Reminder: Always double-check lineup cards before lock to make sure your players are playing. Also, check the weather to make sure the game you stacked isn't postponed due to rain. Or snow, because apparently that's still a thing in April.
FanDuel has tweaked their scoring for 2016. Check that out here.
Coors Field of Dreams
Another day of baseball in Colorado means fireworks are bound to happen. As of Saturday night the run total for this game has DROPPED a half a run to 11.0, as Tyson Ross and Chad Bettis prepare to do battle. FanDuel pricing is NOT soft on the hitters in this game, with the likes of Jon Jay ($3,200) and Melvin Upton ($3,200) seeing major price increases. Ryan Raburn is at $3,200 and the once-great Mark Reynolds is $2,900. You get the idea. If you want Coors you are going to have to pay up for it. And you should have to, based on the performance of Matt Kemp on Saturday night (3 for 5 with 2 HR and 6 RBI as of the 8th inning).
I was going to tout Yangervis Solarte as a potential target due to his preferred split being on the road against right-handed pitchers, but Solarte sustained a leg injury on Saturday night and the words "disabled list" were bandied about. So make sure you check the news on Solarte tomorrow, but he's sounding very doubtful. I didn't love his price anyway, but I liked that he would probably hit near the top of the San Diego lineup and was far less costly than Josh Donaldson or Nolan Arenado, two of the big studs at the position.
***NOTE*** Tyson Ross has been placed on the disabled list and James Shields gets the start today. Left-handed hitters fared much better than right-handers in 2015, with a triple slash of .278/.368/.522 and a .380 wOBA.
Why Not Toronto Instead?
Whereas some of the crappy Padres hitters are priced up due to park factors, the Toronto Blue Jays are priced similarly because they are actually good. Kevin Pillar ($3,100) is leading off for the best offense in baseball and costs $100 less than platoon-specialist Ryan Raburn. I'll take my Pillar, please. Similarly, Joey Bautista is only $100 more expensive than Matt Kemp. Another stud, Mookie Betts, is $300 less than Kemp. No effort to disparage Kemp here--I like him more than most--I just don't understand the big need to get every Coors bat I can, especially when Toronto has a game at home against Steven Wright. Wright is a knuckleballer and won the #5 job for Boston after a strong spring (2.77 ERA in six games). But he does not scare me away from Josh Donaldson and company. Nolan Arenado might make sense if you decide to attempt a lineup with both Toronto and Colorado bats, as Arenado is $200 cheaper than Donaldson. But good luck with your starting pitcher if you go that route.
Your Cash Game Pitcher, According to "Vegas"
A quick look at Vegas lines will show you that King Felix Hernandez opened up as a -170 favorite. At the time of this writing (Saturday night) he is a -200 favorite at home. His opponent? Chris Bassitt and the Oakland Athletics. I do believe in Stephen Vogt. But I do not believe tomorrow is the day to believe.
Superman is > than Batman
And Matt Harvey is on my very short list of players never to trust. Seriously. Every time I roster him, he implodes. Tomorrow, Harvey is a -260 favorite against the Phillies. The run total is a measly 6.5. The numbers say he should be the cash game pitcher of the day. But I'll take my King Felix instead. Enjoy the imminent no-hitter, Mets fans. You are welcome.
Blake Swihart ($2,200) plays a pain-in-the-you-know-what position to fill and is almost at the site minimum. He's in a hitter's haven and in a game with a 9.5 run total. The only downside is a slot at the bottom of the Boston lineup. But if the youngster gets on base at all he'll be delivering some value for a super-cheap price.
Kansas City hitters against Ricky Nolasco are enticing. The Royals shutout the Twins on Saturday night, 7-0. These guys are stellar as a group, and are a cheap way to ensure yourself SOME points,which is what we are after in cash games. Nolasco allowed a .407 wOBA to right-handed hitters in 2015, but that was a small sample size of 18.1 innings. In 2014, he allowed a .355 wOBA to righties, which is bad. That didn't come close to the .396 mark he allowed to left-handed hitters. I am all over Eric Hosmer ($3,200), Mike Moustakas ($2,900), and Alex Gordon ($2,500) as a cheap way to get exposure to a pitcher who probably shouldn't have a job in the MLB still.
Stud of the Day
Can you tell I like the BOS/TOR game today in lieu of the Colorado game? Give me David Ortiz as my stud of the day against Marco Estrada. Papi nailed two home runs against Estrada in 2015, and it only took him three games to do so. I like the Red Sox offense to keep on rolling come Sunday. They'll need to do so in order to keep pace with Toronto. Big Papi should be at the heart of it all, yet again.
Good luck on this fine Sunday. I realize my takes are more qualitative in nature, so feel free to share any shiny numbers or statistics in the form below.