Now that the 2015 NFL Draft is complete, fantasy football talk is only going to pick up from here. If you're a fan of My Fantasy League MFL10s like I am, you're probably already doing one or two drafts. How will the first round play out in your league?
At the end of last season, it was a no-brainer that Le'Veon Bell would be the No. 1 pick in fantasy drafts for 2015. However, the NFL handed Bell a three-game suspension, leaving some owners questioning what to do with the first overall selection.
Don't worry, you're still taking Bell at No. 1 in PPR leagues.
Sigmund Bloom from FootballGuys wrote a great piece on what to do with Bell now that the suspension is factored in. He notes that Bell averaged 26.8 points per game from Week 7-16 in 2014. The RB12 averaged 14.9 over that span. That's a ridiculous advantage you have with Bell on your roster.
Bell will be even more rested for the fantasy playoffs as well since he's missing the first three games of the season. If your goal is to win a title, you want the best player on your roster. You can compensate for Bell's absence over the first three weeks in redraft leagues, because you're not just taking a zero with him out.
Past Bell, what does the rest of the first round look like?
The data above is pulled from the RotoViz Best Ball ADP app, which I highly recommend using. This app takes ADP from MFL10s and sorts it for you. If you're not familiar with MFL10s, they're PPR best ball leagues . That means you don't set a weekly lineup, your starting lineup is comprised of the highest scorers on your roster for the week. While this format has a slightly different strategy than redraft, the early concepts are similar.
This ADP is pulled from drafts that occurred over the past two weeks, so it's a good representation of current value. Right now you see seven running backs going off the board in Round 1. Rob Gronkowski is a top-four pick because of the advantage he gives you at tight end. It's a thin position once again, so it's smart to grab him towards the top.
Here's what the most recent CBS Sports writer mock draft looks like (keep in mind this is for standard format).
It's a similar looking group as the top 12 from MFL10s. DeMarco Murray made the cut here. His ADP is 11.9 in MFL10s, and he's likely to remain in the mix at the end of the first round for most leagues. Demaryius Thomas and C.J. Anderson both make the cut here as well, while Odell Beckham Jr. and Julio Jones are out of the picture.
Assuming Anderson keeps his starting gig, he's easily an RB1 in Gary Kubiak's offense. Kubiak has already endorsed Anderson as the starter for OTAs, so that's a step in the right direction.
Beckham was unstoppable in 2014. After the Giants bye week, he averaged nine receptions for 133.2 yards and one touchdown per game for nine games in the second half of his rookie season. Victor Cruz's return could mean fewer targets for Beckham, but it's easy to see why you'd want him in Round 1 in a PPR league.
If you're hoping to take a Zero RB approach, Beckham, Jones and Thomas are perfect targets for Round 1. All three have high floors with top three upside.
The fun part about 2015 is the uncertainty. While we have a good idea of which players will be drafted early, there are going to be some surprises for Round 1. I've even seen some owners suggest taking Andrew Luck in the first round. Maybe you'll get lucky and end up in a league like that.
There could easily be eight or nine running backs drafted in the first round of your league (Jeremy Hill and Arian Foster might also be wildcards in some). Right now here's how I see an average first round playing out in a 12-team PPR league. (Not based on personal rankings, this is what I think the average fantasy owner would do.)
1. Le'Veon Bell
2. Jamaal Charles
3. Eddie Lacy
4. Rob Gronkowski
5. Antonio Brown
6. Adrian Peterson
7. Matt Forte
8. Dez Bryant
9. Marshawn Lynch
10. C.J. Anderson
11. Odell Beckham
12. LeSean McCoy