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The Keeper Corner #69-55

Studs, studs, studs, and duds

Caylor Arnold-USA TODAY Sports

This is a review of my 2015 preseason rankings for a 6x6 league.  We are now fully immersed in the studs who were the cornerstones of your franchise this year.  Now, these rankings are strictly based on the values I created for these players, based off their projections.  Something I must say is that at this point the rankings are more tiered than strict ranks.  For example, I would never take a closer this high, even if my values project them to be worth it.  All of these guys were capable of elite production, but some production is harder to replace than others, and I took that into consideration while drafting.  Without further ado, we continue with the rankings, and there will be a full spreadsheet of ranks will be posted underneath the players reviewed today.

#69 Kris Bryant, 3B, CHC

$18.40, 68 R, 27 HR, 71 RBI, 7 SB, .263 AVG, .881 OPS

Bryant was awesome, and I hope he continues his ascent.  He showed up and crushed 26 homers, and beat out his R, RBI, SB, and batting average projections.  His .378 babip is high, but when you are hitting balls as hard as Bryant, more hits can slip through the cracks than the average bat.  Next year if he dropped his K rate below 30% we could be looking at an MVP contender.  Draft with confidence.

#68 Kole Calhoun, OF, LAA

$18.44, 91 R, 20 HR, 72 RBI, 9 SB, .272 AVG, .783 OPS

This is the Trout effect fully on display.  I'm not a fan of Calhoun, but he did hit 26 home runs, and  had his average drop to .256 along with his strike out rate jumping over 4 percentage points up.  Its odd that his career year for homers led to his lowest slugging percentage ever and probably his worst offensive year.  Next season I think he'll be back to batting in front of Mike Trout, and will I'd assume he'll be scoring a slew of runs again, while you hope for everything else to happen to raise his value.  Its hard to draft a guy this high when you know he's dependent on someone else.

#67 Ryan Zimmerman, 3B/OF, WSH

$18.60, 76 R, 20 HR, 83 RBI, 4 SB, .277 AVG, .807 OPS

Zimmerman only played 95 games after suffering foot and oblique injuries last year.  He wasn't a very good hitter when he was on the field, but I'm not sure what percentage of the time he was actually playing healthy.  With Zimmerman you are constantly dealing with his nagging injuries, and now that he's a 1B, he's far less enticing to own than in years past.  He'll take a significant hit in my rankings this year.

#66 Pablo Sandoval, 3B, BOS

$18.80, 80 R, 16 HR, 84 RBI, 0 SB, .291 AVG, .800 OPS

Is calling someone fat and terrible good fantasy analysis?  He had knee and foot injuries last year, something that being overweight aggravates.  His walk and strikeout rates both got worse last year, his batted ball profile saw his line drives drop and infield fly balls jump up, as well as having fewer hard hit balls.  Pablo was also swinging more than any year prior in his career, hopefully this isn't a sign of him getting older, as he'll only be 30 next season, but I wouldn't be surprised if there was a study that proved that terrible bodies age much faster than the average player.  I'm not a big Sandoval supporter going into 2016 unless he can get into much better shape.

#65 Chris Carter, DH, HOU

$18.93, 75 R, 36 HR, 90 RBI, 4 SB, .236 AVG, .812 OPS

Carter was terrible, failing to hit .200 last year.  His tire fire of a season perfectly illustrates his floor, while 2014 was closer to his ceiling.  He missed time with an ankle injury, but still hit 24 home runs in 129 games.  He's going to be a lot cheaper next season, and may give you an opportunity to buy low.  Not much changed between his 2014 and 2015.  Obviously this is a player who isn't worth the #65 pick, but I can see him being a top 100 player despite his obvious contact flaws.

#64 Greg Holland, RP, KC

$18.94, 99K, 4W, 47 SV, 2.057 ERA, 1.014 WHIP, 3.96 K/BB

Holland had a down year and later it was discovered that he was pitching with a torn UCL.  He has had Tommy John, and will miss all of 2016.  If you are in a full rebuild, this could be a great buy low.

#63 Starling Marte, OF, PIT

$18.99, 87 R, 14 HR, 55 RBI, 35 SB, .279 AVG, .778 OPS

Marte had a better year than expected, and fell one homer short of a 20HR/30SB season.  Marte will be playing his age 27 season next year, and if he puts a few more balls in the air, he could take the next step and have a star caliber fantasy season.

#62 Mark Melancon, RP, PIT

$18.99, 71 K, 4 W, 43 SV, 2.057 ERA, .929 WHIP, 6.455 K/BB

Does saving 51 games make him the closer of the year?  His strikeout rate dipped a little, but he was otherwise excellent.  I'm a fan of his, and expect another great year in 2016.

#61 Nolan Arenado, 3B, COL

$19.83, 74 R, 19 HR, 75 RBI, 3 SB, .292 AVG, .804 OPS

Arenado hit more homers than my full projection on the road last year.  He's a top 10 player going into 2016 after allowing his above average power and contact ability to play, and enhanced his skills in Colorado.  Fun fact about Arenado, he hit so many homers that his babip was actually below his batting average in 2015.

#60 Mookie Betts, OF, BOS

$19.86, 85 R, 11 HR, 56 RBI, 28 SB, .291 AVG, .808 OPS

Mookie hit more homers and stole few bases than projected, but he performed roughly as expected.  Mookie is a very talented hitter, who is an excellent keeper going forward.  He's got a great contact bat, and rarely swings and misses.  Invest with confidence next season, his diverse skill set will pay off.

#59 Craig Kimbrel, RP, ATL

$20.25, 107K, 4 W, 44 SV, 2.057 ERA, .943 WHIP, 4.28 K/BB

Kimbrel was awesome last year, and the uncharacteristic homers given up is only a blip on the map to me.  I expect those to go back down to normal, and for him to be an elite reliever in Boston next season.  I wouldn't draft him in the top 100, but he's a very valuable piece.

#58 Cole Hamels, SP, PHI

$20.59, 208 K, 15 W, 0 SV, 3.152 ERA, 1.147 WHIP, 3.525 K/BB

Hamels actually had a down year, but still provided plenty of value to his owners.  The wins were lacking while he was in Philadelphia, but everything else was within his projections.  Next year I'd expect another year with an ERA in the low 3s. a WHIP around 1.2, and him piling up innings and strikeouts as expected.  There isn't much to delve into with a consistently strong pitcher.

#57 Koji Uehara, RP, BOS

$20.84, 80 K, 4 W, 38 SV, 2.215 ERA, .846 WHIP, 11.429 K/BB

This ranking is purely based off of K/BB expectation, something he didn't come close to fruition.  He has officially lost his closer job in Boston, so he falls close to 200 spots for me next year.

#56 Evan Longoria, 3B, TB

$21.03, 84 R, 26 HR, 88 RBI, 3 SB, .269 AVG, .788 OPS

Longoria posted another solid season, and for the third consecutive season played over 162 games.  Longoria's batted ball profile was almost identical in 2015 as it was to his 2014 numbers.  Next year he'll be 30 and I expect him to supply his owners more of the same production he gave the past two years.

#55 Jon Lester, SP, CHC

$21.04, 208K, 14 W, 3.344 ERA, 1.174 WHIP, 4.078

Lester posted a great year supplying strikeouts, limiting walks, and inducing a lot of ground outs for his owners.  That's the trifecta for fantasy owners, and he rewarded those who invested in him.  Lester is an ace in fantasy next year, and you should buy him with confidence next season.

Below are the ranks up to todays players, and if you have any questions about them, comment below or send me a question on twitter @jackcecil1.

Rank

Name

Position

Value

55

Jon Lester

P

21.04

56

Evan Longoria

3B

21.03

57

Koji Uehara

P

20.84

58

Cole Hamels

P

20.59

59

Craig Kimbrel

P

20.25

60

Mookie Betts

OF

19.86

61

Nolan Arenado

3B

19.83

62

Mark Melancon

P

18.99

63

Starling Marte

OF

18.96

64

Greg Holland

P

18.94

65

Chris Carter

DH

18.93

66

Pablo Sandoval

3B

18.8

67

Ryan Zimmerman

3B, OF

18.6

68

Kole Calhoun

OF

18.44

69

Kris Bryant

3B

18.4

70

Chris Davis

1B, 3B

18.35

71

Adam Wainwright

P

18.23

72

Evan Gattis

C

18.18

73

Nelson Cruz

OF, DH

17.94

74

Ian Kinsler

2B

17.88

75

Kyle Seager

3B

17.82

76

Jose Reyes

SS

17.33

77

Adam LaRoche

1B

17.25

78

Jeff Samardzija

P

17.07

79

Hyun-Jin Ryu

P

16.98

80

Justin Morneau

1B

16.92

81

James Shields

P

16.64

82

David Robertson

P

15.88

83

Todd Frazier

3B, 1B

15.81

84

Jayson Werth

OF

15.69

85

Carlos Carrasco

P

15.68

86

Devin Mesoraco

C

15.5

87

J.D. Martinez

OF

15.47

88

Phil Hughes

P

15.37

89

Melky Cabrera

OF

15.23

90

Matt Harvey

P

15.06

91

Kenley Jansen

P

15

92

Starlin Castro

SS

14.96

93

Glen Perkins

P

14.91

94

Hunter Pence

OF

14.85

95

Jorge Soler

OF

14.76

96

Pedro Alvarez

3B

14.65

97

Dellin Betances

P

14.63

98

Julio Teheran

P

14.5

99

Brandon Moss

1B, OF

14.36

100

Mark Trumbo

1B, OF

14.23

101

Matt Carpenter

3B

14.19

102

Manny Machado

3B

14.17

103

Jason Heyward

OF

14.07

104

Hisashi Iwakuma

P

13.98

105

Huston Street

P

13.64

106

Rusney Castillo

OF

13.51

107

Jacob deGrom

P

13.46

108

Dustin Pedroia

2B

13.22

109

Neil Walker

2B

13.08

110

Alex Cobb

P

13.03

111

Andrew Miller

P

12.97

112

Christian Yelich

OF

12.96

113

Sean Doolittle

P

12.95

114

Jonathan Papelbon

P

12.64

115

Jay Bruce

OF

12.6

116

Alex Gordon

OF

12.48

117

Marcell Ozuna

OF

12.23

118

Brian Dozier

2B

11.99

119

Homer Bailey

P

11.98

120

Lucas Duda

1B

11.93

121

Yadier Molina

C

11.84

122

Leonys Martin

OF

11.84

123

Matt Adams

1B

11.78

124

Cody Allen

P

11.7

125

Steve Cishek

P

11.5

126

Joaquin Benoit

P

11.45

127

Alex Wood

P

11.28

128

Jason Kipnis

2B

11.16

129

Brandon McCarthy

P

11.08

130

Trevor Rosenthal

P

10.92

131

Adam Lind

1B, DH

10.91

132

Kolten Wong

2B

10.81

133

Ben Zobrist

2B, SS, OF

10.79

134

Gerrit Cole

P

10.75

135

Chase Utley

2B

10.72

136

David Wright

3B

10.63

137

Charlie Blackmon

OF

10.55

138

Aramis Ramirez

3B

10.51

139

Anibal Sanchez

P

10.49

140

Ken Giles

P

10.26

141

Martin Prado

3B, 2B

10.14

142

Drew Smyly

P

10.14

143

Steve Pearce

1B, OF

10.05

144

Fernando Rodney

P

10

145

Jake Arrieta

P

9.99

146

Yan Gomes

C

9.8

147

Drew Storen

P

9.75

148

Gio Gonzalez

P

9.73

149

Daniel Murphy

2B

9.46

150

Michael Cuddyer

OF

9.39

151

Doug Fister

P

9.37

152

Michael Wacha

P

9.12

153

Joe Mauer

1B

9.04

154

Brett Gardner

OF

9.04

155

Hector Rondon

P

8.87

157

Scooter Gennett

2B

8.62

156

Alexei Ramirez

SS

8.62

158

Tyson Ross

P

8.6

159

Billy Butler

DH, 1B

8.54

160

Mat Latos

P

8.48

161

Howie Kendrick

2B

8.43

162

Eric Hosmer

1B

8.41

163

Garrett Richards

P

8.09

164

Brandon Belt

1B

8.07

165

Josh Harrison

OF, 3B

8.06

166

Jake McGee

P

8

167

Andrew Cashner

P

7.9

168

A.J. Pollock

OF

7.88

169

John Lackey

P

7.86

170

Marlon Byrd

OF

7.7

171

Jedd Gyorko

2B

7.55

172

Francisco Rodriguez

P

7.47

173

Yusmeiro Petit

P

7.45

174

Alex Rios

OF

7.39

175

Oswaldo Arcia

OF

7.32

176

Khris Davis

OF

7.19

177

Salvador Perez

C

7.15

178

Mike Fiers

P

7.06

179

Billy Hamilton

OF

6.84

180

Brian McCann

C

6.76

181

Addison Reed

P

6.6

183

Bartolo Colon

P

6.41

182

Lance Lynn

P

6.41

184

Scott Kazmir

P

6.37

185

Shin-Soo Choo

OF, DH

6.21

186

Carl Crawford

OF

6.04

187

Chase Headley

3B

5.98

188

Jose Quintana

P

5.95

189

Tony Watson

P

5.82

190

Justin Verlander

P

5.69

191

Brad Boxberger

P

5.64

192

Dan Haren

P

5.59

193

Aaron Hill

2B

5.44

194

Rick Porcello

P

5.35

195

Luke Gregerson

P

5.29

196

Michael Pineda

P

5.29

197

Rougned Odor

2B

5.2

198

Michael Saunders

OF

5.2

199

Lonnie Chisenhall

3B

5.19

200

Mike Leake

P

5.18

201

Ian Kennedy

P

5.12

202

Jonathon Niese

P

5.1

203

Wade Davis

P

5.07

204

Yasmany Tomas

OF

5.06

205

Wilin Rosario

C

5.05

206

Jhonny Peralta

SS

5

207

Torii Hunter

OF

4.71

208

Mike Napoli

1B

4.71

209

Matt Shoemaker

P

4.69

210

Jimmy Rollins

SS

4.66

211

Zach Britton

P

4.63

212

Russell Martin

C

4.44

213

Josh Reddick

OF

4.38

214

Collin McHugh

P

4.37

215

Jered Weaver

P

4.35

216

Brandon Finnegan

P

4.27

217

Jake Peavy

P

4.25

218

Matt Cain

P

4.25

219

Sergio Romo

P

4.25

220

Gregory Polanco

OF

4.2

221

Matt Wieters

C

4.12

222

CC Sabathia

P

4.11

223

Carlos Beltran

OF, DH

3.9

224

Erick Aybar

SS

3.89

225

Jake Odorizzi

P

3.79

227

Joe Nathan

P

3.74

226

Sonny Gray

P

3.74

228

Bobby Parnell

P

3.71

229

Dallas Keuchel

P

3.68

230

Danny Salazar

P

3.66

232

Curtis Granderson

OF

3.65

231

Joc Pederson

OF

3.65

233

Kyle Lohse

P

3.55

234

Rafael Soriano

P

3.54

235

Jose Fernandez

P

3.43

236

Wei-Yin Chen

P

3.31

237

Drew Hutchison

P

3.27

238

Derek Holland

P

3.25

239

Darren O'Day

P

3.14

240

Trevor Plouffe

3B

3.1

241

Chris Tillman

P

3.1

242

John Jaso

C, DH

3.07

243

Nick Markakis

OF

2.86

244

Elvis Andrus

SS

2.77

245

Kevin Gausman

P

2.75

246

Tyler Clippard

P

2.7

247

Jason Hammel

P

2.68

248

Matt Garza

P

2.62

249

Coco Crisp

OF

2.52

250

Dillon Gee

P

2.49

251

Neftali Feliz

P

2.43

252

Chris Archer

P

2.31

253

Josh Collmenter

P

2.24

254

Ben Revere

OF

2.18

255

Pat Neshek

P

2.16

256

David Peralta

OF

2.14

257

Denard Span

OF

1.82

258

Santiago Casilla

P

1.76

259

Nick Castellanos

3B

1.71

260

Adam Eaton

OF

1.64

261

Wilson Ramos

C

1.6

262

Wil Myers

OF

1.6

263

Jenrry Mejia

P

1.5

264

Kyle Hendricks

P

1.45

265

Steven Souza

OF

1.42

266

Vance Worley

P

1.32

267

Dalton Pompey

OF

1.17

268

Joakim Soria

P

1.15

269

Nathan Eovaldi

P

1.1

270

Andrew Heaney

P

1.04

271

Joe Smith

P

0.81

272

Lorenzo Cain

OF

0.68

273

Marco Estrada

P

0.46

274

Francisco Liriano

P

0.39

275

Dee Gordon

2B

0.3

276

Desmond Jennings

OF

0.2

277

Ervin Santana

P

0.08

278

Kevin Quackenbush

P

0.06

279

Mark Teixeira

1B

0

280

Mike Minor

P

0

281

Michael Morse

1B, OF

-0.01

282

James Loney

1B

-0.07

284

Kennys Vargas

DH

-0.08

283

Justin Smoak

1B

-0.08

285

Rajai Davis

OF

-0.14

286

Angel Pagan

OF

-0.19

287

Junichi Tazawa

P

-0.23

288

Henderson Alvarez

P

-0.41

289

R.A. Dickey

P

-0.44

290

Clay Buchholz

P

-0.46

291

Brandon Phillips

2B

-0.51

292

Asdrubal Cabrera

SS, 2B

-0.55

293

Danny Santana

SS, OF

-0.76

294

Shelby Miller

P

-0.79

295

LaTroy Hawkins

P

-0.87

296

Jed Lowrie

SS

-1.02

297

Wade Miley

P

-1.05

298

T.J. House

P

-1.09

299

Danny Farquhar

P

-1.12

300

Brett Cecil

P

-1.15