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With the World Series participants now decided (how awesome will that be), we continue down the 2017 projection path. Earlier this week we projected Ray's Top 20 First Base Players for 2017. As was mentioned at that time, it's very early. The projections shown below are subject to change as rosters are built and playing time is awarded. For an example of the process I use for my Jr Circuit Projections, you can read my rundown of Trea Turner's 2017 projection.
It is important to note that while a set of projections might add up to a dollar value when converted using a variety of methods that would rank a certain player above another, that doesn't necessarily mean the projection is correct and the updated ranking is incorrect. With a ranking things such as consistency and the odds of more or less playing time can be the difference between one spot in a ranking list and another. When converting projections straight over to dollar values, this can be lost at times. Using both projections and rankings from your favorite sources is an ideal way to build an appropriate expectation level for the coming season.
As always, please share any thoughts or questions in the comments below.
Ray's Rank | Name | Team | LG | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
1 | Jose Altuve | Astros | AL | 705 | 17 | 96 | 78 | 39 | 0.331 | 0.378 | 0.491 |
2 | Brian Dozier | Twins | AL | 700 | 34 | 106 | 87 | 16 | 0.252 | 0.331 | 0.448 |
3 | Robinson Cano | Mariners | AL | 690 | 28 | 92 | 91 | 2 | 0.299 | 0.353 | 0.492 |
4 | Daniel Murphy | Nationals | NL | 575 | 18 | 75 | 82 | 6 | 0.311 | 0.354 | 0.502 |
5 | Jean Segura | Dbacks | NL | 680 | 13 | 85 | 57 | 30 | 0.284 | 0.324 | 0.411 |
6 | Rougned Odor | Rangers | AL | 650 | 27 | 81 | 86 | 10 | 0.265 | 0.302 | 0.475 |
7 | Ian Kinsler | Tigers | AL | 665 | 21 | 103 | 82 | 12 | 0.289 | 0.338 | 0.460 |
8 | Trea Turner | Nationals | NL | 685 | 18 | 97 | 64 | 44 | 0.291 | 0.340 | 0.455 |
9 | Jason Kipnis | Indians | AL | 665 | 16 | 87 | 66 | 16 | 0.279 | 0.347 | 0.441 |
10 | Dustin Pedroia | Red Sox | AL | 590 | 12 | 78 | 59 | 5 | 0.301 | 0.361 | 0.428 |
11 | Matt Carpenter | Cardinals | NL | 685 | 26 | 103 | 83 | 3 | 0.276 | 0.377 | 0.495 |
12 | Jonathan Schoop | Orioles | AL | 620 | 23 | 71 | 72 | 2 | 0.256 | 0.288 | 0.431 |
13 | Dee Gordon | Marlins | NL | 660 | 2 | 87 | 37 | 58 | 0.285 | 0.318 | 0.363 |
14 | Javier Baez | Cubs | NL | 540 | 17 | 56 | 63 | 13 | 0.243 | 0.288 | 0.395 |
15 | Ben Zobrist | Cubs | NL | 605 | 15 | 86 | 64 | 6 | 0.274 | 0.370 | 0.436 |
16 | DJ LeMahieu | Rockies | NL | 625 | 8 | 90 | 61 | 16 | 0.315 | 0.375 | 0.437 |
17 | Devon Travis | Blue Jays | AL | 500 | 13 | 61 | 61 | 5 | 0.265 | 0.306 | 0.429 |
18 | Jedd Gyorko | Cardinals | NL | 445 | 20 | 44 | 56 | 1 | 0.235 | 0.296 | 0.417 |
19 | Starlin Castro | Yankees | AL | 590 | 16 | 58 | 68 | 4 | 0.273 | 0.308 | 0.416 |
20 | Brandon Phillips | Reds | NL | 575 | 11 | 65 | 63 | 11 | 0.285 | 0.319 | 0.398 |