After an exciting Week 1, we move into Week 2, which looks to be a lot more predictable at first look. There are a few burning questions relating to quarterbacks, most notably how successful Andrew Luck can be while TY Hilton is out and if this is just a slump for Peyton Manning. Plus, how much of the values of Tony Romo and Eli Manning depend on the health of their star receivers, and what should we expect going forward from Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota?
Let’s check out how the five streaming recommendations panned out last week.
Week 1 Finish: 22
What happened: This was disappointing from a fantasy angle, as Miami’s dink-and-dunk offense prevented Tannehill from taking advantage of a vulnerable Washington defense.
Week 1 Finish: 2
What happened: Palmer was excellent, and ended up being my most-owned passer in DFS. I probably should have had him higher in the ranks given the players I used him over.
Week 1 Finish: 20
What happened: I took the wrong end of Winston and Marcus Mariota, so hopefully you didn’t go all-in on Winston. He has a great chance to bounce back this week against the Saints.
Week 1 Finish: 9
What happened: He was somewhat better in the real game than in fantasy, unless you stacked him with Tyler Eifert. Still, it was a top 10 performance from a quarterback available in most leagues.
Week 1 Finish: 14
What happened: Most of his value came from the long touchdown to Percy Harvin, but you were likely content with what you got out of him.
Streamers for Week 2
Carson Palmer vs. Chicago Bears
While Palmer’s ownership has increased, he is still a free agent in many fantasy leagues, and is likely to return to the top 10 quarterbacks this week.
Joe Flacco vs. Oakland Raiders
While the results from Week 1 against Denver were not encouraging, Flacco has a cakewalk of a matchup with Oakland, which allowed Dalton to walk right over it. Still, he’s too risky for me in shallower leagues.
Colin Kaepernick vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The 49ers were conservative against Minnesota in Week 1, but Kap should get more of a leash against a Pittsburgh defense that Tom Brady destroyed. Regardless of Brady’s success, the Steelers are a weak defense and Kaepernick has intriguing upside.
Andy Dalton vs. San Diego Chargers
I’ll go back to the well with Dalton, who faces a Charger defense that picked off Matt Stafford twice last week but was nothing special last year. It’s not nearly as much of a slam-dunk as it was last week, but Dalton should be fine this week as a streamer.
Nick Foles vs. Washington Redskins
The Washington defense was excellent in Week 1 against Miami, but I think part of that was Miami’s playcalling. Cornerback Chris Culliver is out, although Bashaud Breeland returns from suspension to man the slot. Foles was surprisingly competent against the fearsome Seahawks defense (albeit one that was missing Kam Chancellor), so he could be in for a big week against a weaker secondary.
I'm not too strict with my ranks, so please don't be either. The gap between a lot of these players is so small there's no reason to fret about what looks to be a poor rank. For the column '2014 Pass Defense Rank', I used numberFire's Adjusted Defensive Pass Net Expected Points per Play, which adjusts for strength of schedule and measures how good a pass defense was on a per-play basis. You can learn more about Net Expected Points here.
|Rank||Name||Team||Opponent||2014 Pass Defense Rank|
|1||Drew Brees||New Orleans Saints||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||31|
|2||Andrew Luck||Indianapolis Colts||New York Jets||21|
|3||Matt Ryan||Atlanta Falcons||New York Giants||22|
|4||Russell Wilson||Seattle Seahawks||Green Bay Packers||15|
|5||Aaron Rodgers||Green Bay Packers||Seattle Seahawks||3|
|6||Carson Palmer||Arizona Cardinals||Chicago Bears||27|
|7||Matt Stafford||Detroit Lions||Minnesota Vikings||18|
|8||Sam Bradford||Philadelphia Eagles||Dallas Cowboys||24|
|9||Tony Romo||Dallas Cowboys||Philadelphia Eagles||20|
|10||Peyton Manning||Denver Broncos||Kansas City Chiefs||9|
|11||Tom Brady||New England Patriots||Buffalo Bills||2|
|12||Joe Flacco||Baltimore Ravens||Oakland Raiders||25|
|13||Colin Kaepernick||San Francisco 49ers||Pittsburgh Steelers||26|
|14||Philip Rivers||San Diego Chargers||Cincinnati Bengals||5|
|15||Andy Dalton||Cincinnati Bengals||San Diego Chargers||24|
|16||Ryan Tannehill||Miami Dolphins||Jacksonville Jaguars||16|
|17||Eli Manning||New York Giants||Atlanta Falcons||28|
|18||Ben Roethlisberger||Pittsburgh Steelers||San Francisco 49ers||14|
|19||Nick Foles||St. Louis Rams||Washington Redskins||32|
|20||Cam Newton||Carolina Panthers||Houston Texans||1|
|21||Marcus Mariota||Tennessee Titans||Cleveland Browns||6|
|22||Teddy Bridgewater||Minnesota Vikings||Detroit Lions||10|
|23||Jameis Winston||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||New Orleans Saints||29|
|24||Alex Smith||Kansas City Chiefs||Denver Broncos||7|
|25||Tyrod Taylor||Buffalo Bills||New England Patriots||13|
|26||Jay Cutler||Chicago Bears||Arizona Cardinals||11|
|27||Ryan Fitzpatrick||New York Jets||Indianapolis Colts||13|
|28||Kirk Cousins||Washington Redskins||St. Louis Rams||12|
|29||Blake Bortles||Jacksonville Jaguars||Miami Dolphins||19|
|30||Johnny Manziel/Josh McCown||Cleveland Browns||Tennessee Titans||30|
|31||Brian Hoyer/Ryan Mallett||Houston Texans||Carolina Panthers||8|
|32||Derek Carr/Matt McGloin||Oakland Raiders||Baltimore Ravens||17|