he has three times in eight of his starts. Not including the fact that he’s gone 6.2 innings in two of those eight as well. Meaning: 5 of his 8 starts have gone 6.2 innings or longer. This looks to be a good matchup again for him.
Junior Guerra (5.6% owned ESPN)
Wed, May 25 @ATL
Whenever someone shuts down the Cubbies with 11 K over 7 and only yields 5 hits, we have to pay attention. Guerra did just so back on 5/19. For those of you who don’t know Guerra, he is an above average K/9 guy that is really being trusted right now by Craig Counsell early on in his career. The Brewers have let Junior Guerra pitch 6 innings or more in all four of his starts. He gets a great match-up against a poopy-hitting Braves team who is sporting a .228/.284/.331 slash-line in the month of May. He looks like a lock for a QS and a good amount of Ks.
Adam Conley (32.1% owned ESPN)
Fri, May 27 @ ATL
Continuing the vs-ATL trend…
Adam Conley has made this streamer report a few times in the past and makes it once again. The Braves continue to stink it up in 2016: tied with PHI for least amount of runs scored and dead last in team wOBA at .274. Yikes.
Conley’s stuff is magical. The big lefty works with a heater that can touch 96 and uses his nasty change-up that is ranked 11th in the league by Pitch Value to strike out many of opponents. Conley has a nice SwStrk% of 11 and the Braves have a dull K% of 24 on the season vs LHP. I think Conley is in line for a huge uptick in Ks again this week.
Michael Fulmer (6.2% owned ESPN)
Fri, May 27 @OAK
Fulmer had himself a great game last week: 7IP, 4H, 1ER, 1BB, 11K. The most impressive fact to take away from his gem was he did it against a fire-hot Rays who are quietly the 2nd best wRC+ team in May. They trail only the Red Sox in that category.
On Friday, Fulmer gets what you might call an easier of a match-up in Oakland. The A’s have reaaaaaaally struggled all year against RHP and own a sub-.300 wOBA vs them. And although Fulmer has put up some ugly games prior to his most recent, he still owns a beautiful xFIP of 3.14 and SIERA of 3.28. His BABIP is at .400 and that will surely plummet. He’s a very talented pitcher who was one of the main pieces in the Yo Cespedes trade between the Mets and Tigers. I have him owned in deeper leagues, but he without a doubt has the talent to be owned in shallower ones. The youngling just needs some more IP and experience under his belt to really shine. Keep an eye on Fulmer in case he fully breaks out.