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Fantasy Hockey: Weekly Forecaster 10/10-10/16

Look for an offensively charged start from the Sharks

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Weekly NHL Forecaster 10/10 -€” 10/16

I did this piece last year and it seemed to work fairly well. I spent the offseason tweaking it and improving it to better provide you with information.

Changes this year. Instead of ranking the goals for and goals against for the home and away teams I'm using advanced stats to do the work for me. This year I am using the average of CORSI For on the teams schedule home and away to tell me if this is going to be a shot filled week. The graph below is sorted from the most offensively oriented weeks to the least offensively oriented. To put it in a nutshell, if you want goals scored -€” look at the top teams.

Advantages to this: it takes out some of the noise with home vs. away and teams that are riding hot streaks and goes directly for games where a lot of shots are being fired on net.

Disadvantages: This will not account for a team that truly holds higher shooting averages. That is tough to know until the season is well underway though and I will do some PDO analysis to identify which teams those are as the season progresses.

Team

Weekly CORSI

Mon, Oct 10

Tue, Oct 11

Wed, Oct 12

Thu, Oct 13

Fri, Oct 14

Sat, Oct 15

Sun, Oct 16

SJ

54.05

0

0

@ LA

0

0

vs CLS

0

LA

53.5

0

0

vs SJ

0

@ PHI

0

0

COL

52.6

0

0

0

0

0

@ DAL

0

DAL

52.55

0

0

0

@ ANH

0

vs COL

0

ANH

52.5

0

0

0

vs DAL

0

vs PIT

vs NYI

DET

51.7

0

0

0

vs TB

0

vs FLA

0

TB

51.7

0

0

0

@ DET

0

@ NJ

0

NSH

51.6

0

0

0

0

@ CHI

vs CHI

0

CAR

51.5

0

0

0

vs WPG

0

0

vs VAN

MON

51.5

0

0

0

vs BUF

0

vs OTT

0

WPG

51.45

0

0

0

@ CAR

0

vs MIN

0

CHI

51.35

0

0

@ STL

0

vs NSH

@ NSH

0

OTT

51.3

0

0

@ TOR

0

0

@ MON

0

NYI

51

0

0

0

vs NYR

0

vs WAS

@ ANH

PIT

51

0

0

0

@ WAS

0

@ ANH

0

ARI

50.6

0

0

0

0

0

@ PHI

0

PHI

50.6

0

0

0

0

vs LA

vs ARI

0

TOR

50.4

0

0

vs OTT

0

0

@ BOS

0

WAS

50.25

0

0

0

vs PIT

0

@ NYI

0

STL

49.85

0

0

vs CHI

@ MIN

0

@ NYR

0

MIN

49.55

0

0

0

vs STL

0

@ WPG

0

BOS

49.5

0

0

0

vs CLS

0

vs TOR

0

BUF

49.5

0

0

0

@ MON

0

0

vs EDM

CLS

49.5

0

0

0

@ BOS

0

@ SJ

0

CGY

48.45

0

0

vs EDM

0

@ EDM

vs VAN

0

EDM

48.45

0

0

@ CGY

0

vs CGY

0

@ BUF

NYR

48.45

0

0

0

@ NYI

0

vs STL

0

VAN

48.1

0

0

0

0

0

@ CGY

@ CAR

FLA

46.2

0

0

0

@ NJ

0

@ DET

0

NJ

46.2

0

0

0

vs FLA

0

vs TB

0

Traditionally I will put in a few names that could have fortunate weeks but for week 1, I'd rather watch a few games and get a feel for how various players are doing.