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Keeper League Trade Dilemma: Trading Kris Bryant and Nolan Arenado

Ray is agonizing over going for it or sitting tight with some cheap keepers in one of his NL only keeper leagues.

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

I have a fantasy baseball keeper league trade dilemma.

It happens any year when I, or any other keeper league owner, am in the money and looking to go for it all. I currently reside in third place in the UBA NL only keeper league, nine points out of second and 12.5 points out of first. In addition, I am only two points ahead of the fourth place team. Here are the current standings:

Mutts - 85 pts

Wooden Badgers - 82 pts

Rays - 73 points

Silver Tongues - 71 pts

In any other season, 73 points would probably win the league, but this season is not any season…..and I am not sure why. The league is very top heavy this season, and I can gain points in wins and saves, which could get me to second place……but who remembers the second place winner?


Anyway, here are the two trade offers I am pondering. I can gain points in wins and saves, but somehow have to maintain status quo in the hitting categories. It won't be easy.

I hope the two owners don't get upset about me posting their offers on this site, but I wouldn't be doing so if I wasn't seriously pondering them.

Trade 1

I give up: $15 L1 Nolan Arenado, 2nd round pick in farm draft, two middle relievers

I get: $5 S1 Carlos Martinez, $7 S1 Tyson Ross, $10 S2 Yangervis Solarte (or some other filler)

Trade 2

I give up: $5 S2 Kris Bryant, $5 S2 J.P. Crawford, $10 S2 Daniel Descalso, $10 0 Juan Lagares, $10 S2 Rafael Betancourt, $4 S2 Aaron Barrett

I get: $9 S2 John Lackey, #13 S2 Lance Lynn, $22 S2 Ryan Howard, $21 S2 Jimmy Rollins, $15 0 Dominic Brown, $49 S2 Giancarlo Stanton

I wouldn't make either deal individually, and would make either both of the deals or neither deal.

Sitting Tight

If I sit tight and hope to stay in third place, or at the worst fourth place, I go into 2016 with the following roster:

$5 S1 Maikel Franco

$5 S1 Kris Bryant

$15 0 Nolan Arenado

$12 S1 Norichika Aoki

$24 S1 Kenley Jansen

$15 L2 Ken Giles

$6 S1 Arodys Vizcaino

$15 L2 Jake Arrieta

$1 0 Brett Anderson (assuming he stay in the NL)

And possibly $26 0 Jonathan Lucroy

J.P. Crawford

Two minor league picks

Go for it

If I go for it, and trade some cheap keepers for the four starters listed above, I need the following to happen:

Home runs: current in 2nd, two teams within 6 home runs from me. I need to maintain my second place standing, and possibly move up to first, but I am 13 home runs behind the leader

Wins: I am six wins from five more points in the in category, but would gain six points on the Mutts as he is one of the teams I hope to pass.

Saves: I am 14 saves from four more points in saves, and 19 saves from gaining five points in the save category. Realistically, I think I can gain at least four points in the saves category, but would need all the stars to align to gain more.

I am leaning toward not making either deal, but the thought of going for it is very compelling to me. That said, giving up those keepers for second place would be a disappointment.

What should I do?