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Equivalent Fantasy Average: 2015 projections according to Steamer

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Y'all still like this thing? I still like it. Let's see how 2015 goes in fantasy.

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

I was going to retire Equivalent Fantasy Average. I've always liked it, but I didn't know if anyone else was on board, and whether it was coming across as helpful or if it was a labor-intensive vanity project that filled up all sorts of spreadsheets in my computer.

But then! Like the one wise child in the Emperor's New Clothes, Andrew Craven, that lovely li'l fella, asked on Twitterr why he hadn't seen any updates this spring. And, heck, I don't know, maybe Andrew is the only one who cares, but that was enough. EFA is back, y'all.

For those new to the metric, I developed EFA a little over a year ago to sort players entirely by their fantasy contributions, based on their standard deviations from each statistical mean and displayed in terms of a scaled "batting average" so as to resemble a number we're all used to seeing. It's not predictive, in and of itself, but it does (in my opinion) carve away a big chunk of the extraneous details we don't care about for fantasy (Andrelton Simmons' glovework is wonderful, but does bupkiss in Yahoo!) and helps rank guys who specialize (Billy Hamilton's wheels vs. Mark Trumbo's power vs. Justin Morneau's relatively empty batting average) on a single scale.

Today, though, we're being predictive. I've run EFAs for 2015 based on Steamer's projections for the season. A player has to be projected for at least 300 plate appearances to qualify. Positions are given based on where FanGraphs lists players, so Joe Mauer and Carlos Santana are still catchers, Chris Davis isn't a third baseman but Miguel Cabrera is, and Kris Bryant, Yasmany Tomas and Jung-ho Kang — among others — don't even have a specific position, so only get listed in the overall rankings and not position-by-position. (For future EFA updates, I'll list guys based on where Yahoo! lists them in fantasy, but I didn't dive that deep this time.)

As a result of using Steamer, none of these projections are actually mine; there are results here that, according to my own numbers and thought processes, would be very different. But Steamer is far more thorough than am I, so it felt better to use it.

A new wrinkle for this edition of EFA: I've included players' standard deviations from the mean in the overall calculations. It doesn't change much; it's just a restatement of the same sorting class. I really only include it to show how friggin' much Steamer loves Mike Trout.

Anyway, here it goes. Thoughts on each position follow.

Catcher

Rank Player Team Projected EFA
1 Buster Posey SFG .272
2 Carlos Santana CLE .270
3 Jonathan Lucroy MIL .266
4 Evan Gattis HOU .263
Brian McCann NYY .263
6 Salvador Perez KCR .261
7 Joe Mauer MIN .258
Devin Mesoraco CIN .258
Wilin Rosario COL .258
10 Yan Gomes CLE .257
Yadier Molina SLC .257
12 Matt Wieters BAL .254
13 Travis d'Arnaud NYM .253
14 Mike Zunino SEA .250
15 Russell Martin TOR .249
16 Yasmani Grandal LAD .248
Miguel Montero CHC .248
Wilson Ramos WAS .248
19 Derek Norris SDP .246
Stephen Vogt OAK .246
21 Carlos Ruiz PHI .242
Kurt Suzuki MIN .242
23 Jason Castro HOU .241
24 Robinson Chirinos TEX .240
Josmil Pinto MIN .240
26 Alex Avila DET .239
Christian Bethancourt ATL .239
John Jaso OAK .239
Christian Vazquez BOS .239
30 Jarrod Saltalamacchia MIA .238
31 Rene Rivera TBR .237
32 Tyler Flowers CWS .236
Chris Iannetta LAA .236
34 Francisco Cervelli PIT .234

  • I'm shocked at how low Yan Gomes is according to Steamer. A quick look at his projections indicates it's primarily in run-producing; Steamer has Gomes slated for 52 runs and 59 RBI. Both seem low to me, especially if you assume he's surrounded by Santana, Michael Brantley, Brandon Moss and Jason Kipnis in the order.
  • A lot of leagues won't have Carlos Santana catcher-eligible this year. There won't be any that have Joe Mauer there. So when they are both top-seven at the position according to FanGraphs/Steamer, you can carve them right out for most leagues, and the end result is Matt Wieters, health issues and all, sliding into the back of the top 10.
  • Jason Castro and Alex Avila have both been darlings in recent years, but man, do those guys (and, heck, Jarrod Saltalamacchia) provide good examples of how come-and-go the catcher position at-large can be.
  • Love John Jaso as a real catcher, but so much of his value is in his batting eye that a standard 5x5 fantasy league really kills him.

First Base

Rank Player Team Projected EFA
1 Jose Abreu CWS .291
Miguel Cabrera DET .291
3 Paul Goldschmidt ARI .284
4 Anthony Rizzo CHC .282
5 Edwin Encarnacion TOR .275
6 Freddie Freeman ATL .274
Victor Martinez DET .274
8 Adrian Gonzalez LAD .273
9 Albert Pujols LAA .271
10 Prince Fielder TEX .270
David Ortiz BOS .270
12 Eric Hosmer KCR .268
Justin Morneau COL .268
14 Joey Votto CIN .267
15 Chris Davis BAL .266
Brandon Moss CLE .266
Carlos Santana CLE .266
18 Billy Butler OAK .263
Mark Trumbo ARI .263
20 Matt Adams SLC .262
Chris Carter HOU .262
Steve Pearce BAL .262
23 Brandon Belt SFG .259
Adam LaRoche CWS .259
25 Kennys Vargas MIN .258
26 Adam Lind MIL .256
27 Lucas Duda NYM .255
Kendrys Morales KCR .255
Mike Napoli BOS .255
30 Joe Mauer MIN .254
31 James Loney TBR .253
32 Yonder Alonso SDP .250
Logan Morrison SEA .250
Mark Teixeira NYY .250
35 Ike Davis OAK .249
36 Ryan Howard PHI .246
37 Garrett Jones NYY .244
38 Allen Craig BOS .243
Yasmani Grandal LAD .243
Jon Singleton HOU .243
Justin Smoak TOR .243
42 C.J. Cron LAA .242
Ryan Rua TEX .242
Nick Swisher CLE .242
Stephen Vogt OAK .242
46 Mitch Moreland TEX .241
47 Maikel Franco PHI .239
48 Mark Reynolds SLC .236

  • At this point, if Jose Abreu doesn't win every MVP through 2017, we're going to be disappointed after that rookie season and the subsequent hype. I'm in on it, too, but it's getting to the point where he can't possibly exceed his draft-day value.
  • I know, I know, I'm biased, but holy crap did I not expect Eric Hosmer to score so well. Sure, he's projected to steal more bases than any first baseman but Paul Goldschmidt, but even that's only seven steals. Still, my boy Hos bests guys like Joey Votto, Chris Davis and Mark Trumbo, among others, and it's awfully nice.
  • A year after 30 homers and 92 RBI, Steamer has Lucas Duda falling to 21 and 65 this year, bringing him down to the late 20s among first baseman. Dude still can't hit lefties, and that's always going to be a problem.
  • Even worse off than Duda is Mark Teixeira, who Steamer is just done with, calling for only a .223 average and 20 homers. Garrett Jones and Alex Rodriguez will see time.

Second Base

Rank Player Team Projected EFA
1 Jose Altuve HOU .286
2 Mookie Betts BOS .278
Robinson Cano NYY .278
4 Anthony Rendon WAS .277
5 Ian Kinsler DET .273
6 Dustin Pedroia BOS .271
7 Brain Dozier MIN .267
Dee Gordon MIA .267
9 Jason Kipnis CLE .266
10 Matt Carpenter SLC .265
Ben Zobrist OAK .265
12 Neil Walker PIT .264
13 Daniel Murphy NYM .263
14 Howie Kendrick LAD .261
15 Scooter Gennett MIL .259
Kolten Wong SLC .259
17 Javier Baez CHC .258
Rougned Odor TEX .258
19 Chase Utley PHI .257
20 Jedd Gyorko SDP .255
DJ LeMahieu COL .255
Brandon Phillips CIN .255
23 Omar Infante KCR .252
24 Aaron Hill ARI .250
25 Arismendy Alcantara CHC .249
Jonathan Schoop BAL .249
27 Nick Franklin TBR .248
28 Emilio Bonifacio CWS .247
Joe Panik SFG .247
30 Marcus Semien CWS .245
31 Alberto Callaspo ATL .244
Josh Rutledge LAA .244
33 Freddy Galvis PHI .239
Eric Sogard OAK .239
35 Gordon Beckham CWS .237
36 Logan Forsythe TBR .232

  • Holy crap, does Steamer love Mookie Betts, forecasting him to be the equal of Robinson Cano this year. It comes down to the stolen bases, really, as the two have basically identical batting average and runs-scored projections. Cano leads Betts in projections on homers (18 to 13) and RBI (79 to 59), but lags behind him in steals (25 to 6), and both rise well above the rest of the position overall (non-Jose Altuve department).
  • Rougned Odor over Chase Utley. Rougned. Odor. Over. Chase. Utley. That just feels wrong.
  • The second (or third) tier of the position is in a big lump, ranging from Brian Dozier and Dee Gordon at seventh down to, I don't know, Utley at 19th. I have preferences in that group, and so do you, but I could make a legitimate argument to scramble those guys in a lot of different orders.
  • Looking for late steals? Emilio Bonifacio always ends up falling into some playing time, and he'll run the bases whenever he does.

Third Base

Rank Player Team Projected EFA
1 Miguel Cabrera DET .295
2 Josh Donaldson TOR .280
3 Adrian Beltre TEX .279
4 Anthony Rendon WAS .277
5 Nolan Arenado COL .274
6 Evan Longoria TBR .273
Pablo Sandoval BAL .273
8 Kyle Seager SEA .272
9 Todd Frazier CIN .270
10 Josh Harrison PIT .269
11 Manny Machado BAL .268
12 David Wright NYM .266
Ryan Zimmerman WAS .266
14 Matt Carpenter SLC .265
15 Pedro Alvarez PIT .263
Xander Bogaerts BOS .263
17 Chase Headley NYY .262
18 Nick Castellanos DET .261
19 Martin Prado MIA .260
Aramis Ramirez MIL .260
21 Brett Lawrie OAK .258
22 Lonnie Chisenhall CLE .257
23 Mike Moustakas KCR .256
24 Trevor Plouffe MIN .254
25 David Freese LAA .253
26 Cody Asche PHI .252
Chris Johnson ATL .252
28 Conor Gillaspie CWS .251
29 Wilmer Flores NYM .250
30 Casey McGehee SFG .248
31 Jose Iglesias DET .246
Luis Valbuena HOU .246
33 Alberto Callaspo ATL .245
Marcus Semien OAK .245
35 Juan Uribe LAD .244
36 Maikel Franco PHI .243
37 Matt Dominguez HOU .241
38 Mark Reynolds SLC .240
39 Freddy Galvis PHI .239
Will Middlebrooks SDP .239
41 Alex Rodriguez NYY .238
42 Yangervis Solarte SDP .237

  • Obviously, if Miguel Cabrera qualifies at third in your league (he does in Yahoo!, but that's about it), he profiles first at the position. After that, though, the next group is tough to separate. Josh Donaldson, Adrian Beltre, Anthony Rendon-if-he-can-get-healthy ... there's a lot of ways it can go.
  • A year after hitting .273 with 29 homers and 80 RBI, Steamer is down on Todd Frazier for 2015, calling for .248, 23 and 71. If the average does fall off, he becomes much less exciting after a strong 2014.
  • If Steamer is right, we might not be seeing that leap from Nick Castellanos quite yet.
  • Looks like Casey McGehee won't be that awesome Pablo Sandoval replacement some Giants fans might have been hoping for. Not that we needed EFA to know that, but still.

Shortstop

Rank Player Team Projected EFA
1 Troy Tulowitzki COL .276
2 Hanley Ramirez BOS .275
3 Ian Desmond WAS .273
4 Jose Reyes TOR .270
5 Elvis Andrus TEX .268
6 Starlin Castro CHC .267
7 Alexei Ramirez CWS .265
8 Xander Bogaerts BOS .262
Danny Santana MIN .262
10 Erick Aybar LAA .261
Jean Segura MIL .261
12 Alcides Escobar KCR .260
13 Jhonny Peralta SLC .259
14 Javier Baez CHC .257
Jimmy Rollins LAD .257
16 Asdrubal Cabrera TBR .256
17 J.J. Hardy BAL .255
18 Andrelton Simmons ATL .254
19 Jed Lowrie HOU .253
20 Yunel Escobar WAS .251
Brad Miller SEA .251
22 Chris Owings ARI .251
23 Wilmer Flores NYM .249
Jordy Mercer PIT .249
Jose Ramirez CLE .249
26 Brandon Crawford SFG .245
Jose Iglesias DET .245
28 Adeiny Hechavarria MIA .244
29 Josh Rutledge LAA .243
30 Didi Gregorius NYY .241
31 Alexi Amarista SDP .240
Zack Cozart CIN .240
33 Freddy Galvis PHI .239
34 Stephen Drew NYY .237
35 Eduardo Escobar MIN .236

  • Not a lot of surprises at shortstop. I might have guessed Troy Tulowitzki would fare a bit better, but Steamer has him down for only 22 homers in 481 plate appearances, showing the projections call for at least one more injury to our intrepid Rockie.
  • Jean Segura projects to rise back a bit off of his miserable 2014, with a .263 average, eight homers and 24 steals, all marginal improvements.
  • Meanwhile, Jhonny Peralta is projected to fall off this year. It's primarily a power thing, with Steamer guessing he falls from 21 homers to 15, but since his value is mostly tied to his power, that's a big deal.

Outfield

Rank Player Team Projected EFA
1 Mike Trout LAA .301
2 Giancarlo Stanton MIA .292
3 Andrew McCutchen PIT .291
4 Yasiel Puig LAD .283
5 Jose Bautista TOR .280
Corey Dickerson COL .280
7 Billy Hamilton CIN .279
8 Adam Jones BAL .278
9 Carlos Gomez MIL .277
Bryce Harper WAS .277
11 Mookie Betts BOS .276
Jacoby Ellsbury NYY .276
13 Ryan Braun MIL .275
14 Michael Brantley CLE .274
Yoenis Cespedes DET .274
Starling Marte PIT .274
17 Carlos Gonzalez COL .273
Jason Heyward SLC .273
19 Charlie Blackmon COL .272
Alex Gordon KCR .272
Justin Upton SDP .272
22 George Springer HOU .271
23 J.D. Martinez DET .270
24 Nelson Cruz SEA .269
Ben Revere PHI .269
Jorge Soler CHC .269
Christian Yelich MIA .269
28 Matt Holliday SLC .268
Brandon Moss CLE .268
30 Jay Bruce CIN .267
Shin-Soo Choo TEX .267
Josh Harrison PIT .267
33 Kole Calhoun LAA .266
Matt Kemp SDP .266
Leonys Martin TEX .266
Marcell Ozuna MIA .266
37 Mark Trumbo ARI .265
38 Steve Pearce BAL .264
Jayson Werth WAS .264
Ben Zobrist OAK .264
41 Torii Hunter DET .263
42 Oswaldo Arcia MIN .262
Melky Cabrera CWS .262
Avisail Garcia CWS .262
Brett Gardner NYY .262
Steven Souza TBR .262
Denard Span WAS .262
48 Evan Gattis HOU .261
Hunter Pence SFG .261
Danny Santana MIN .261
51 Lorenzo Cain KCR .260
Rusney Castillo BAL .260
Adam Eaton CWS .260
Austin Jackson SEA .260
Gregory Polanco PIT .260
Alex Rios KCR .260
57 Wil Myers SDP .259
58 Coco Crisp OAK .258
Khris Davis MIL .258
Alejandro de Aza BAL .258
Nick Markakis ATL .258
62 Norichika Aoki SFG .257
Carl Crawford LAD .257
Desmond Jennings TBR .257
65 Domonic Brown PHI .256
Josh Reddick OAK .256
67 Carlos Beltran NYY .255
Michael Cuddyer NYM .255
Curtis Granderson NYM .255
A.J. Pollock ARI .255
71 Dustin Ackley SEA .254
Michael Bourn CLE .254
Dexter Fowler CHC .254
74 Marlon Byrd CIN .253
Rajai Davis DET .253
Michael Saunders TOR .253
77 Kevin Kiermaier TBR .252
Michael Morse MIA .252
Joc Pederson LAD .252
80 Angel Pagan SFG .251
Colby Rasmus HOU .251
Travis Snider BAL .251
83 Jon Jay SLC .250
84 Ender Inciarte ARI .249
Matt Joyce LAA .249
Drew Stubbs COL .249
87 Juan Lagares NYM .248
88 Arismendy Alcantara CHC .247
89 Allen Craig BOS .246
Jarrod Dyson KCR .246
Dalton Pompey TOR .246
Shane Victorino BOS .246
93 Emilio Bonifacio CWS .245
Josh Hamilton LAA .245
David Peralta ARI .245
Seth Smith SEA .245
97 Chris Coghlan CHC .244
Ryan Rua TEX .244
Delmon Young BAL .244
100 Anthony Gose DET .243
101 Zoilo Almonte ATL .242
Gregor Blanco SFG .242
Jake Marisnick HOU .242
104 Craig Gentry OAK .241
105 Sam Fuld OAK .240
Gerardo Parra MIL .240
107 Alexi Amarista SDP .239
Andre Ethier LAD .239
Ichiro Suzuki MIA .239
110 Peter Bourjos SLC .236
111 Melvin Upton ATL .235
112 David DeJesus TBR .233
Aaron Hicks MIN .233

  • Well hey there, Mike Trout, running away with the position.
  • This is another example of Steamer just loving some Mookie Betts. Eleventh among outfielders? Over Ryan Braun, Michael Brantley, Starling Marte? All in, guys.
  • Meanwhile, the system is relatively down on Carlos Gomez, who has been going in the middle of the first round in most drafts, barely profiles as a top-10 outfielder in this system.
  • Even with a big fall-off (.271 average, 40 homers, 108 RBI in 2014; projected for .250, 26, 79 in 2015) Nelson Cruz still works out to a top-25 outfielder, because power is power is power.
  • Steamer pretty clearly thinks the Red Sox outfield will primarily be Rusney Castillo alongside Betts and Ramirez, with Shane Victorino and Allen Craig hanging out down at the bottom of the projections.

Overall

Rank Player Team Projected EFA SDs from mean
1 Mike Trout LAA .302 2.344
2 Jose Abreu CWS .294 1.925

Miguel Cabrera DET .294 1.925
4 Giancarlo Stanton MIA .293 1.873
5 Andrew McCutchen PIT .291 1.768
6 Paul Goldschmidt ARI .287 1.558
7 Jose Altuve HOU .285 1.454

Anthony Rizzo CHC .285 1.454
9 Yasiel Puig LAD .283 1.349
10 Corey Dickerson COL .281 1.244
11 Jose Bautista TOR .280 1.192

Billy Hamilton CIN .280 1.192
13 Adam Jones BAL .279 1.139
14 Josh Donaldson TOR .278 1.087

Edwin Encarnacion TOR .278 1.087

Carlos Gomez MIL .278 1.087
17 Adrian Beltre TEX .277 1.035

Mookie Betts BOS .277 1.035

Robinson Cano SEA .277 1.035

Jacoby Ellsbury BOS .277 1.035

Freddie Freeman ATL .277 1.035

Bryce Harper WAS .277 1.035

Victor Martinez DET .277 1.035
24 Ryan Braun MIL .276 .982

Adrian Gonzalez LAD .276 .982

Anthony Rendon WAS .276 .982

Troy Tulowitzki COL .276 .982
28 Michael Brantley CLE .275 .930

Yoenis Cespedes DET .275 .930

Hanley Ramirez BOS .275 .930
31 Carlos Gonzalez COL .274 .878

Starling Marte PIT .274 .878

Albert Pujols LAA .274 .878
34 Charlie Blackmon COL .273 .825

Prince Fielder TEX .273 .825

Jason Heyward SLC .273 .825

David Ortiz BOS .273 .825
38 Nolan Arenado COL .272 .773

Ian Desmond WAS .272 .773

Alex Gordon KCR .272 .773

Ian Kinsler DET .272 .773

Evan Longoria TBR .272 .773

Pablo Sandoval BOS .272 .773

Justin Upton SDP .272 .773
45 Eric Hosmer KCR .271 .720

Justin Morneau COL .271 .720

Buster Posey SFG .271 .720

Kyle Seager SEA .271 .720

George Springer HOU .271 .720
50 Nelson Cruz SEA .270 .668
Rank Player Team Projected EFA SDs from mean
J.D. Martinez DET .270 .668
Dustin Pedroia BOS .270 .668
Ben Revere PHI .270 .668
Jorge Soler CHC .270 .668
Joey Votto CIN .270 .668
Christian Yelich MIA .270 .668
57 Chris Davis BAL .269 .616

Todd Frazier CIN .269 .616

Brandon Moss CLE .269 .616

Jose Reyes TOR .269 .616

Carlos Santana CLE .269 .616
62 Elvis Andrus TEX .268 .563

Jay Bruce CIN .268 .563

Josh Harrison PIT .268 .563

Matt Holliday SLC .268 .563
66 Kole Calhoun LAA .267 .511

Shin-Soo Choo TEX .267 .511

Dee Gordon MIA .267 .511

Leonys Martin TEX .267 .511

Marcell Ozuna MIN .267 .511
71 Billy Butler OAK .266 .459

Starlin Castro CHC .266 .459

Brian Dozier MIN .266 .459

Matt Kemp SDP .266 .459

Manny Machado BAL .266 .459

Mark Trumbo ARI .266 .459
77 Matt Adams SLC .265 .406

Chris Carter HOU .265 .406

Jason Kipnis CLE .265 .406

Jonathan Lucroy MIL .265 .406

Steve Pearce BAL .265 .406

Alexei Ramirez CWS .265 .406

Jayson Werth WAS .265 .406

David Wright NYM .265 .406

Ryan Zimmerman WAS .265 .406
86 Matt Carpenter SLC .264 .354

Torii Hunter DET .264 .354

Ben Zobrist OAK .264 .354
89 Oswaldo Arcia MIN .263 .302

Melky Cabrera CWS .263 .302

Avisail Garcia CWS .263 .302

Steven Souza TBR .263 .302

Neil Walker PIT .263 .302
94 Pedro Alvarez PIT .262 .249

Brandon Belt SFG .262 .249

Xander Bogaerts BOS .262 .249

Brett Gardner NYY .262 .249

Evan Gattis HOU .262 .249

Adam LaRoche CWS .262 .249
Brian McCann NYY .262 .249
Rank Player Team Projected EFA SDs from mean

Daniel Murphy NYM .262 .249

Denard Span WAS .262 .249
103 Erick Aybar LAA .261 .197

Kris Bryant CHC .261 .197

Rusney Castillo BOS .261 .197

Austin Jackson SEA .261 .197

Hunter Pence SFG .261 .197

Gregory Polanco PIT .261 .197

Alex Rios KCR .261 .197

Danny Santana MIN .261 .197

Jean Segura MIL .261 .197

Kennys Vargas MIN .261 .197
113 Lorenzo Cain KCR .260 .144

Adam Eaton CWS .260 .144

Alcides Escobar KCR .260 .144

Chase Headley NYY .260 .144

Howie Kendrick LAD .260 .144

Wil Myers SDP .260 .144

Salvador Perez KCR .260 .144
120 Nick Castellanos DET .259 .092

Coco Crisp OAK .259 .092

Khris Davis MIL .259 .092

Alejandro de Aza BAL .259 .092

Adam Lind MIL .259 .092

Nick Markakis BAL .259 .092

Martin Prado MIA .259 .092
127 Norichika Aoki SFG .258 .040

Lucas Duda NYM .258 .040

Scooter Gennett MIL .258 .040

Desmond Jennings TBR .258 .040

Kendrys Morales KCR .258 .040

Mike Napoli BOS .258 .040

Jhonny Peralta SLC .258 .040

Aramis Ramirez MIL .258 .040

Kolten Wong SLC .258 .040
136 Javier Baez CHC .257 -.013

Domonic Brown PHI .257 -.013

Carl Crawford LAD .257 -.013

Brett Lawrie OAK .257 -.013

Joe Mauer MIN .257 -.013

Rougned Odor TEX .257 -.013

Josh Reddick LAA .257 -.013

Jimmy Rollins LAD .257 -.013

Wilin Rosario COL .257 -.013
145 Carlos Beltran NYY .256 -.065

Asdrubal Cabrera TBR .256 -.065

Lonnie Chisenhall CLE .256 -.065

Michael Cuddyer NYM .256 -.065

Yan Gomes CLE .256 -.065

Curtis Granderson NYM .256 -.065
Rank Player Team Projected EFA SDs from mean

James Loney TBR .256 -.065

Devin Mesoraco CIN .256 -.065

Yadier Molina SLC .256 -.065

A.J. Pollock ARI .256 -.065

Chase Utley PHI .256 -.065
156 Michael Bourn CLE .255 -.117

Dexter Fowler CHC .255 -.117

Mike Moustakas KCR .255 -.117
159 Dustin Ackley SEA .254 -.170

Marlon Byrd CIN .254 -.170

Jedd Gyorko SDP .254 -.170

J.J. Hardy BAL .254 -.170

DJ LeMahieu COL .254 -.170

Brandon Phillips CIN .254 -.170
165 Yonder Alonso SDP .253 -.222

Rajai Davis DET .253 -.222

Kevin Kiermaier TBR .253 -.222

Logan Morrison SEA .253 -.222

Joc Pederson LAD .253 -.222

Michael Saunders TOR .253 -.222

Andrelton Simmons ATL .253 -.222

Mark Teixeira NYY .253 -.222
173 Travis d'Aranud NYM .252 -.275

Ike Davis OAK .252 -.275

David Freese LAA .252 -.275

Jed Lowrie HOU .252 -.275

Michael Morse MIA .252 -.275

Angel Pagan SFG .252 -.275

Trevor Plouffe MIN .252 -.275

Matt Wieters BAL .252 -.275
181 Cody Asche PHI .251 -.327

Yunel Escobar WAS .251 -.327

Omar Infante KCR .251 -.327

Jon Jay SLC .251 -.327

Brad Miller SEA .251 -.327

Colby Rasmus HOU .251 -.327

Travis Snider BAL .251 -.327
188 Chris Johnson ATL .250 -.379

Matt Joyce LAA .250 -.379

Chris Owings ARI .250 -.379

Drew Stubbs COL .250 -.379
192 Wilmer Flores NYM .249 -.432

Conor Gillaspie CWS .249 -.432

Aaron Hill ARI .249 -.432

Ryan Howard PHI .249 -.432

Ender Inciarte ARI .249 -.432

Juan Lagares NYM .249 -.432

Jose Ramirez CLE .249 -.432

Yasmany Tomas ARI .249 -.432

Mike Zunino SEA .249 -.432
Rank Player Team Projected EFA SDs from mean
201 Arismendy Alcantara CHC .248 -.484

Russell Martin TOR .248 -.484

Jordy Mercer PIT .248 -.484

Jonathan Schoop BAL .248 -.484
205 Jarrod Dyson KCR .247 -.536

Nick Franklin TBR .247 -.536

Garrett Jones NYY .247 -.536

Miguel Montero CHC .247 -.536

Dalton Pompey TOR .247 -.536

Wilson Ramos WAS .247 -.536

Shane Victorino BOS .247 -.536
212 Emilio Bonifacio CWS .246 -.589

Allen Craig BOS .246 -.589

Yasmani Grandal LAD .246 -.589

Josh Hamilton LAA .246 -.589

Casey McGehee SFG .246 -.589

Joe Panik SFG .246 -.589

David Peralta ARI .246 -.589

Jon Singleton HOU .246 -.589

Seth Smith SEA .246 -.589

Justin Smoak TOR .246 -.589
222 Chris Coghlan CHC .245 -.641

C.J. Cron LAA .245 -.641

Jose Iglesias DET .245 -.641

Jung-ho Kang PIT .245 -.641

Derek Norris SDP .245 -.641

Ryan Rua TEX .245 -.641

Nick Swisher CLE .245 -.641

Luis Valbuena HOU .245 -.641

Stephen Vogt OAK .245 -.641
231 Brandon Crawford SFG .244 -.693

Mitch Moreland TEX .244 -.693

Marcus Semien CWS .244 -.693

Delmon Young BAL .244 -.693
235 Zoilo Almonte ATL .243 -.746

Gregor Blanco SFG .243 -.746

Alberto Callaspo ATL .243 -.746

Anthony Gose DET .243 -.746

Adeiny Hechavarria MIA .243 -.746

Jake Marisnick HOU .243 -.746

Josh Rutledge LAA .243 -.746
242 Maikel Franco PHI .242 -.798

Craig Gentry OAK .242 -.798

Juan Uribe LAD .242 -.798
245 Didi Gregorius NYY .241 -.851

Gerardo Parra MIL .241 -.851

Carlos Ruiz PHI .241 -.851

Kurt Suzuki MIN .241 -.851
249 Jason Castro HOU .240 -.903

Matt Dominguez HOU .240 -.903
Rank Player Team Projected EFA SDs from mean

Sam Fuld OAK .240 -.903
252 Alexi Amarista SDP .239 -.955

Zack Cozart CIN .239 -.955

Andre Ethier LAD .239 -.955

Mark Reynolds SLC .239 -.955

Ichiro Suzuki MIA .239 -.955
257 Alex Avila DET .238 -1.008

Robinson Chirinos TEX .238 -1.008

Freddy Galvis PHI .238 -1.008

John Jaso TBR .238 -1.008

Will Middlebrooks SDP .238 -1.008

Josmil Pinto MIN .238 -1.008

Eric Sogard OAK .238 -1.008
264 Christian Bethancourt ATL .237 -1.060

Peter Bourjos SLC .237 -1.060

Alex Rodriguez NYY .237 -1.060

Jarrod Saltalamacchia MIA .237 -1.060

Christian Vazquez BOS .237 -1.060
269 Gordon Beckham CWS .236 -1.112

Stephen Drew NYY .236 -1.112

Yangervis Solarte SDP .236 -1.112

Melvin Upton ATL .236 -1.112
273 Eduardo Escobar MIN .235 -1.165

Tyler Flowers CWS .235 -1.165

Rene Rivera TBR .235 -1.165
276 David DeJesus TBR .234 -1.217

Chris Iannetta LAA .234 -1.217
278 Francisco Cervelli PIT .233 -1.269

Aaron Hicks MIN .233 -1.269
280 Logan Forsythe TBR .232 -1.322
281 Odubel Herrera PHI .231 -1.374

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