Just like in the award winning book and movie, "Moneyball", fantasy football is all about finding players that people overlook for various reasons. Finding these undervalued players essential to creating a good fantasy football team. Undervalued in fantasy terms is drafting players that should be drafted higher than their ADP.
What happened to the days where Kaepernick was considered a future elite fantasy QB? Currently people think Kaepernick is a low end QB2 and I don’t know why. In his first full season as a starter, Kaepernick finished 9th among QBs. Last year Kaepernick finished 17th. What was the difference between 2013 Kaepernick and 2014 Kaepernick? That would be rushing touchdowns. In 2013 Kaepernick ran for 4 TD’s, but in 2014 he only ran for 1 TD. Had he matched his 2013 totals, Kaepernick would had finished right behind Philip Rivers for 13th. So Kaepernick was close to being a solid QB option. Why I think he will improve is that the new coaching staff has said that they want to get Kaepernick more involved with the running game. He is also likely to improve because of the loss of Frank Gore. With Gore gone, the niners will rely on Kaepernick to carry most of the offensive workload. Another reason is the acquisition of Torrey Smith will help Kaepernick throw the ball deep and get him an increase in yards. Kaepernick is currently being drafted in the 13th round as a low-end QB2. I would draft him in the 11th as a high-end QB2 with QB1 upside.
After a disappointing 2014 season ended early with a leg fracture the Chargers took Melvin Gordon with the 15th pick. Gordon is expected to carry most of the workload, so why should you draft Woodhead? Woodhead should be a late-round pick because, Gordon who has incredible talent, is unlikely to be the 3rd down back because he is an unproven pass protector and catcher. This is great news for Woodhead, as he retains his 3rd down job from which he finished in 2013 as the #8 RB in PPR leagues and #19 in standard leagues. Currently in ESPN fantasy leagues he is being drafted in 15th round. I expect him to have his best games earlier in the season when Gordon is still learning to pass-block, but if Woodhead is fully healed, he is going to be a solid Flex option and bye-week RB with RB2 upside each week. Overall Woodhead is a player I would draft in the 12th round as an RB4 that will outperform his ADP.
In Wright’s 2013 campaign he posted career highs in receptions and yards, hauling in 94 balls with 1079 yards. In 2014, Wright took a step back only recording 57 catches with 715 yards and 6 TDs, while missing 3 games. I attribute the Wright’s regression to poor QB play and injuries. But in 2015, I see the extremely talented Wright bouncing back because Marcus Mariota. Like most rookie QB’s, Mariota will emphasize taking care of the football and make the safe throw. In the Titans offense, Wright is the possession receiver working most of his routes over the middle. I see Mariota looking for Wright early and often in games. As of right now, Wright is being drafted at the end of the 13th round. I expect him to be a WR4 and a solid matchup flex option. I would draft him in the 11th round expecting good volume in targets and catches, but not so much in yards and TD’s.
As a 2013 first rounder, Eifert had to split time with Jermaine Gresham. And in 2014, Eifert dislocated his elbow and missed the entire season. But now, Eifert is back and Gresham is gone in Arizona. As a combo in 2013 Eifert and Gresham would have been the #7 fantasy TE. Eifert is going to be the starter and I expect nothing, but a top 10 TE performance. Recent Training Camp reports say that Eifert has been uncoverable and the Bengals expect him to breakout this year. Eifert is being drafted in the 14th round. I would draft him in the 11th and feel solid about my TE position.