Consensus Position Rankings/Projections: Top 75 Outfielders for 2014, Part 2

On Monday, we brought you part 1 of our consensus Top 75 Outfielder Rankings. Today, we bring you part 2 of our consensus fantasy outfielder rankings for 2014.

Below you will find links to all of our position rankings and projections that we have published to date:

Catcher: Part 1| Part 2

First Base: Part 1| Part 2

Second Base: Part 1| Part 2

Shortstop: Part 1| Part 2

Third Base: Part 1| Part 2

The outfielder rankings will be split into three parts, rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 1 - 25 in part 1, and rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 26 - 50 in part 2 to be published on Wednesday morning, and outfielders ranked 51-75 on Friday morning. I probaby won't write about each of the outfielders ranked, but will provide comments on players that I like/dislike for 2014. Consensus rankings should bring about discussion amongst you, our readers, and the Fake Teams writers who participated in this series.

In addition to the rankings, we are now offering your 2014 projections for each player ranked, courtesy of Dan Schwartz from Fake Teams and Rotobanter. He has spent all offseason on his projections, and to learn more about how he calculates his projections, you can read his explanations here: Part 1| Part 2| Part 3. Part 1 details his projection approach, Part 2 details how he calculates his hitter projections and part 3 details how he calculates his pitcher projections.

We didn't stop at just providing you rankings and projections, as we are also providing you with auction values, courtesy of Dan, along with the Equivalent Fantasy Average for each player ranked, courtesy of Daniel Kelley. The equivalent fantasy average can be used to compare players at the same position.

Here is a brief explanation of Equivalent Fantasy Average, from Daniel's Fantasy Average Positional Breakdownpiece a few weeks ago:

Those who have been around the last week or two probably saw my Fantasy Average piece, in which I attempted to use standard deviations to present every offensive players' fantasy contributions in terms of a batting average-like number. That presentation is a useful ranking tool and, since it's on a scale we're all familiar with, is a heck of a shorthand for overall strength. If your guy hit ".300" by Fantasy Average, he's a heck of a player.

And all of this is consolidated, with player photos, into statistical tables thanks to the work of Jason Hunt.

2014 Outfielder Rankings

Now let's take a look at part 2 of our Top 75 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings for 2014:

Rank	Player	Team	Ranking Points	Ray	Matt	Brian	Alex	Daniel	Joe	Jason	Zack
26	Mark Trumbo	ARI	414	28	25	21	25	27	25	27	32
27	Domonic Brown	PHI	404	29	27	28	27	34	27	28	20
28	Josh Hamilton	LAA	390	25	24	29	38	23	23	26	46
29	Desmond Jennings	TBR	386	30	20	34	33	29	32	30	30
30	Carlos Beltran	NYY	382	26	46	35	30	31	26	25	23
31	Ben Zobrist	TBR	376	34	33	25	35	30	35	29	27
32	Nelson Cruz	FA	359	38	28	26	36	37	30	35	35
33	Michael Cuddyer	COL	354	27	39	36	31	35	37	32	33
34	Austin Jackson	DET	353	45	32	31	32	26	21	33	51
35	Shane Victorino	BOS	352	40	31	32	26	42	31	36	34
36	Curtis Granderson	NYM	313	37	35	33	44	38	59	34	31
37	Brandon Moss	OAK	295	36	45	41	38	47	44	42	36
38	Leonys Martin	TEX	293	39	43	37	34	41	46	39	52
39	Alfonso Soriano	NYY	290	32	47	48	42	43	27	50	45
40	Billy Hamilton	CIN	289	41	75	50	28	28	29	37	47
41	Coco Crisp	OAK	270	35	53	42	40	48	52	40	44
42	Torii Hunter	DET	268	46	52	47	49	50	33	38	41
43	Will Venable	SDP	261	44	40	44	37	44	67	47	40
44	Norichika Aoki	KCR	258	62	60	38	41	46	39	43	37
45	Martin Prado	ARI	242	50	38	56	45	33		44	38
46	Brett Gardner	NYY	240	64	48	43	43	40	51	45	50
47	Michael Bourn	CLE	234	52	44	40	48	36	60	46	64
48	Christian Yelich	MIA	223	42	41	49	51	73	48	41	56
49	Adam Eaton	CHW	212	43	49	46	50	52	43	51
50	Nick Swisher	CLE	208	57	66	45	47	53	45	48	55

Player Profiles

	# 26 Mark Trumbo (ARI)
Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.234	85	34	100	5
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
678	0.294	0.453	7.96%	27.14%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.249	75	31	91	4
Auction Value: $ 11.99		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.274

Trumbo moves from from the pitcher-friendly Angels Stadium to the hitter-friendly Chase Field in 2014, so one should surmise that he should be able to hit 30+ home runs once again. I think he will, but don't go crazy thinking he will hit 40 home runs this season, as there was only two hitters to reach that mark last season, Chris Davis and Miguel Cabrera.

Only four hitters have hit more home runs than Trumbo since he came into the league three seasons ago, Miguel Cabrera, Adrian Beltre, Jose Bautista and Jay Bruce, and now he is moving to a better hitters park, Chase Field. He could approach 40 home runs in 2014, but he will have to quickly adjust to all of the excellent pitching in the National League, especially the NL West.

	# 27 Domonic Brown (PHI)
Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.272	65	27	83	8
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
540	0.324	0.494	7.22%	17.96%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.27	68	24	85	9
Auction Value: $ 11.85		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.273

Brown had a breakout season in 2013 after making adjustments to his swing, hitting ,272-.324-.494 with 27 home runs, 65 runs, 83 RBI and 8 stolen bases. Brown had a scorching first half last season, hitting .273 with 23 of his 27 home runs and 67 of his 83 RBI, so one has to wonder what happened to him in the second half to cause the huge drop off. Injuries limited him to just 44 games and 156 plate appearances, so that explains some of it. But, there are reasons to be concerned about Brown heading into 2014, as he was rumored to be on the trade block, and at one point was close to being traded to the Blue Jays for Jose Bautista.

His batted ball profile indicates that he can sustain the .270ish batting average, but he will have to repeat the 20% home run per fly ball rate for the power to show up again this season. He plays in what was the best home run ballpark in the majors last season, so he has a good shot at hitting 20-25 home runs at least, and has the potential for a 30 home run, 15-20 stolen base season in 2014.

	# 28 Josh Hamilton (LAA)
Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.25	73	21	79	4
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
636	0.307	0.432	7.39%	24.84%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.265	78	22	91	5
Auction Value: $ 12.05		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.273

Hamilton struggled in 2013, hitting .250-.307-.432 with 21 home runs, 73 runs and 79 RBI in 151 games, his most games played since 2008. His season stats were greatly influenced by his horrible first half split which saw him hit .224 with 14 home runs and 39 RBI, but he found his stroke in the second half, hitting .287 with 7 home runs and 40 RBI.

I see a nice bounce back year from Hamilton in 2014, and he is one outfielder I am targeting this season. The move to a new ball park and the pressure of the new contract may have impacted him somewhat, but people shouldn't forget the amazing first two months of the 2012 season where he hit 21 home runs, drove in 57 runs and hit over .350. He still has that power and hit tool and could have a very nice bounce back season, with a chance for 30 home runs and 90 RBI.

	# 29 Desmond Jennings (TBR)
Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.252	82	14	54	20
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
602	0.334	0.414	10.63%	19.10%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.257	90	15	51	25
Auction Value: $ 9.52		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.27

Jennings has never lived up to his prospect hype in the big leagues, but still hold plenty of fantasy value if you can overlook the low batting average. Last season, Jennings hit .252-.334-.414 with 14 home runs, 82 runs, 54 RBI and 20 stolen bases in 28 attempts. He improved his walk rate to just under 11%, and lowered his strikeout rate from 21% to 19%, so he is making slow improvements at the plate, yet they haven't shown up in his stats.

Early spring reports indicate he has bulked up a bit in the offseason, adding 10-15 pounds of muscle, we could see a bit of a power breakout from him in 2014. It is still to be determined where he hits in the Rays lineup, as he has gone from leading off to batting lower in the order last season.

i could see him hitting 15-20 home runs with 25+ stolen bases in an injury free season in 2014.

	# 30 Carlos Beltran (NYY)
Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.296	79	24	84	2
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
600	0.339	0.491	6.33%	15.00%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.282	75	23	79	2
Auction Value: $ 11.87		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.273

I loved the Beltran signing for the Yankees this offseason, as Beltran offers them an excellent bat in the middle of a lineup decimated by injury last season. He is someone who can play in the outfield and DH when needed, offering fantasy owners 20-25 home run power (maybe a few more with that right field porch in Yankee Stadium) along with a solid batting average and RBI total in 2014.

Here is what I wrote about Beltran earlier this offseason:

Beltran has been known as an injury risk, and he is, but he has played in 142 games or more in each of the last three seasons. That is more games played thanMatt Kemp, Ryan Braun, Carl Crawford, Jacoby Ellsbury and Shin-Soo Chooover the last three seasons. Moving to the Yankees allows him to DH on occasion, allowing him to rest his balky knees a few times per week.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 31 Ben Zobrist (TBR)	0.267	81	15	74	11	11.71	0.269

	# 32 Nelson Cruz (BAL)
Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.266	49	27	76	5
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
456	0.327	0.506	7.68%	23.90%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.259	64	27	88	6
Auction Value: $ 10.35		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.271

Cruz could be a value pick in fantasy drafts this season, as there are going to be several owners in your draft room who are skeptical of him after his PED suspension last season. But, he has signed with the Orioles who play in a hitters park, and he could shine once again. Believe it or not, Cruz has hit 22 or more home runs in five straight seasons, and was well on his way to a 30 home run, 100 RBI season last year before the suspension.

He will be hitting fifth in the Baltimore lineup this season, behind fellow power hitters Adam Jones and Chris Davis, ahead of catcher Matt Wieters, and I expect yet another 20 home run, 80 RBI season from him, assuming he can stay healthy. Don't let the PED suspension affect your ranking of him in 2014.

	# 33 Michael Cuddyer (COL)
Photo Credit: Rick Scuteri - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.331	74	20	84	10
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
540	0.389	0.53	8.52%	18.52%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.28	65	15	72	9
Auction Value: $ 7.27		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.267

Rockies manager Walt Weiss indicated recently that he is considering batting Cuddyer in the two spot in the Rockies lineup this season. I don't mind the move up in the lineup, as he will be hitting ahead of Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowtizki. The move will lower his RBI totals, but should increase his run total, as a result.

Cuddyer enjoyed his second season in Colorado, hitting .331-.389-.530 with 20 home runs, 74 runs, 84 RBI and 10 stolen bases. His slash line was buoyed by a .382 batting average of balls in play, and he isn't repeating that. He will get time at first base this season, platooning with Justin Morneau vs lefties, so he should be able to repeat his counting stats in 2014.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 34 Austin Jackson (DET)	0.276	110	15	52	10	12.51	0.273
# 35 Shane Victorino (BOS)	0.279	79	14	62	18	9.99	0.271

	# 36 Curtis Granderson (NYM)
Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.229	31	7	15	8
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
245	0.317	0.407	11.02%	28.16%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.228	64	18	69	9
Auction Value: $ 1		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.257

I was not a fan of Granderson last season, as I am not in the camp that says his power will play in Citi Field this season. He is coming off an injury-plagued 2013 season, where he was limited to 61 games, hitting .229-.317-.407 with 7 home runs, 31 runs, 15 RBI and 8 stolen bases. Prior to 2013, he hit 40+ home runs in two consecutive seasons, and some think he still has that power in him. I see more of a 20-25 home run season for Granderson in 2014, but that will come with a low batting average once again.

	# 37 Brandon Moss (OAK)
Photo Credit: Kyle Terada - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.256	73	30	87	4
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
505	0.337	0.522	9.90%	27.72%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.253	70	26	80	2
Auction Value: $ 7.04		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.268

Moss showed us that his power is for real in 2013, hitting 30 home runs and driving in 87 runs in 505 plate appearances, after hitting 21 home runs with 48 runs and 52 RBI in just 296 plate appearances in 2012. Moss strikes out about once per game, but knows how to take a walk as well, so he has more value in OBP leagues. He is a solid mid-round power option after most of the top 100 players are off the board.

	# 38 Leonys Martin (TEX)
Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.26	66	8	49	36
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
508	0.313	0.385	5.51%	20.47%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.265	73	10	47	30
Auction Value: $ 6.13		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.266

New Fake Teams writer Jasper Scherer wrote about Martin in this player profile on Monday.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 39 Alfonso Soriano (NYY)	0.248	69	28	94	11	11.91	0.274

	# 40 Billy Hamilton (CIN)
Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.368	9	0	1	13
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
22	0.429	0.474	9.09%	18.18%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.251	83	3	36	71
Auction Value: $ 12.32		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.275

Hamilton is the one outfielder receiving plenty of hype this offseason, as he will be the Reds Opening Day center fielder and could bat leadoff as well. Looking at the Reds roster reveals that he is probably their best option at the moment, and that raises his fantasy value a bit.

You don't need me to tell you that he could be a fantasy stud if he can get on base enough to stay in the lineup. For me, that is a real concern, as he struggled to hit AAA pitching last season, hitting just .256-.308-.343 with 75 runs scored and 75 stolen bases in 90 attempts. I like him this season, but not where he is being drafted.

He could be the next Dee Gordon. Or Vince Coleman.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 41 Coco Crisp (OAK)	0.261	75	12	49	18	4.15	0.262
# 42 Torii Hunter (DET)	0.279	81	15	75	3	9.31	0.269
# 43 Will Venable (SDP)	0.251	59	10	49	20	-0.44	0.256
# 44 Norichika Aoki (KCR)	0.291	74	6	52	18	6.92	0.266

Crisp went from a 40 base stealer year in and year out to a 20 home run, 20 stolen base guy in 2013, but I don't see him repeating the power, as he won't repeat the 12% HR/FB rate. Venable had a great 2013 season, hitting .268 with 22 home runs and 22 stolen bases, but like Crisp, I don't see him repeating his 20% HR/FB rate in 2014. Aoki has scored 80 runs and stolen 20 or more bases in each of his two seasons in the big leagues, so he has value late in drafts.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 45 Martin Prado (ARI)	0.284	72	12	79	3	10.34	0.267
# 46 Brett Gardner (NYY)	0.263	68	7	55	26	4.19	0.263
# 47 Michael Bourn (CLE)	0.262	70	5	45	25	1.83	0.26

Prado is one of the more underrated hitters in fantasy, as he will always help you in the batting average category, and chip in with double digit home runs and 70-80 runs and RBI. All that and he plays multiple positions, increasing his value on draft day. The two guys ranked below Prado are guys who will help you in the stolen base department…..errrr…..they should help you, that is. Last season, Bourn attempted just 35 stolen bases, down from 55 in 2012 and 65 in 2011. See the trend? Gardner just signed a deal to remain a Yankee for the next four years. Like Bourn, he offers owners 25-35 stolen bases, but with a solid .350 on base percentage.

	# 48 Christian Yelich (MIA)
Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell - USA Today Sports

2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.288	34	4	16	10
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA	OBP%	SLG%	BB%	K%
273	0.37	0.396	11.36%	24.18%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB
0.268	78	12	46	19
Auction Value: $ 5.25		Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.264

Yelich was called up to the majors in late July and proceeded to hit .288-.370-.396 with 4 home runs, 34 runs, 16 RBI and 10 stolen bases without getting caught in 273 plate appearances. Not bad for a rookie outfielder hitting in the spacious Marlins Park.

Yelich's batted ball profile shows that he is an excellent line drive hitter, but hits way too many ground balls. After his call up, Yelich hit 63% of his batted balls on the ground, and only 13% in the air. He will have to change that ratio if he is going to hit for any power down the road.

His batting average stands to regress in 2014, as his batting average of balls in play was an extremely high .380, but if he can maintain the line drive percentage, his batting average should stick in the .270 range. He offers middling power, but has the speed and youth to steal 20+ bases in a full season.

Name	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	Auc $	EFA
# 49 Adam Eaton (CHW)	0.278	79	10	43	21	6.15	0.266
# 50 Nick Swisher (CLE)	0.253	72	20	62	1	1.92	0.261

Eaton went from being the favorite to win the National League Rookie of the Year award to being traded out of the National League. Eaton lands with the White Sox, where he will play everyday with a chance for double digit home runs and 25+ stolen bases in 2014. I see Swisher returning to the .270 batting average with 20+ home runs and 80 RBI in 2014, as he was a bit unlucky in 2013. His line drive rate was 23%, so if he can repeat that this season, the average should rise. He's a solid mid-round option in the outfield.

Fantasy Rundown

If you are looking for more position rankings, or plain old fantasy baseball goodness, make sure you check out Fantasy Rundown, your one place to get all things fantasy.