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I previously posted my first Steamer based ranking on Fanpost, about a week ago. I'm planning turn this into a weekly series. I will update a new ranking every Sunday night, so please check back periodically if you are interested.
Before we start, I want to stress that this ranking includes zero percent of my person opinion (except the comments of course). I strictly used the Steamer's Remainder of the Season projection, and the rankings are based on the relative value of each player's projected stat. Position scarcity is also a huge factor, so a catcher will be ranked higher than a first baseman with the same projection.
I won't go into detail about how I calculate the player values, but the basic idea is that I separate them into position groups and sum up the categorical standard deviation.
The ranking assumes Yahoo! Standard 5x5 rotisserie league, and LF, CF, and RF are grouped separately. If you are in a league simply using OF, this ranking could be misleading. The projection stats are up to date as of 4/23/2016 (4/24/2016 Sunday games are not included). So, let's begin.
Rank |
Rank Change |
Player |
Pos |
Projected Value |
Value Chg |
Comment |
1 |
+1 |
Manny Machado |
3B,SS |
$ 59 |
+$ 4 |
SS with 6 HR and almost .400 to start the season? I am not sure what you can ask for more. |
2 |
-1 |
Mike Trout |
CF |
$ 55 |
Finally starts to heat up. No one worried about him in first place anyway. |
|
3 |
+3 |
Jose Altuve |
2B |
$ 50 |
+$ 2 |
Looks like he is turning in to a true 5-cat middle infield Fantasy monster. |
4 |
+3 |
Bryce Harper |
CF,RF |
$ 49 |
+$ 4 |
Did he take over Trout's spot as the top baseball player? |
5 |
-1 |
Clayton Kershaw |
SP |
$ 49 |
+$ 1 |
He just keeps dealing. |
6 |
-3 |
Paul Goldschmidt |
1B |
$ 48 |
-$ 3 |
Still struggling in the early going. We may see him stealing less bases this year, but he should be fine otherwise. |
7 |
-2 |
Carlos Correa |
SS |
$ 47 |
-$ 2 |
Power's down from last year, but still the best offensive SS in the league regardless. |
8 |
= |
Buster Posey |
C,1B |
$ 44 |
-$ 1 |
His .271 AVG is very disappointing, which says enough about our sky high expectation on the former MVP. |
9 |
= |
Anthony Rizzo |
1B |
$ 44 |
+$ 1 |
Forget about his BA. His high OBP and HR tell more about him, and his AVG will easily bounce back as his BABIP normalizes. |
10 |
= |
Mookie Betts |
CF,RF |
$ 40 |
+$ 1 |
He won't maintain his 18.2% HR/FB, but he is a Fantasy superstar no matter what. |
11 |
+1 |
Starling Marte |
LF,CF |
$ 40 |
+$ 3 |
At age 27, this could be his best year, and his teammates are helping him as well. |
12 |
+1 |
Nolan Arenado |
3B |
$ 38 |
+$ 2 |
Back to back 40HR season doesn't seem to be out of reach. |
13 |
-2 |
Kris Bryant |
3B,RF |
$ 37 |
He has been catching up. Not that he has been terrible. |
|
14 |
+3 |
Miguel Cabrera |
1B |
$ 35 |
He is struggling at the plate, especially with the power, but we are talking about Miggy here. |
|
15 |
-1 |
Max Scherzer |
SP |
$ 35 |
-$ 1 |
Panic time? He is still throwing hard enough, so let's give him some time. |
16 |
+5 |
Andrew McCutchen |
CF |
$ 35 |
+$ 1 |
His BA is lowest among the Pirates hitters. It's just a reminder that it's still April. |
17 |
+3 |
Xander Bogaerts |
SS |
$ 34 |
+$ 1 |
The minor injury can't take anything away from this dynamic SS. |
18 |
= |
Chris Sale |
SP |
$ 33 |
-$ 1 |
His K's down, but his owners aren't complaining. |
19 |
-3 |
Giancarlo Stanton |
RF |
$ 32 |
-$ 3 |
He is testing his owners' patience, but he is more than capable to reward them in a big time. |
20 |
-1 |
Justin Upton |
LF |
$ 32 |
-$ 2 |
Very high K% to start the season, but we all know his raw talent. |
21 |
+21 |
Ryan Braun |
LF,RF |
$ 32 |
+$ 11 |
Big jump as he gains LF eligibility. He has been producing as well. |
22 |
-7 |
Charlie Blackmon |
LF,CF |
$ 31 |
-$ 5 |
Closing to return. He should better be ready to make our wait worthwhile. |
23 |
+1 |
Robinson Cano |
2B |
$ 31 |
+$ 2 |
His enhanced power (more fly balls) is costing him a few points in BA, but his owners will gladly take that trade. |
24 |
-1 |
Josh Donaldson |
3B |
$ 30 |
+$ 1 |
JD fans, please don't be mad at me. I'm just a delivery boy, and Steamer thinks his BA will regress (to be fair, his BABIP is 40 points higher than his career avg.) |
25 |
= |
Francisco Lindor |
SS |
$ 28 |
+$ 1 |
Looks like he isn't going to repeat his power number from last year, but he is still a high quality bat among SS. |
26 |
+33 |
Andrew Miller |
RP |
$ 28 |
+$ 10 |
I'm powerless in front of Steamer's unconditional love towards this lanky lefty. Steamer thinks he is getting 19 more SVs this year, which is pretty unlikely, but we know he is one of the best RPs in the game. Just take his rank as a grain of salt. |
27 |
= |
Dee Gordon |
2B |
$ 28 |
+$ 1 |
Numbers are down little, but no reason to doubt his blazing wheels. |
28 |
-6 |
Jose Abreu |
1B |
$ 28 |
-$ 2 |
His issue is the low BABIP, so his BA won't stay low for long. Just don't expect his freshman year's power numbers. |
29 |
+4 |
Noah Syndergaard |
SP |
$ 27 |
+$ 4 |
The hottest pitcher on earth. Only an injury can stop his scorching heaters. |
30 |
-2 |
Madison Bumgarner |
SP |
$ 27 |
Long balls have been an issue since the Spring Training, but AT&T Park is the best place to offset the concern. |
|
31 |
-5 |
David Price |
SP |
$ 27 |
-$ 1 |
His velocity is still down, but his FIP and K-BB are kept telling us to calm down. |
32 |
-3 |
Jake Arrieta |
SP |
$ 26 |
+$ 1 |
I know you guys are ready to rip me apart with this one, but the truth is that his K is down and FIP is up from last year. He is also getting some help from low BABIP so far. Regardless, he is still one of the best pitchers in the game. |
33 |
+1 |
Christian Yelich |
LF,CF |
$ 26 |
+$ 3 |
He is a hell of a baseball hitter, but his skills might not translate to Fantasy completely. He reminds the younger days of Denard Span (except the defense). |
34 |
+4 |
Corey Kluber |
SP |
$ 26 |
+$ 3 |
His ERA is up, but he is still exactly same pitcher from last year. He just carved up the Tigers, and we should expect to see that a lot more. |
35 |
+6 |
Carlos Gonzalez |
RF |
$ 25 |
+$ 4 |
He is on a mission to erase any pre-season concerns. But if he plays well, it only makes easier for the Rockies to trade him away. |
36 |
+7 |
Kenley Jansen |
RP |
$ 24 |
+$ 4 |
You may not agree with Andrew Miller's ranking with Steamer, but you won't cast any doubt on this former catcher's ability to close games. |
37 |
+3 |
Stephen Strasburg |
SP |
$ 24 |
+$ 3 |
He looks like one of the best pitchers on the planet whom we have been waiting for, but his K's down and groundball's up. That says, he is no longer the most exciting guy to own, and his ERA benefited from low HR so far. |
38 |
+7 |
Eric Hosmer |
1B |
$ 24 |
+$ 4 |
Hosmer isn't a power guy, but not many 1Bs are delivering HRs in the early going anyway. 1Bs are filled with aging name brands this season, and he is one of the few young guys meeting their expectations. He could be a sneaky top 5 1B this season. |
39 |
-9 |
Jose Fernandez |
SP |
$ 24 |
-$ 1 |
His BB rate is doubled since last year. He is still an electric K producer, and his ERA will come down sooner or later, so hold on tight. |
40 |
-5 |
Yasiel Puig |
RF |
$ 23 |
He may not be a great HR hitter, but he should hit more than this. |
|
41 |
-5 |
Chris Davis |
1B,RF |
$ 23 |
He is already doing what he is expected to do. High HR, OBP, K, and low BA. |
|
42 |
-10 |
Joey Votto |
1B |
$ 22 |
-$ 1 |
He is walking less than ever by far, but we all know how talented this guy is. |
43 |
+7 |
Ian Kinsler |
2B |
$ 22 |
+$ 3 |
A quick start to the season. Even at age 33, he looks like the exact same guy we've known for a long time. |
44 |
+8 |
Jon Lester |
SP |
$ 22 |
+$ 3 |
He has been little lucky with his ERA, but another quality season backed up by the league's most formidable lineup is on deck. |
45 |
-14 |
J.D. Martinez |
RF |
$ 22 |
-$ 1 |
He is still improving as a hitter. He is more patient at the plate than ever, and his K-BB looks amazing as a result. He is not crushing the balls yet, but no reason to doubt his raw power. |
46 |
+1 |
Zack Greinke |
SP |
$ 22 |
+$ 2 |
He has bounced back after two rough starts to the season. He would still be a top quality starter, but he is very unlikely to replicate his Dodgers number. |
47 |
-8 |
Todd Frazier |
3B |
$ 22 |
He still clears the wall and steals the base. He isn't supposed to hit for average, but he can do better than .200. |
|
48 |
-11 |
Jason Heyward |
CF,RF |
$ 22 |
-$ 1 |
Continue to be a great real world ball player. |
49 |
-5 |
Prince Fielder |
1B |
$ 22 |
+$ 1 |
Can't be this cold forever, but he is getting struck out more, and he doesn't roll grounders for hits anymore, and his flies stay inside the park. |
50 |
-4 |
Adam Jones |
CF |
$ 22 |
+$ 1 |
He is walking more this season, which isn't the best news for his owners. |
51 |
-2 |
Gerardo Parra |
LF,CF,RF |
$ 21 |
+$ 1 |
Hasn't really enjoyed his new home field yet, but the good news is that he is still running. As long as he runs, the other stuff will be taken care of by the Coors. |
52 |
+9 |
George Springer |
CF,RF |
$ 21 |
+$ 3 |
He is 4 for 1 in SB department, but otherwise making his owners very happy. |
53 |
+9 |
Yoenis Cespedes |
LF,CF |
$ 20 |
+$ 3 |
He is doing his best to shut up all the regression polices on the internet |
54 |
-3 |
Carlos Carrasco |
SP |
$ 20 |
+$ 1 |
This projection numbers were pulled up before his DL trip. He still has chance to have a great rest of the season once he comes back. |
55 |
+3 |
Jacob deGrom |
SP |
$ 20 |
+$ 2 |
He is back from his child birth and minor injury, and he is ready to rock and roll. |
56 |
+14 |
Rougned Odor |
2B |
$ 20 |
+$ 4 |
His R/RBI has been carrying his value so far this season. He better starts to swing better to keep his value though. |
57 |
NEW |
Trevor Story |
SS |
$ 20 |
He has cool down little as of late, but his HR/SB upside will keep moving him up the ladder throughout the season. |
|
58 |
-10 |
Jose Bautista |
RF |
$ 20 |
Same old Bautista keep printing those same numbers. |
|
59 |
-6 |
Jonathan Lucroy |
C,1B |
$ 19 |
He is one of those few catchers who can hit. |
|
60 |
-4 |
David Peralta |
LF,RF |
$ 19 |
+$ 1 |
His current numbers are closer to 2014's than amazing 2015's as expected, but those numbers are good enough to contribute for most of us. |
61 |
+7 |
Johnny Cueto |
SP |
$ 19 |
+$ 3 |
He is enjoying his new home with career low HR/FB. |
62 |
+5 |
Daniel Murphy |
1B,2B,3B |
$ 19 |
+$ 3 |
He just won't stop hitting. Leads the majors in BA. |
63 |
-6 |
David Ortiz |
1B |
$ 19 |
Can't expect more from this 40-yr-old king of consistency. |
|
64 |
+13 |
Craig Kimbrel |
RP |
$ 18 |
+$ 3 |
It hasn't been his best season, but we all agree that he will be one of top closers for the rest of the way. |
65 |
= |
Matt Carpenter |
2B,3B |
$ 18 |
+$ 2 |
He is mildly struggling, but still gets on base as a leadoff. |
66 |
+21 |
Mark Trumbo |
1B,LF,RF |
$ 18 |
+$ 3 |
Looks like the slugger finally found his home. His BA is unreal, but there's nothing fake about his power. |
67 |
+28 |
Josh Harrison |
2B,3B,LF,RF |
$ 18 |
+$ 5 |
His 13 HRs back in 2014 look fluky at this point, but he still does everything else. Don't forget his great eligibility. |
68 |
-4 |
Miguel Sano |
3B,RF |
$ 17 |
+$ 1 |
He has failed to impress us yet, but at least playing little better lately. |
69 |
+14 |
Gerrit Cole |
SP |
$ 17 |
+$ 3 |
He is one of the few ace pitchers hasn't disappointed us this year. |
70 |
+3 |
Salvador Perez |
C |
$ 17 |
+$ 2 |
His decent power and durability isn't something to overlook in the C group. |
71 |
+19 |
Byung-ho Park |
1B |
$ 17 |
+$ 4 |
He is at least proving his power. I personally think Steamer's 5 SB projection based on his Korea number is way too generous, and he sits every interleague game. High K and low BA risk, and his teammates aren't helping him. |
72 |
+4 |
Adrian Beltre |
3B |
$ 17 |
+$ 2 |
He is still one of the best 3Bs in the league, in both offense and defense. Staying on field is the most challenging part for the 37-year-old. |
73 |
-13 |
Ben Revere |
LF,CF,RF |
$ 17 |
-$ 1 |
He is on the shelf, but closing to come back. Many owners will be happy to bring his Fantasy friendly numbers back. |
74 |
-2 |
Adrian Gonzalez |
1B |
$ 17 |
+$ 1 |
At 33, he plays more game than anybody, and he is a sure bet for .275 20HR. |
75 |
-20 |
Hanley Ramirez |
1B,LF |
$ 17 |
-$ 1 |
After a hot start, he has cooled down. He will still do little bit of everything, but just don't expect too much from this former number one Fantasy player. |
76 |
-13 |
Edwin Encarnacion |
1B |
$ 17 |
He has been better than many other aging 1B companions, but we expect more than 2 HRs from him. |
|
77 |
-11 |
Freddie Freeman |
1B |
$ 17 |
+$ 1 |
It's hard to believe that this former top prospect could have peaked already. He is only 26 and his numbers are declining every year. |
78 |
NEW |
Dellin Betances |
RP |
$ 17 |
The best non-closing reliever without a question. |
|
79 |
+17 |
Melky Cabrera |
LF |
$ 17 |
+$ 4 |
He is probably unowned in a lot of the league. He still does little bit of everything, but you should probably opt out for a higher ceiling / more exciting player. |
80 |
-5 |
Anthony Rendon |
2B,3B |
$ 16 |
+$ 1 |
He is not offering any category juice this year. Is this guy already becoming irrelevant at age 25? |
81 |
+7 |
Brian Dozier |
2B |
$ 16 |
+$ 2 |
It's not easy to optimistic about a Twins guy hitting below .200, but he is a great bet for another 20-10 in HR-SB. |
82 |
-28 |
Matt Harvey |
SP |
$ 16 |
-$ 2 |
We are starting to think that there really could be something wrong with him. The truth is, he wasn't even that dominant last year. |
83 |
-14 |
Nelson Cruz |
RF |
$ 16 |
He might not hit .300 again, but he is on track to put up another 30 HR .270 season at minimum. |
|
84 |
-4 |
Dallas Keuchel |
SP |
$ 16 |
+$ 1 |
He hasn't been terrible, but he also hasn't pitched like a reigning CY Young winner either. His low K makes him difficult to put him as the top Fantasy SP. |
85 |
+1 |
Elvis Andrus |
SS |
$ 16 |
+$ 2 |
He hasn't stolen any bag this year, but he is averaging over .300. He doesn't have any untapped upside, but he can contribute as long as his labeled as SS. |
86 |
-12 |
Lorenzo Cain |
CF |
$ 15 |
He is still one of the most valuable CFs in the real game, but he is having tough time repeating his last year's offensive numbers. |
|
87 |
+11 |
Jason Kipnis |
2B |
$ 15 |
+$ 3 |
He is somehow maintaining his extremely high BABIP from last year but hitting lower BA. His K% is at career high. These are some early sell high signals. |
88 |
NEW |
Wil Myers |
1B,CF |
$ 15 |
If he can finally stay healthy, this former number one prospect can finally deliver at age 25. |
|
89 |
+8 |
Jacoby Ellsbury |
CF |
$ 15 |
+$ 2 |
He won't hit enough HRs to be a top OF again, but he is still versatile, and Yankees stadium can inflate his power number little too. |
90 |
-12 |
DJ LeMahieu |
2B |
$ 15 |
|
He has been carrying extra value as he has been hitting at the leadoff spot while Blackmon is on shelf. |
91 |
NEW |
David Robertson |
RP |
$ 15 |
His K rate has been disappointing, but surprisingly the White Sox has been winning. |
|
92 |
+7 |
Zach Britton |
RP |
$ 15 |
+$ 3 |
The lefty continues to revive his career as a top closer in the league. |
93 |
-22 |
Kyle Seager |
3B |
$ 15 |
-$ 1 |
He is mightily struggling at the plate now, but he has always been a streaky hitter. He is tough to keep in the roster, but he will deliver in the end. |
94 |
-13 |
Chris Archer |
SP |
$ 15 |
His uncharacteristic 7.32 ERA is not something to overlook. His FIP is 5.76, and his velocity is down. He should still be better than this at least as his abnormal HR number regresses. |
|
95 |
-4 |
Billy Hamilton |
CF |
$ 15 |
+$ 1 |
We thought he hit the rock bottom with his .226 BA last year, but apparently he had more room to suck. He can't steal base if he can't reach 1B. |
96 |
-17 |
Albert Pujols |
1B |
$ 15 |
Is this the end of the Great Pujols? |
|
97 |
NEW |
Jean Segura |
2B,SS |
$ 15 |
The desert is treating him well. His BA can't stay that high, but he could be a steal of the year if he can keep up with his power. |
|
98 |
NEW |
Masahiro Tanaka |
SP |
$ 14 |
Forget about his declined velocity, elbow issue, and Yankees stadium. He is talented enough to overcome everything. |
|
99 |
-6 |
Gregory Polanco |
RF |
$ 14 |
+$ 1 |
He is the key part of the dynamic Pirates lineup, but not a superstar. |
100 |
NEW |
Aroldis Chapman |
RP |
$ 14 |
The most dominant closer in the game will be moving up this rank as his return nears. |
Fallouts: Matt Kemp, Brian McCann, Alex Gordon, Felix Hernandez, J.T. Realmuto, Marcus Semien, Kevin Pillar
On the Bubble: Michael Brantley, Trevor Rosenthal, Corey Seager, Brett Gardner, Matt Holiday