Consensus Position Rankings/Projections: Top 75 Outfielders for 2014, Part 3

On Monday, we brought you part 1 of our consensus Top 75 Outfielder Rankings, and on Wednesday we brought your part 2 of our rankings. Today, we bring you part 3 of our consensus fantasy outfielder rankings for 2014.

Below you will find links to all of our position rankings and projections that we have published to date:

Catcher: Part 1| Part 2

First Base: Part 1| Part 2

Second Base: Part 1| Part 2

Shortstop: Part 1| Part 2

Third Base: Part 1| Part 2

Outfielders: Part 1| Part 2

The outfielder rankings will be split into three parts, rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 1 - 25 in part 1, and rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 26 - 50 in part 2 to be published on Wednesday morning, and outfielders ranked 51-75 on Friday morning. I probaby won't write about each of the outfielders ranked, but will provide comments on players that I like/dislike for 2014. Consensus rankings should bring about discussion amongst you, our readers, and the Fake Teams writers who participated in this series.

In addition to the rankings, we are now offering your 2014 projections for each player ranked, courtesy of Dan Schwartz from Fake Teams and Rotobanter. He has spent all offseason on his projections, and to learn more about how he calculates his projections, you can read his explanations here: Part 1| Part 2| Part 3. Part 1 details his projection approach, Part 2 details how he calculates his hitter projections and part 3 details how he calculates his pitcher projections.

We didn't stop at just providing you rankings and projections, as we are also providing you with auction values, courtesy of Dan, along with the Equivalent Fantasy Average for each player ranked, courtesy of Daniel Kelley. The equivalent fantasy average can be used to compare players at the same position.

Here is a brief explanation of Equivalent Fantasy Average, from Daniel's Fantasy Average Positional Breakdownpiece a few weeks ago:

Those who have been around the last week or two probably saw my Fantasy Average piece, in which I attempted to use standard deviations to present every offensive players' fantasy contributions in terms of a batting average-like number. That presentation is a useful ranking tool and, since it's on a scale we're all familiar with, is a heck of a shorthand for overall strength. If your guy hit ".300" by Fantasy Average, he's a heck of a player.

And all of this is consolidated, with player photos, into statistical tables thanks to the work of Jason Hunt.

2014 Outfielder Rankings - Part 3

Now let's take a look at part 3 of our Top 75 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings for 2014:

Rank	Player	Team	Ranking Points	Ray	Matt	Brian	Alex	Daniel	Joe	Jason	Zack
51	Khris Davis	MIL	202	55	37	57	46	72	42	71	42
52	B.J. Upton	ATL	200	33	55	59	59	51	70	49	48
53	Nick Markakis	BAL	193	75	59	39	55	54	38	53	58
54	Dexter Fowler	HOU	192	53	67	55	57	60	55	57	28
55	Michael Brantley	CLE	183	59		52	54	45	36	60	57
56	George Springer	HOU	175	51	34	53	65	58	58	52
57	Alejandro De Aza	CHW	173	56		54	52	39	72	61	39
58	Chris Carter	HOU	169	54	65	51	75	49	41	55	65
59	Ben Revere	PHI	166	47	42	62	61	74	47	63	62
60	Colby Rasmus	TOR	162	49	63	63	53	56	56	62	60
61	Josh Reddick	OAK	159	58	56	65	56	61	57	59	53
62	Carl Crawford	LAD	149	60	51	60	64	55	61	58	66
63	Kole Calhoun	LAA	146	48	54	64	70	62	34	74	72
64	Oswaldo Arcia	MIN	130	67		61	58	69	49	69	43
65	Eric Young	NYM	126	65	74	58	66	59	53	54	69
66	Denard Span	WSN	83			66	67	64	66	68	54
67	Marlon Byrd	PHI	78	61	69		74	63	74	56	71
67	Avisail Garcia	CHW	78		50	68	72	68	54
69	Oscar Taveras	STL	70		36	73	69			64
70	Andre Ethier	LAD	66	70	58	75				72	49
71	Evan Gattis	ATL	60			67	60			66	59
72	Daniel Nava	BOS	59	73	57		63	75	63
73	Jackie Bradley	BOS	48		73			57	69	65
74	Peter Bourjos	STL	46		72	70		66	71	73	70
75	Lorenzo Cain	KCR	35					67	65	67

Others Receiving Votes: Josh Willingham (35), Cameron Maybin (34), Matt Joyce (29), Angel Pagan (26), Michael Saunders (26), Carlos Quentin (26), Mike Morse (26), Melky Cabrera (22) Nate Schierholtz (21), Lucas Duda (13), Rajai Davis (11), Marcell Ozuna (11), Gerardo Parra (10), Junior Lake (9), Ryan Ludwick (7), A.J. Pollock (7), Justin Ruggiano (7), Chris Young (5), Aaron Hicks (4), Gregory Polanco (3), Raul Ibanez (3)

Player Profiles

There are several outfielders listed in the 51-75 rankings that could break out in 2014, including Khris Davis, Kole Calhoun, George Springer and Oscar Taveras. Springer and Taveras just need a phone call to start making an impact on fantasy rosters, while Davis and Calhoun have to show that their cup of coffee in 2013 was no fluke.

	# 51 Khris Davis (MIL)
Photo Credit: Jake Roth - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.279	27	11	27	3
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
153	0.353	0.596	7.19%	22.22%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.258	64	21	74	7
Auction Value: $ 6		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.265

If it wasn't for Billy Hamilton getting all the offseason hype, Davis might be the next guy in line. Davis is getting some hype due to his terrific performance in his big league debut last season, where he hit .279-.353-.596 with 11 home runs, 27 runs, 27 RBI and 3 stolen bases in 153 plate appearances.

His batted ball profile shows that he hits enough line drives (20%) to hit for a decent average, but his 28.9% home run per fly ball percentage is not something he will repeat in 2014. In fact, his HR/FB% ranked right up there with the other Chris Davis among hitters with 150 or more plate appearances last season. I want to see him do this for a full season before I believe in this kind of power.

One thing he has going for him is he has tremendous plate discipline, as he walked more than 10% of his plate appearances at three different levels over the last two years, and doesn't strike out a ton.

	# 52 B.J. Upton (ATL)
Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.184	30	9	26	12
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
446	0.268	0.289	9.87%	33.86%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.218	59	15	57	20
Auction Value: $ -2.51		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.254

I wrote about Upton in my players to target which published yesterday. Here is an excerpt:

He already owns two 20-30 seasons and three 20-20 seasons, and you can draft him in the 14th round of the 15 team NFBC leagues. Not many 20-30 hitters are found that late in drafts. Does he come with some risk? Sure, but drafting him that late in drafts, you are buying all upside.

I am willing to take on the batting average risk that comes with Upton, as I think he returns to being a 20 home run, 30 stolen base hitter in 2014.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 53 Nick Markakis (BAL)	0.282	85	11	68	1	7.42	0.266
# 54 Dexter Fowler (HOU)	0.264	75	13	51	13	3.96	0.262
# 55 Michael Brantley (CLE)	0.285	66	10	71	15	8.03	0.268

	# 56 George Springer (HOU)
Photo Credit: Tommy Gilligan - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0	0	0	0	0
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
0	0	0	0.00%	0.00%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.24	59	16	55	23
Auction Value: $ 2.22		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.26

Springer is one of the prospects that you will want to target late in drafts this season. If he doesn't make the 25 man roster on Opening Day, it shouldn't be long before he gets a call up in 2014. The Astros spent some money this season, so it appears they want to improve upon their 111 losses last season, so there is a slight chance he moves west with the team in late March.

If so, he would move up my outfielder rankings, probably into my top 40, as he has the tools and talent to put up a 20-20 season in 2014.

Matt Mattingly wrote about him yesterday here.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 57 Alejandro De Aza (CHW)	0.262	55	7	38	13	-4.24	0.251

	# 58 Chris Carter (HOU)
Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.223	64	29	82	2
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
585	0.32	0.451	11.97%	36.24%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.235	66	29	83	1
Auction Value: $ 5.27		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.265

Carter is one guy you should target later in drafts if you are in need of some power, but he will be a hindrance on your team batting average. Last season, he hit  .223-.320-.451 with 29 home runs, 64 runs and 82 RBI in 148 games, but with the power you got a 36% strikeout rate. Luckily, he walks a good deal, so he provides some value in OBP leagues.

	# 59 Ben Revere (PHI)
Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.305	37	0	17	22
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
336	0.338	0.352	4.76%	10.71%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.292	69	0	30	38
Auction Value: $ 4.98		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.265

Revere missed almost half of the season due to a fractured foot in 2013, and he will be looking to bounce back as a result. When he did play, he hit well, hitting .305-.338-.352 with 22 stolen bases in 88 games, and he still has the skills to steal 40+ bases, so don't sleep on him on draft day.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 60 Colby Rasmus (TOR)	0.247	62	25	72	1	3.68	0.262
# 61 Josh Reddick (OAK)	0.241	63	20	66	10	2.56	0.26
# 62 Carl Crawford (LAD)	0.277	70	8	38	16	1.36	0.259

	# 63 Kole Calhoun (LAA)
Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.282	29	8	32	2
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
222	0.347	0.462	9.46%	18.47%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.275	70	18	70	10
Auction Value: $ 8.46		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.269

Like Khris Davis, Calhoun is getting plenty of sleeper love this offseason. Calhoun made the most of his cup of coffee last season, hitting .282-.347-.462 with 8 home runs, 29 runs, 32 RBI and 2 stolen bases in just 222 plate appearances.

Calhoun will play every day in Los Angeles and could hit at the top of the Angels lineup as well.

	# 64 Oswaldo Arcia (MIN)
Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.251	34	14	43	1
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
378	0.304	0.43	6.08%	30.95%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.262	59	23	70	2
Auction Value: $ 4.37		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.263

Arcia offers excellent power later in drafts, but plays in the pitchers park that is Target Field. He hit .251 with 14 home runs, 34 runs and 43 RBI in 378 plate appearances, but he struck out 31% of the time. I wouldn't put too much into that as he never struck out that much in the minors, and see him improving in 2014.

	# 65 Eric Young (NYM)
Photo Credit: Rick Scuteri - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.249	70	2	32	46
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
598	0.31	0.336	7.69%	16.72%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.256	77	3	37	42
Auction Value: $ 4.34		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.264

EYJr led the National League in stolen bases last season, if you can believe it. It looks like the Mets will play him every day in the outfield to start the season, so he has plenty of value due to his stolen base potential this season. Could he steal more bases than Billy Hamilton this season? He could if he plays 145-150 games.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 66 Denard Span (WSN)	0.272	68	4	42	17	-0.09	0.257
# 67 Avisail Garcia (CHW)	0.275	62	14	63	9	4.03	0.263
# 68 Marlon Byrd (PHI)	0.255	46	13	50	2	-5.69	0.249

	# 69 Oscar Taveras (STL)
Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0	0	0	0	0
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
0	0	0	0.00%	0.00%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.284	15	3	17	2
Auction Value: $ -18.82		Equivalent Fantasy Average: N/A

Taveras will probably start the season in AAA, but is an injury or long slump from Matt Adams from a call up. He has the potential to hit .300 and hit 25 or more home runs at his peak, but could hit .275 with 15-17 home runs if he gets 500 at bats this season.

Jason Hunt profiled Taveras on Wednesday here.

	# 70 Andre Ethier (LAD)
Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.272	54	12	52	4
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
553	0.36	0.423	11.03%	17.18%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.272	38	7	37	2
Auction Value: $ -9.69		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.245

Ethier has an ADP per NFBC of 331.84, so he is being drafted around the 20th round in 15 team leagues right now. I see his ADP rising from here, as Matt Kemp will probably start the season on the disabled list, even if his MRI comes back fine later today. As a result, Ethier should be playing every day in a very good Dodgers lineup. Should Kemp come back 100% healthy, Ethier could end up traded, and that could be to a team in a better hitters park, so there are a few reasons to draft Ethier late in drafts this season.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 71 Evan Gattis (ATL)	0.253	44	19	53	0	-0.21	0.251
# 72 Daniel Nava (BOS)	0.281	67	10	59	0	1.23	0.259
# 73 Jackie Bradley (BOS)	0.252	61	8	54	11	-2.18	0.254
# 74 Peter Bourjos (STL)	0.257	55	8	50	13	-2.99	0.253
# 75 Lorenzo Cain (KCR)	0.263	60	8	52	16	-0.02	0.257

Fantasy Rundown

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