QB: Geno Smith, Michael Vick
Geno’s rookie season went as I thought it would. He showed promise, he made some plays, and then he looked like he had no clue what he was doing. For fantasy purposes, he had five 20-point games, which was the same as Cam Newton and one more than Andrew Luck. However, he also had seven games with single-digit points, including two where he finished in the negatives. Improving the receiving corps will help, but he isn’t a guy one can start for 15-16 weeks. He’s still a streamer until he shows otherwise. Vick showed last year that his arm is pretty much done but that he can still make plays with his legs. The Jets would be foolish to bench Geno for Vick, and fantasy owners should hesitate to pick Vick up unless it’s a deeper league.
RB: Chris Johnson, Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell
As I wrote a few months ago, CJ?K isn’t the same guy he was a few years ago when he was an elite fantasy option. The Jets won’t face too many tough run defenses this season, but Johnson needs the volume that is derived from extended drives to achieve maximum value. For context, Ivory carried the ball only 182 times compared to Powell’s 176. Factor in CJ?K and do the math, and two of the three guys aren’t happy. Ivory doesn’t catch passes, but he will head into training camp ahead of Powell, although both fare similarly with efficiency numbers. I have seen Ivory go as high as the 7th round in early mocks, but he isn’t likely to return that draft position.
WR: Eric Decker, Stephen Hill, Jeremy Kerley, Jalen Saunders, Shaq Evans
Watching last year’s Jets receivers was worse than listening to Manny Pacquiao sing "Let It Go". Decker, as a tall target with great hands, should approach 1,000 yards, but the touchdowns are no guarantee. Granted, Hill is athletic, but he doesn’t look like a receiver sometimes. Regardless of the quarterback situation, he still looks raw. Outside of PPR leagues, Kerley isn’t helpful since Decker will likely take away the short touchdown looks. In the 2014 draft, the Jets selected Saunders and Evans, but I don’t expect consistent production until 2015 or beyond.
TE: Jeff Cumberland, Jace Amaro, Kellen Winslow
Last season, Cumberland and Winslow finished 25th and 33rd in standard scoring, and adding Amaro probably neutralizes most of the upside from a Geno Smith breakout unless he really favors one of the three. There’s nothing to see here.
As I explained in my D/ST rankings, the Jets have an elite run defense but are likely to continue their struggles against the pass, as S Calvin Pryor was the only major addition in the secondary.