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Fantasy Hockey Mid-Point Trends and Pretends 18.0 (NHL Power Rankings)

Over the hump of the season trends. What to trust, what to watch out for. Which star players should be dropped/held/picked up?

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

We are just over 64% of the way into the 2015-2016 NHL season.

Struggling stars:
Removing the name from the reality. We are late enough in the season that if someone isn't producing it's time to be done with it. Case and point is Sidney Crosby, he's finally showing what one would expect. So the purpose of this article isn't to be on the front line of what guys to let go of, chances are most of these guys have already been dropped. The question is, was it right to be dropped and should they be targeted/picked up for a strong push towards the elusive Championship down the stretch.

1. Mark Streit (49% owned) - Once the 50 point scoring defensemen his age is now catching up with him. Specifically, the coach of the Flyers is ushering in the newer younger players and Streit is on the second line alongside Nick Schultz while Michael Del Zotto and Shayne Gostisbehere are on the top line. Through 33 games he has 11 points as compared to 52 last year and 44 the year before that, his shots are down, his power play points are down and he's going to be seeing less and less ice. I'm selling this stock.

Mark Streit

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

PHI

81

9

43

52

-8

36

144

6.3

4

26

0

0

0

22:22

34:51:00

'15-'16

PHI

33

4

7

11

0

8

51

7.8

1

3

0

0

1

21:26

64:19:00

2. Nick Foligno (66% owned) - He finished last year with 73 points which was 26 points higher than any previous season. His shooting percentage was a mere .8% higher than the previous year but he has seen considerable success in shooting percentage while in Columbus. The biggest spike was power play points. His previous high was 10 power play points and he neted 26 last year.  He is still on the power play unit and has 10 power play assists but has yet to net a goal. His shooting percentage is down around 5.6% (down from 17 % 16.2% over the last two seasons). His TOI is down 2 minutes this year and he lost his connection with Ryan Johansen in the trade. The Blue Jackets will naturally start winning as they always do in February when they are out of the playoff run but the goal production is coming much more from Alexander Wennberg, Brandon Dubinsky and Boone Jenner as of late. Finally he has had off and on injuries this season and I'm not convinced he's 100% healthy. No lofty expectations through the remainder of the year for Nick. I'm selling this stock.

Nick Foligno

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

CBJ

79

31

42

73

16

50

182

17

11

15

0

0

3

18:50

20:23

'15-'16

CBJ

46

6

20

26

-7

32

107

5.6

0

10

0

0

0

16:50

29:47:00

3. Patrick Marleau (79% owned) - He's been rather up and down over the last few seasons but is likely on the down slide of his career. It's ok he's 36, this is natural. His TOI is normal, his game winning goals are normal, his shots on goal are actual high as are his shooting $ but the biggest adjustment to me is the line combinations. Rather than playing alongside Joe Pavelski or Joe Thornton or Logan Couture or Tommy Wingels, he's stuck on the second line with Matthew Nieto and Joel Ward who have a combined 43 points and -19. This is a player who has scored at least 30+ assists in 6 of his last 7 years and is on pace to not reach that this year (the one year he didn't was the shortened year). Expect more of the same from Patrick Marleau through the remainder of the year, he could finish below 50 points. I'm selling this stock.

Patrick Marleau

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

SJ

82

19

38

57

-17

12

233

8.2

7

17

0

0

4

0.816

1.17

'15-'16

SJ

52

16

17

33

-16

6

131

12.2

6

11

0

0

4

0.825

1.3

4.  Joe Thornton (82% owned) - Speaking of 36 year olds I am actually going to switch it up with Joe. On the top line with Joe Pavelski and Thomas Hertl, Thornton could reach 75+ points by year end. His faceoff wins have declined steadily but his time on ice is steady, Power Play Points is steady, Shots on goal is slightly below pace but his shot percentage is up, he's +17 and is showing more aggressive play this year. Finally when you dig into his shot attempts for vs. against (a deviation of CORSI) he ranks in the top 4 among centers. I feel like he is playing the Monty Python version of "I'm not quite dead yet" this season and I'm on board. Buy this stock.

Joe Thornton

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

SJ

78

16

49

65

-4

30

131

12.2

4

18

0

0

0

18:25

22:07

'15-'16

SJ

52

12

34

46

17

42

83

14.5

6

10

0

0

4

18:35

21:01

5. Ondrej Palat (49% owned) - Fresh off back to back 50+ points seasons, a part of the Triplets line is off to a measely 16 points through the start of this season. He has only played 33 games due to an ankle injury that sidelined him for almost 20 games. Tampa Bay is heating up but he is not with only 3 points in the last 7 games. Everything is pointing to sell but he is now on the top line with Vladislav Namestnikov and Steven Stamkos. I'm on a hold status with him.  I'm on board over the next month where he plays San Jose, Winnipeg, Carolina, Arizona, Toronto, Philadelphia and Ottawa but then I'm quite bearish on the last part of the year where they play: NYI, NYR, Florida and Montreal. He is not a fantasy playoff assets. Sell for the playoffs.

Ondrej Palat

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

TB

75

16

47

63

31

24

139

11.5

3

8

1

1

5

17:26

20:45:00

'15-'16

TB

33

6

10

16

1

4

61

9.8

1

3

1

0

2

17:24

35:53:00

6.  Jaden Schwartz (55% owned) - 23 year old Jaden off back to back 50+ point seasons returns after a fractured ankle. He will be coming back late this week/early next week. I'm on board, I think he could have a very solid remainder of the year. Through his whole career he's been an excellent scorer and with TJ out, he could see bonus Power Play and top play time. The team as a whole is 4th in man games lost to injury so as healthy players come back they will make a strong push down the final stretch.  Buy this stock!

Jaden Schwartz

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

STL

75

28

35

63

13

16

184

15.2

8

8

0

2

4

18:15

21:43

'15-'16

STL

7

0

4

4

4

2

15

0

0

0

0

0

0

17:25

30:29:00

7. Radim Vrbata (39% owned) - The 34 year old Czech product has had 50+ point seasons 3 of the last 4 (only one that wasn't is the NHL shortened season). He scored 30 goals last year with 7 game winning goals. While he spent some time with the Sedin twins last year he is with Bo Hovart and Sven Baertschi this year which has shown an uptick with their stats but has brought his down some. He remains on the top Power Play unit but Vancouver as a whole is seeing less success on the power play. He will continue to get his power play points but will not reach the 50 point marker this season. Additionally he is a -23 (he's never been the best two way player). I'm selling this stock.

Radim Vrbata

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

VAN

79

31

32

63

6

20

267

11.6

12

11

0

0

7

16:37

20:50

'15-'16

VAN

52

11

11

22

-23

12

172

6.4

4

4

0

0

0

16:23

38:43:00

8. Sean Monahan (68% owned) - I have been and will continue to be a big Monahan fan. He plays alongside Johnny Gaudreau who is a future star of the league. He will get you faceoff wins and his scoring touch is improving each year. Their power play points as a whole are down but he should see right around 60 points again this year. He hit a dry spell in January but he has 6 points in the last 3 games. Last year he went strong down the stretch with 28 points in the last 26 games. If he is available in your league - Buy this stock!!

Sean Monahan

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

CGY

81

31

31

62

8

12

191

16.2

10

9

1

1

8

19:37

25:38:00

'15-'16

CGY

51

16

19

35

-1

10

121

13.2

3

5

0

0

2

19:35

28:32:00

9. Mark Stone (70% owned) -  He had 64 points last year and is up to 41 already this year. Why he is not owned by 1/3 of leagues is beyond me. His TOI is up from last year, his Shots on Goal are up, his % is still strong, he is on pace to score almost 20 power play points, the only negative is his plus minus at -12. With that said, he is a +5 through his last 5 games with 8 points as well. Finally, he's a RW which is notoriously a tough position to find. A 65 point RW should be owned in all leagues. Buy this stock!

Mark Stone

SEASON

TEAM

GP

G

A

PTS

+/-

PIM

SOG

%

PPG

PPA

SHG

SHA

GWG

TOI/G

PROD

'14-'15

OTT

80

26

38

64

21

14

157

16.6

5

8

1

0

6

17:01

21:17

'15-'16

OTT

53

16

25

41

-12

28

105

15.2

4

8

0

1

1

20:08

2:02

10. Frederik Andersen (62% owned) - 35 wins last year but he has seen fewer starts this year behind Gibson who is seeing much more playing time. They have been fairly equal in their ups and downs this year but John has 4 shutouts to none by Frederik. I think both can be quality goalies but while the committee continues he should be treated as such. If you are going day by day and need a filler for a day, he'll work well but if you need  a starting goalie, then Sell this stock.

Frederik Anderson

SEASON

TEAM

GP

GS

TOI/G

W

L

T

OTL

GA

GAA

SA

SV

SV%

SO

'14-'15

ANA

54

53

57:31:00

35

12

--

5

123

2.38

1436

1313

0.914

3

'15-'16

ANA

28

24

52:44:00

11

8

--

5

56

2.28

703

647

0.92

0

11. Ryan Miller (78% owned) - It was touch and go for a bit there as to whether Ryan Miller would still be the Vancouver starter by year end but he seems to be grasping back onto the job. He's had a poor last 30 days with 2 wins and 4 loses as the Canucks as a whole have struggled losing to the Blue Jackets, Flames, Predators, Penguins and Rangers. He has a tendency to come back strong down the stretch especially in March so he could have a bullish February and March with an excess of home games vs. road games. Buy this stock.

Ryan Miller

SEASON

TEAM

GP

GS

TOI/G

W

L

T

OTL

GA

GAA

SA

SV

SV%

SO

'14-'15

VAN

45

45

56:29:00

29

15

--

1

107

2.53

1198

1091

0.911

6

'15-'16

VAN

36

36

59:48:00

12

15

--

8

93

2.59

1110

1017

0.916

1

12. Kari Lehtonen (59% owned) - Dallas seems to have lost their faith in Lehtonen as they play Anti Niemi more and more. Since the turn to 2016, Niemi has played  10 of the 15 games vs. Kari's 5 games. Niemi had 4 wins and 6 loses to Kari's 2 wins and 3 loses. For a while Kari was good for a win during each start but they are in a bad slide much like the Canadiens and it's unclear when the ship will right itself. In the forseeable future I am selling. He will not see 20 wins this year which is tough compared to 4 out of 5 seasons with 30+ wins (the one shortened season again breaking that up). Sell this stock.

Kari Lehtonen

SEASON

TEAM

GP

GS

TOI/G

W

L

T

OTL

GA

GAA

SA

SV

SV%

SO

'14-'15

DAL

65

65

56:53:00

34

17

--

10

181

2.94

1875

1694

0.903

5

'15-'16

DAL

24

22

51:19:00

14

5

--

0

58

2.83

634

576

0.909

1

Power Rankings

Week 2/9/2016

Bleacher Report

ESPN

Fox Sports

CBS Sports

Average

vs. last week

Anaheim Ducks

12

4

9

14

9.75

23.50

Arizona Coyotes

23

22

21

22

22.00

15.75

Boston Bruins

9

9

8

10

9.00

11.25

Buffalo Sabres

30

26

28

27

27.75

22.50

Calgary Flames

25

28

24

26

25.75

29.25

Carolina Hurricanes

17

17

18

18

17.50

25.50

Chicago Blackhawks

1

1

2

2

1.50

6.50

Colorado Avalanche

18

18

17

17

17.50

27.50

Columbus Blue Jackets

29

29

29

30

29.25

24.75

Dallas Stars

3

10

10

3

6.50

2.00

Detroit Red Wings

10

12

11

9

10.50

14.50

Edmonton Oilers

27

27

30

29

28.25

29.75

Florida Panthers

5

5

4

5

4.75

18.50

Los Angeles Kings

4

6

6

4

5.00

6.25

Minnesota Wild

20

23

22

20

21.25

12.00

Montreal Canadiens

21

21

23

19

21.00

2.25

Nashville Predators

14

16

16

16

15.50

11.50

New Jersey Devils

16

15

15

15

15.25

16.00

New York Islanders

13

13

12

12

12.50

13.25

New York Rangers

8

8

14

7

9.25

5.50

Ottawa Senators

24

20

19

23

21.50

8.50

Philadelphia Flyers

19

19

20

21

19.75

23.75

Pittsburgh Penguins

11

11

7

11

10.00

13.50

San Jose Sharks

15

14

13

13

13.75

9.00

St. Louis Blues

7

7

5

6

6.25

4.00

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

3

3

8

5.00

18.25

Toronto Maple Leafs

28

30

27

28

28.25

27.00

Vancouver Canucks

26

25

25

24

25.00

20.25

Washington Capitals

2

2

1

1

1.50

1.75

Winnipeg Jets

22

24

26

25

24.25

21.00