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Rate Stabilization: Hitters BB%

Chicks dig the walk.

Caylor Arnold-USA TODAY Sports

So the good men and women at Baseball Prospectus have found that walk rates are stable for hitters after only 120 PA. I’ve increased the number of minimum PA to 160 to give us a more manageable and more stable list to look at. These players are likely all owned, or on your fantasy radar in medium to deep leagues, but there are definitely some surprises. While the old adage “a walk is a good as a hit” may be true in real baseball, it’s ignored by many fantasy leagues that still use batting average as the hitting ratio. I am not an advocate of this, the list below can be used to the benefit of all my fellow OBP players/e-friends. Since the K% threshold has been passed, I will be giving you the players K-rates as well.  Enjoy!

Rank

Player

PA

BB%

K%

BB/K

1

Bryce Harper

187

20.90%

23.00%

0.91

2

Jose Bautista

165

18.80%

19.40%

0.97

3

Carlos Santana

175

18.30%

16.60%

1.1

4

Joc Pederson

174

17.80%

30.50%

0.58

5

George Springer

169

16.60%

28.40%

0.58

6

Paul Goldschmidt

185

15.70%

21.10%

0.74

7

Mark Teixeira

173

15.60%

12.10%

1.29

8

Matt Holliday

173

15.60%

16.80%

0.93

9

Miguel Cabrera

195

15.40%

16.90%

0.91

10

Joey Votto

180

13.30%

20.60%

0.65

11

Curtis Granderson

180

13.30%

22.80%

0.59

12

Chris Carter

171

12.90%

36.30%

0.35

13

Jay Bruce

164

12.80%

26.20%

0.49

14

Adam Lind

166

12.70%

22.30%

0.57

15

Nick Markakis

183

12.60%

14.80%

0.85

16

Anthony Rizzo

193

12.40%

10.90%

1.14

17

Michael Brantley

161

12.40%

5.60%

2.22

18

Steven Souza

171

12.30%

38.00%

0.32

19

Evan Longoria

181

12.20%

18.80%

0.65

20

David Ortiz

173

12.10%

17.30%

0.7

21

Alex Rodriguez

166

12.00%

24.10%

0.5

22

Trevor Plouffe

168

11.90%

20.20%

0.59

23

Giancarlo Stanton

194

11.90%

30.40%

0.39

24

Mike Trout

189

11.60%

20.60%

0.56

25

Dexter Fowler

189

11.60%

20.10%

0.58

26

Jacoby Ellsbury

170

11.20%

13.50%

0.83

27

Edwin Encarnacion

191

11.00%

20.40%

0.54

28

Ian Kinsler

201

10.90%

12.40%

0.88

29

Adrian Gonzalez

174

10.90%

14.90%

0.73

30

Buster Posey

178

10.70%

9.00%

1.19

31

Dustin Pedroia

197

10.70%

12.70%

0.84

32

Andrew McCutchen

181

10.50%

14.40%

0.73

33

Lucas Duda

182

10.40%

22.50%

0.46

34

Josh Reddick

166

10.20%

10.80%

0.94

35

Nori Aoki

187

10.20%

7.50%

1.36

36

Ryan Braun

169

10.10%

19.50%

0.52

37

Matt Carpenter

179

10.10%

18.40%

0.55

38

Eric Hosmer

189

10.10%

18.00%

0.56

39

Brian Dozier

191

9.90%

19.90%

0.5

40

Todd Frazier

182

9.90%

18.10%

0.55

41

Russell Martin

162

9.90%

21.60%

0.46

42

Freddie Freeman

184

9.80%

21.20%

0.46

43

Chris Davis

166

9.60%

37.30%

0.26

44

Jimmy Rollins

177

9.60%

16.40%

0.59

45

Logan Morrison

167

9.60%

13.80%

0.7

46

Brett Gardner

161

9.30%

17.40%

0.54

47

Alex Gordon

162

9.30%

21.00%

0.44

48

Manny Machado

174

9.20%

17.80%

0.52

49

Joe Panik

174

9.20%

12.10%

0.76

50

Marcell Ozuna

178

9.00%

21.30%

0.42

51

Logan Forsythe

170

8.80%

14.10%

0.63

52

Marlon Byrd

160

8.80%

26.90%

0.33

53

Jhonny Peralta

183

8.70%

18.00%

0.48

54

Gregory Polanco

164

8.50%

23.20%

0.37

55

Brandon Crawford

165

8.50%

18.20%

0.47

56

Jason Kipnis

203

8.40%

12.80%

0.65

57

Joe Mauer

180

8.30%

17.80%

0.47

58

Nelson Cruz

182

8.20%

23.10%

0.36

59

Shin-Soo Choo

171

8.20%

26.30%

0.31

60

J.D. Martinez

184

8.20%

29.30%

0.28

61

Ryan Zimmerman

184

8.20%

15.80%

0.52

62

Josh Donaldson

198

8.10%

19.20%

0.42

63

Elvis Andrus

198

8.10%

13.60%

0.59

64

Jorge Soler

187

8.00%

32.10%

0.25

65

Justin Upton

178

7.90%

24.70%

0.32

66

Kolten Wong

179

7.80%

15.60%

0.5

67

Michael Cuddyer

168

7.70%

23.20%

0.33

68

Yunel Escobar

171

7.60%

12.30%

0.62

69

Kendrys Morales

186

7.50%

14.50%

0.52

70

Yadier Molina

160

7.50%

12.50%

0.6

71

Howie Kendrick

178

7.30%

16.30%

0.45

72

Torii Hunter

167

7.20%

19.20%

0.38

73

Freddy Galvis

167

7.20%

12.60%

0.57

74

Mookie Betts

195

7.20%

12.30%

0.58

75

Jose Altuve

198

7.10%

9.60%

0.74

76

Luis Valbuena

171

7.00%

23.40%

0.3

77

Kole Calhoun

172

7.00%

20.90%

0.33

78

Daniel Murphy

174

6.90%

8.00%

0.86

79

Nick Castellanos

176

6.80%

25.00%

0.27

80

Adam Eaton

163

6.70%

16.00%

0.42

81

Marcus Semien

193

6.70%

19.70%

0.34

82

Jason Heyward

164

6.70%

19.50%

0.34

83

Melky Cabrera

179

6.70%

7.80%

0.86

84

Asdrubal Cabrera

170

6.50%

25.30%

0.26

85

Prince Fielder

194

6.20%

11.90%

0.52

86

Billy Butler

194

6.20%

16.00%

0.39

87

Andrelton Simmons

179

6.10%

7.80%

0.79

88

Charlie Blackmon

181

6.10%

21.00%

0.29

89

Billy Hamilton

168

6.00%

17.30%

0.34

90

Albert Pujols

170

5.90%

12.40%

0.48

91

Neil Walker

170

5.90%

17.60%

0.33

92

Chase Headley

170

5.90%

21.80%

0.27

93

Kyle Seager

171

5.80%

11.70%

0.5

94

Ian Desmond

189

5.80%

24.90%

0.23

95

Jose Abreu

172

5.80%

19.80%

0.29

96

A.J. Pollock

172

5.80%

16.30%

0.36

97

Ben Revere

183

5.50%

8.20%

0.67

98

Hanley Ramirez

166

5.40%

15.10%

0.36

99

Robinson Cano

186

5.40%

16.70%

0.32

100

Lorenzo Cain

170

5.30%

18.20%

0.29

101

Starling Marte

173

5.20%

26.00%

0.2

102

Dee Gordon

195

5.10%

13.30%

0.38

103

David Freese

176

5.10%

21.60%

0.24

104

Ryan Howard

160

5.00%

26.90%

0.19

105

Erick Aybar

180

5.00%

13.90%

0.36

106

Nolan Arenado

165

4.80%

12.70%

0.38

107

Mike Moustakas

176

4.50%

9.10%

0.5

108

Kevin Pillar

183

4.40%

16.90%

0.26

109

Yoenis Cespedes

184

4.30%

23.40%

0.19

110

Derek Norris

163

4.30%

19.60%

0.22

111

Evan Gattis

163

4.30%

23.30%

0.18

112

Matt Kemp

187

4.30%

20.30%

0.21

113

Juan Lagares

168

4.20%

20.20%

0.21

114

Adrian Beltre

193

4.10%

10.40%

0.4

115

Odubel Herrera

171

4.10%

25.70%

0.16

116

Adam Jones

175

4.00%

11.40%

0.35

117

Angel Pagan

176

4.00%

14.80%

0.27

118

Adeiny Hechavarria

177

4.00%

16.40%

0.24

119

Starlin Castro

186

3.80%

19.40%

0.19

120

Martin Prado

192

3.60%

13.50%

0.27

121

Brett Lawrie

176

3.40%

27.30%

0.13

122

Ender Inciarte

179

3.40%

11.20%

0.3

123

Alexei Ramirez

160

2.50%

13.10%

0.19

124

Josh Harrison

167

2.40%

14.40%

0.17

If you aren’t a fan of Bryce Harper, you probably shouldn’t read my work anymore, because its all but guaranteed he’s getting his credit where credit is due in all of my pieces.  But lets look at a few standout players on this list.

Bryce Harper, OF, Was

Bryce Harper is the number one fantasy player, and the number one real player. His incredible approach paired with top of the line talent has morphed into a fantasy superstar. There is literally nothing any pitcher can do to stop him right now. I would trade any player in baseball for him.

Joc Pederson, OF, LAD

The new kid on the block has an amazing walk rate to start the season. He has been a walker for his whole professional career, so I don’t expect this to stop anytime soon. My only issue is that with the significant swing and miss portion of his game, pitchers will stop nibbling and force him to put more balls in play. We’ve yet to see if this will result in 30 bombs, or 200 Ks, but I’d bet on the first option.

Dee Gordon, 2B, Mia

I’m not sure if this is a hole in his game, because he’s making so much contact when he swings, regardless of if the pitch is in the zone or out. If his babip can stat in the stratosphere we may have a batting title contender, his line drive percentage and hard hit rates are both above what we’d come to previously expect from Gordon so maybe he’s turned the corner and is a reliable player with the bat.

Michael Brantley, OF, Cle

Can everyone please go to #17 on this list and acknowledge what Brantley is doing so far. This is how you truly maximize your potential.

Brett Lawrie, 3B, Oak

Still stinks.

If there is anyone else you'd like to hear about, feel free to ask in the comments section below.