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The best pitching option for me today is David Price ($9,400). Price has had his price drop because of a terrible ERA but has excellent peripherals and one of the best matchups possible today. Price moves to a more pitcher friendly NL park without the DH against a vile Braves lineup that cannot hit for power, and their best hitter, Freddie Freeman, appears to be struggling to regain his form after dealing with wrist issues last year and somewhat again this spring. Price's 7.06 ERA is partially because he's only stranding 56% of his baserunners, a number that will normalize towards 72-74% as the season goes on. He is striking out 33% of the batters he faces with a 6% walk rate with a 16% swinging strike rate, two of which are elite peripherals. A game against the Braves in a National League park is a great remedy to get his season back on track.
The Blue Jays are facing a lefty in Rogers Centre, which normally would make a fantasy owner's eyes pop, but unfortunately that lefty is Chris Sale, the best non Kershaw lefty in the game. I'm not touching any Blue Jays hitters today.
The Pirates are in Coors Field, and at least one option right now sticks out as a good value. David Freese ($3,400) has hit LHP to a 132 wRC+ for his career with a .165 ISO, and he's been batting third in the Pirates order. Jorge de la Rosa opposes him, a below average lefty.
A player whose price raises eyeballs is Miguel Cabrera ($3,400). Cabrera was off to a terrible start before last night, but he hit to an elite level last year, is one of the greatest hitters of his generation, and unless he was playing through some sort of injury, that price screams good value even if he's slumping. His huge night last night brought his season wRC+ from miserable 63 to a solid 116, showing the volatility of small sample statistics early in the year. Cabrera faces LHP Rich Hill, who is mysterious and there isn't a lot of data on but has struggled with his command against righties this year.
Brad Miller ($2,000) appears to be a pretty decent punt play for a fantasy owner in need of salary relief. Miller is priced at the FD minimum of $2,000, and has above average numbers for a shortstop vs RHP. Miller has hit them to a 107 wRC+ and .168 ISO for his career, about 20% better than the MLB average wRC+ for SS. Miller hit 6th yesterday and faces Ubaldo Jimenez, who has been below average vs LHB the last 2 seasons and has a tough time keeping them off base, allowing a 12% walk rate and .350 OBP.
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