Reminder: Always double check the lineup card before rosters lock to make sure that a player you've chosen to roster is playing that day.
Blue Jays RHB vs. Jake Odorizzi
Odorizzi is an extreme fly ball pitcher who had terrible stats on the road last year (5.39 FIP), and I suspect this was largely due to the home run friendly road parks of the AL East. Giving up a lot of fly balls in Rogers Centre is playing with fire, and the Blue Jays have some great candidates to make Odorizzi pay for his fly ball tendencies. He also had reverse platoon splits last year, posting a 4.46 FIP against RHB. Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion and Josh Donaldson are dangerous home run threats against Odorizzi in this setting.
P- James Paxton vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, $6,700
Paxton is priced at $6,700, the third lowest among the night games for tomorrow, and I don't think this price accurately reflects his skill level. Paxton will sit in the mid 90s with his fastball, touching 98-99 mph, and combines the high velocity with a filthy knuckle curve. He has a career 55% GB% and he's tough to square up, posting an above average opp. hard hit% for his career. Paxton is nasty and has the potential to be a huge bargain at this price, allowing an owner to invest more in hitting.
OF- Chris Carter vs. Scott Kazmir, $2,900
Carter clobbered LHP last year to a 140 wRC+ and Kazmir had mild platoon splits, posting a 3.53 FIP against RHB last year. The game is being played in Houston, a hitter friendly environment for a RHB. I like the value at $2,900.
2B- Brian Dozier vs. Danny Duffy, $3,300
Dozier is a career 136 wRC+ hitter against LHP and Duffy has extreme platoon splits (4.47 FIP vs. RHB). Dozier has also been hitting second in the order. Dozier will be a good power/speed combo against Duffy at an affordable price.
OF- Seth Smith vs. Brandon McCarthy, $2,900
Smith has been slotted #2 in the order in front of Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz and Kyle Seager, putting him in good position to score runs. Smith has also hit RHP well in his career (124 wRC+). His price of $2,900 is a bargain under these conditions.
Don't pay Coors Field prices for AT&T Park starts
Troy Tulowitzki ($5,400), Nolan Arenado ($4,500), Corey Dickerson ($4,800) and Carlos Gonzalez ($4,600) are being priced like they're playing their games in Coors Field, but they're on the road in San Francisco. Rockies hitters have significantly lower stats on the road than at home, so don't pay Coors Field prices for AT&T Park starts.
Follow me on Twitter at @TimFinn521, I usually tweet out more good options as lineups are released.