clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

A New Stat For Hitters

New, 5 comments

How do these bats do in contact score?

By Jack Cecil
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The first thing you are probably asking is, "what is contact score?"  Well, in my boredom, I went on Fangraphs and pulled all of their hard %, medium %, and soft %, and weighted them to try and give the players who hit the ball harder, a better score.  Here is the formula for contact score.

Contact Score= (Hard% x 160) + (Medium % x 100) + (Soft% x 40)

These weights are fairly extreme, but they skew the information to give players with higher hard and medium percentages better scores, while penalizing players who are making a lot of soft contact.  After getting these numbers, they were ranked by their contact score ranking (CSR).  The #  column is merely their original rank by hard hit %.  So here are the players with over 200PA ranked by their contact score:

CSR # Name Soft% Med% Hard% Score
1 1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.15 0.338 0.513 121.88
2 3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.081 0.477 0.443 121.82
3 2 Brandon Belt 0.097 0.455 0.448 121.06
4 4 Freddie Freeman 0.091 0.468 0.441 121
5 6 Miguel Cabrera 0.098 0.47 0.432 120.04
6 18 Chris Davis 0.071 0.536 0.393 119.32
7 12 Alex Rodriguez 0.095 0.494 0.411 118.96
8 8 Mike Trout 0.127 0.448 0.425 117.88
9 5 Troy Tulowitzki 0.139 0.424 0.436 117.72
10 9 Joc Pederson 0.137 0.439 0.425 117.38
11 24 Ryan Howard 0.099 0.52 0.382 117.08
12 16 Lucas Duda 0.122 0.482 0.396 116.44
13 17 Jorge Soler 0.121 0.484 0.395 116.44
14 29 Joey Votto 0.105 0.519 0.376 116.26
15 14 Josh Donaldson 0.132 0.47 0.399 116.12
16 13 J.D. Martinez 0.142 0.45 0.408 115.96
17 20 Pedro Alvarez 0.121 0.493 0.386 115.9
18 19 Andrew McCutchen 0.135 0.477 0.389 115.34
19 11 Brandon Moss 0.155 0.432 0.412 115.32
20 21 Curtis Granderson 0.133 0.482 0.386 115.28
21 10 Ryan Braun 0.16 0.426 0.414 115.24
22 15 Bryce Harper 0.147 0.455 0.397 114.9
23 39 Matt Kemp 0.108 0.539 0.354 114.86
24 7 Todd Frazier 0.185 0.385 0.431 114.86
25 37 Jay Bruce 0.113 0.53 0.358 114.8
26 28 Justin Upton 0.135 0.488 0.377 114.52
27 45 Shin-Soo Choo 0.109 0.546 0.346 114.32
28 34 Prince Fielder 0.128 0.507 0.365 114.22
29 30 Adam LaRoche 0.145 0.481 0.374 113.74
30 25 Matt Carpenter 0.152 0.468 0.38 113.68
31 22 Jhonny Peralta 0.16 0.455 0.385 113.5
32 32 Kris Bryant 0.147 0.481 0.372 113.5
33 48 Logan Morrison 0.125 0.531 0.344 113.14
34 43 Brandon Crawford 0.131 0.523 0.347 113.06
35 31 Adrian Gonzalez 0.158 0.468 0.374 112.96
36 57 Kendrys Morales 0.118 0.548 0.333 112.8
37 55 Brian McCann 0.12 0.547 0.333 112.78
38 33 Jose Abreu 0.156 0.478 0.367 112.76
39 54 Nolan Arenado 0.129 0.535 0.337 112.58
40 52 Charlie Blackmon 0.13 0.531 0.339 112.54
41 59 Neil Walker 0.123 0.548 0.33 112.52
42 40 Mark Trumbo 0.145 0.503 0.352 112.42
43 72 Yoenis Cespedes 0.111 0.571 0.318 112.42
44 70 Chris Coghlan 0.116 0.562 0.322 112.36
45 35 David Freese 0.154 0.486 0.36 112.36
46 36 George Springer 0.157 0.484 0.36 112.28
47 95 Jason Kipnis 0.093 0.614 0.293 112
48 23 Adam Lind 0.185 0.432 0.383 111.88
49 53 David Ortiz 0.14 0.523 0.337 111.82
50 26 Anthony Rizzo 0.181 0.44 0.378 111.72
51 27 Will Middlebrooks 0.186 0.436 0.378 111.52
52 85 Nick Castellanos 0.108 0.59 0.301 111.48
53 51 Robinson Cano 0.151 0.51 0.34 111.44
54 58 Kyle Seager 0.143 0.527 0.33 111.22
55 102 DJ LeMahieu 0.107 0.604 0.289 110.92
56 42 Evan Longoria 0.172 0.477 0.351 110.74
57 49 Albert Pujols 0.167 0.491 0.343 110.66
58 41 Mark Teixeira 0.19 0.46 0.351 109.76
59 44 Jose Bautista 0.185 0.469 0.346 109.66
60 56 Chase Headley 0.175 0.492 0.333 109.48
61 75 Stephen Vogt 0.157 0.529 0.314 109.42
62 38 Steven Souza 0.197 0.449 0.354 109.42
63 63 Nelson Cruz 0.171 0.503 0.326 109.3
64 94 Lorenzo Cain 0.138 0.569 0.293 109.3
65 61 Andre Ethier 0.173 0.5 0.327 109.24
66 50 Marcell Ozuna 0.189 0.47 0.341 109.12
67 68 Manny Machado 0.172 0.505 0.323 109.06
68 65 Chris Carter 0.175 0.5 0.325 109
69 62 A.J. Pollock 0.181 0.493 0.327 108.86
70 46 Michael Cuddyer 0.196 0.458 0.345 108.84
71 81 Billy Butler 0.163 0.532 0.305 108.52
72 74 Brian Dozier 0.173 0.513 0.314 108.46
73 71 Luis Valbuena 0.182 0.497 0.321 108.34
74 47 Buster Posey 0.207 0.448 0.345 108.28
75 111 Carlos Beltran 0.145 0.572 0.283 108.28
76 60 Danny Espinosa 0.191 0.481 0.328 108.22
77 79 Adam Jones 0.171 0.522 0.307 108.16
78 104 Josh Reddick 0.154 0.559 0.287 107.98
79 115 Brett Gardner 0.149 0.569 0.282 107.98
80 93 Logan Forsythe 0.163 0.544 0.294 107.96
81 66 Alex Gordon 0.193 0.483 0.324 107.86
82 106 Joe Mauer 0.158 0.556 0.286 107.68
83 117 Torii Hunter 0.15 0.572 0.278 107.68
84 110 Howie Kendrick 0.155 0.562 0.283 107.68
85 67 Matt Holliday 0.197 0.479 0.324 107.62
86 88 Ryan Zimmerman 0.171 0.534 0.296 107.6
87 103 Joe Panik 0.164 0.548 0.289 107.6
88 105 Carlos Gonzalez 0.161 0.554 0.286 107.6
89 69 Eric Hosmer 0.194 0.483 0.322 107.58
90 90 Daniel Murphy 0.169 0.536 0.295 107.56
91 108 Nick Markakis 0.159 0.556 0.285 107.56
92 107 Michael Brantley 0.161 0.554 0.285 107.44
93 82 Brad Miller 0.181 0.515 0.304 107.38
94 89 Mookie Betts 0.176 0.529 0.295 107.14
95 76 Brett Lawrie 0.194 0.494 0.312 107.08
96 64 Yangervis Solarte 0.209 0.465 0.326 107.02
97 91 Juan Lagares 0.179 0.526 0.295 106.96
98 97 Josh Harrison 0.182 0.525 0.293 106.66
99 98 Ian Desmond 0.185 0.523 0.292 106.42
100 142 Wilson Ramos 0.131 0.631 0.238 106.42
101 83 Derek Norris 0.197 0.5 0.303 106.36
102 84 Adrian Beltre 0.197 0.5 0.303 106.36
103 86 Russell Martin 0.196 0.503 0.301 106.3
104 73 Carlos Santana 0.216 0.469 0.315 105.94
105 101 Yadier Molina 0.191 0.519 0.29 105.94
106 120 Gregory Polanco 0.174 0.552 0.273 105.84
107 96 Kevin Kiermaier 0.198 0.51 0.293 105.8
108 80 Evan Gattis 0.216 0.477 0.307 105.46
109 78 Mike Napoli 0.221 0.469 0.31 105.34
110 132 Cameron Maybin 0.162 0.588 0.25 105.28
111 124 Martin Prado 0.179 0.556 0.265 105.16
112 122 Brandon Phillips 0.183 0.55 0.267 105.04
113 109 Trevor Plouffe 0.204 0.512 0.285 104.96
114 145 Salvador Perez 0.153 0.612 0.235 104.92
115 121 Ender Inciarte 0.191 0.538 0.271 104.8
116 100 Avisail Garcia 0.214 0.497 0.29 104.66
117 112 Kolten Wong 0.207 0.51 0.283 104.56
118 144 Asdrubal Cabrera 0.162 0.603 0.236 104.54
119 127 Zack Cozart 0.183 0.556 0.26 104.52
120 128 Kole Calhoun 0.181 0.56 0.258 104.52
121 118 Chris Owings 0.2 0.525 0.275 104.5
122 157 Erick Aybar 0.137 0.659 0.205 104.18
123 77 Wilmer Flores 0.242 0.447 0.311 104.14
124 114 Alexei Ramirez 0.213 0.505 0.282 104.14
125 126 Marcus Semien 0.199 0.539 0.262 103.78
126 135 Yunel Escobar 0.182 0.573 0.245 103.78
127 87 Hanley Ramirez 0.237 0.464 0.299 103.72
128 140 Michael Bourn 0.177 0.585 0.238 103.66
129 139 Dexter Fowler 0.179 0.582 0.239 103.6
130 116 Edwin Encarnacion 0.219 0.503 0.278 103.54
131 133 Andrelton Simmons 0.197 0.555 0.249 103.22
132 123 Odubel Herrera 0.214 0.52 0.266 103.12
133 138 Dustin Pedroia 0.189 0.57 0.241 103.12
134 131 Denard Span 0.201 0.544 0.254 103.08
135 146 Jace Peterson 0.183 0.583 0.234 103.06
136 148 Jimmy Rollins 0.181 0.59 0.229 102.88
137 150 Elvis Andrus 0.179 0.594 0.226 102.72
138 155 Melky Cabrera 0.164 0.627 0.209 102.7
139 136 Jean Segura 0.201 0.555 0.244 102.58
140 149 Chase Utley 0.189 0.583 0.229 102.5
141 113 Jason Heyward 0.241 0.477 0.282 102.46
142 137 Johnny Giavotella 0.202 0.555 0.243 102.46
143 92 Xander Bogaerts 0.257 0.449 0.294 102.22
144 129 Mike Moustakas 0.221 0.523 0.256 102.1
145 143 Adam Eaton 0.205 0.558 0.237 101.92
146 119 Kevin Pillar 0.244 0.483 0.274 101.9
147 151 Angel Pagan 0.192 0.586 0.222 101.8
148 152 Ian Kinsler 0.192 0.589 0.22 101.78
149 99 Starling Marte 0.263 0.447 0.291 101.78
150 130 Adeiny Hechavarria 0.229 0.516 0.255 101.56
151 159 Stephen Drew 0.176 0.623 0.201 101.5
152 134 Pablo Sandoval 0.223 0.531 0.246 101.38
153 125 Leonys Martin 0.246 0.491 0.264 101.18
154 156 Didi Gregorius 0.193 0.6 0.207 100.84
155 153 Eric Sogard 0.2 0.588 0.212 100.72
156 147 Jose Altuve 0.222 0.547 0.231 100.54
157 154 Anthony Gose 0.204 0.584 0.212 100.48
158 141 Starlin Castro 0.243 0.52 0.238 99.8
159 160 Alcides Escobar 0.206 0.593 0.201 99.7
160 158 Omar Infante 0.217 0.578 0.205 99.28
161 162 Dee Gordon 0.187 0.64 0.173 99.16
162 163 Freddy Galvis 0.212 0.615 0.173 97.66
163 164 Billy Hamilton 0.232 0.595 0.173 96.46
164 161 Nori Aoki 0.237 0.588 0.175 96.28
165 165 Ben Revere 0.214 0.647 0.138 95.34

I personally enjoyed this list because I generally want to draft guys who hit the ball hard, because as we know, the harder you hit it, more likely it is going to become a hit. Secondly, almost everyone over 110 is either having a good OPS season, or they may represent a good buy low opportunity, these are players I typically target or want to already own.

I didn't paste the second list I made, but found the difference between Contract Score Ranking and Hard Hit Ranking, which to represents an opportunity to buy a player with more ceiling ahead.  The three leaders were 1) Jason Kipnis 2) DJ LeMahieu, and 3) Wilson Ramos.  The lowest players were 1) Xander Bogaerts, 2) Starling Marte, 3) WIlmer Flores.  My love for Bogaerts remains strong, but it took a hit when I saw him dead last.  So tell me what you think, does anyone else ever try and find a way to create custom ranks like this?  What stats would you input into your formulas?

Next Up In Fantasy Baseball

Loading comments...