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Reminder: Always double check the lineup card before rosters lock to make sure that a player you've chosen to roster is playing that day, and check the weather to make sure your players won't get rained out of their game.
Hitting
Mets lefties vs Matt Wisler
Wisler has been woefully ineffective vs lefties this year. He has faced 202 left handed batters and has allowed a hideous .358/.460/.639 slash (1.099 OPS) with a 7.88 FIP, 14% walk rate and strikeout rate under 9%. Some very productive Mets lefties stick out as bargain prices:
Michael Conforto ($2,700)
Conforto hit another home run last night to increase his slash line to .285/.363/.540 with a .255 ISO and 8 HR, facing mostly right handed pitching. Conforto has fantastic pitch selection, plate discipline and power, and hits to all fields. I think he projects as a #3 hitter as early as next season. He is a stud, and I absolutely love his game.
Curtis Granderson ($3,400)
Granderson, the leadoff hitter vs RHP, has clobbered righties this year to a 152 wRC+ and .224 ISO and is an on base machine, posting an OBP just under .400 vs RHP. Wisler's 14% walk rate vs LHB makes Granderson getting on base multiple times look likely to happen.
Lucas Duda is priced modestly at $3,200 but he has had an up and down year and is coming off a back injury not too long ago, so he isn't the slam dunk play that he would have been earlier in the year.
Jose Altuve ($3,400), Carlos Correa ($3,500) vs Hector Santiago
Both Altuve and Correa have crushed LHP this year (Altuve 163 wRC+, Correa 141 wRC+) and get a home matchup against an average to below average LHP, depending on what metrics you use. For Correa in particular, Santiago has allowed a a 55% fly ball percentage vs righties this year, making dingers more likely for an electric bat like Correa.
Coors Field
LHP JA Happ pitches for the Pirates against LHP Chris Rusin. The Rockies have not been good against LHP this year, and Happ has been fantastic since joining the Pirates. That said, Coors Field is a different animal, and any hitter can have an explosive fantasy game at any time because of the ridiculous park effects. Lefty masher Wilin Rosario is back up to the big leagues and will likely be playing 1B today against the lefty, but is not really a bargain price; he's $4,000, and I thought he would be slotted lower because of his hiatus. Francisco Cervelli is one of the lower priced Coors hitters today at $2,900; he's hit LHP to a 158 wRC+ in a smallish sample of about 100 PA this year. Andrew McCutchen is obviously the best Pirates play, but he's very expensive at $5,200. Josh Harrison is priced modestly at $3,300 and has hit LHP to an average 101 wRC+ in 100 PA this year, but it has come with little power.
Pitcher
Danny Salazar ($9,100) and his 26.5% K% against a strikeout prone vs RHP Twins lineup looks like an appealing second tier priced play. The Twins have the 8th highest K% vs RHP at 21.2% and only really have one big threat in the lineup against righties, Miguel Sano. On the year, the Twins rank 27th in wRC+ vs RHP, although Sano not entering the lineup until July skews that to some degree. Salazar's opposition is Ervin Santana, a below average pitcher.
The Braves offense has been anemic since the All Star break, ranking last in wRC+ at 77. Logan Verrett is mediocre, but might be a decent low cost play at $6,300 because of the matchup. The Mets should score plenty of runs against Matt Wisler and Verrett only has to go 6 innings with decent run prevention and the win to be a worthwhile start.
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