Time to reveal one of my GPP lineups I am using on Sunday. This week built my lineup starting with the stack, and then found the value plays that I wanted. This week went with a few chalk plays, but felt they were necessary in order to do well.
Ben Roethlisberger $8,900 and Antonio Brown $9,300:
Roethlisberger has been on a tear since returning from injury. Over the last 6 weeks, he is averaging 24 FanDuel points a game. There has been no slowing Roethlisberger down during this stretch, and I expect more of the same this week. The Ravens have given up the 5th most points to opposing QB's so far this year, and just two weeks ago Russell Wilson threw 5 TD's. During this tear Antonio Brown has benefited the most, averaging just over 27.1 FanDuel points a game. Brown will continue to ride the hot streak here with Roethlisberger, being the chalk stack, but one that will pay off the biggest in the end.
Will Tye $5,100:
Over the last four weeks, Tye has averaged 10.8 FanDuel points a game. These numbers are pretty good for someone at this price range. Now factor in that these games were all with Odell Beckham Jr. getting most of the work, and Beckham won't be playing in Sunday nights game. This provides more opportunities for Tye to see more looks, especially in the redzone. This will be Tye's best game of the year.
Tyler Lockett $6,200:
Russell Wilson and the Seahawks are firing on all cylinders currently. With this new found energy in the offense, Doug Baldwin has been getting all of the notoriety, which is well deserved given his gaudy stats, but Tyler Lockett is also improving each and every week. The last three weeks the Seahawks have been finding ways to get Lockett the ball to make plays as a receiver, not just as a returner anymore. With Marshawn Lynch still out, and Thomas Rawls out for the year, this means the Seahawks may leave even more on the pass game this week to move the ball. This can then result in more quick routes for Lockett where he can be put in space to make plays. The upside is great here, as we saw two weeks ago he can put up near 100 yards and 2 TD's just like that, especially if Doug Baldwin is inactive for the game.
Brandin Cooks $7,000:
This has the potential to be a high scoring game. While Drew Brees is battling an injury right now, I don't know how bad it will actually hurt his game. Cooks only needs a few plays to make a big difference, as his big play potential is always a threat. Cooks has been coming off of a nice stretch recently averaging 16.7 FanDuel points over his last 7 games. What is best about that stretch is that he has had three games of 23+ points. I think another one of those games is in order here.
Adrian Peterson $8,200:
At this point the salary on Peterson is just dropping too low. I know he has been less than spectacular the last three weeks, but I think the rebound is coming in a big way this week. The Giants defense has struggled all season long trying to defend RB's. We all know the upside that Peterson brings to the table, and at this price point, I think you have to play him and think that the breakout can happen on Sunday night.
Charcandrick West $6,700:
West was having a great stretch right after Jamaal Charles went down with his knee injury earlier in the year. Then West got hurt in the Chargers game and hasn't been the same guy since. The good news though is that West appears to be showing those early season flashes again lately. Spencer Ware is not factoring largely into the backfield touches, giving West the opportunity to play like he did earlier in the year. 9 different times this year the Browns have allowed over 100 rushing yards to opposing RB's. In the games where they didn't, the teams they faced had little running games, like the Titans, Chargers, and the 49ers. This is the game that puts West back above the 20 point mark, and I could easily see him flirting with 30 in this game.
Blair Walsh $4,600:
The Vikings are facing the Giants on Sunday night, a defense that has struggled to stop offenses this year. That makes me feel comfortable that Walsh has a nice baseline for this game. 10 points is all you need here, something that takes only a few field goals and extra points to get.
Indianapolis Colts Defense $4,000:
This is my first time running with a minimum priced defense, but needed to do it in order to fit the rest of my team in. Looking at the Colts defense recently, they have had 8 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. While the one game under was them getting zero points, that was against the high-powered Steelers offense. This week the Colts are facing the Dolphins, and you never know which Ryan Tannehill will show up. This pick could go terribly wrong, but I think there is a decent chance they actually play well for me.