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We learned a few days ago that the 2014 MLB home run king, Nelson Cruz, has left Baltimore and signed a four year, $58 million deal with the Seattle Mariners. Seattle wanted to sign him last year, but ownership decided against signing him. Instead of signing him to a cheaper deal last offseason, they had to pony up $58 million for the 34 year old outfielder/designated hitter this offseason, after Cruz put up a career year in 2014.
Cruz is coming off a terrific season, hitting .271-.333-.525 with a major league leading 40 home runs, 87 runs scored and 108 RBI. He was the only hitter to hit 40 home runs in 2014, and i doubt we see him repeat that feat in 2015. But, with that said, I do see him hitting for solid power, approaching, or even exceeding 30 home runs in Seattle. One would think moving to Safeco Park would hurt his home run totals, and maybe they will, but here is a look at his 2014 home/road splits:
Home: .252-.320-.463, 15 home runs, 40 RBI in 331 plate appearances
Road: .289-.346-.584, 25 home runs, 68 RBI in 347 plate appearances
There is one concern, though. He had a great 2014 season, but he did a lot of his damage in the first half last season:
1st half: .287-.353-.570, 28 home runs, 74 RBI in 397 plate appearances
2nd half: .249-.306-.463, 12 home runs, 34 RBI in 281 plate appearances
A conservative 2015 projection for Cruz is a .260 average with 27-30 home runs and 85-90 RBI, assuming he stays healthy. I kept Cruz at #18 in my outfielder rankings, mainly due to the power he provides. Like I said, he won't hit 40 again, but could hit 30 home runs, something only 10 other hitters accomplished in 2014.
Other updates
Yasmany Tomas
I have moved recently signed Cuban outfielder Yasmany Tomas down in my rankings from the low 30 range to #40 as I may have been a bit too optimistic in my ranking for the Diamondback outfielder. He has loads of power, but with that comes plenty of swing and miss, and I am concerned he could be in for a rough 2015 season adjusting to major league pitching. I am going to go with a conservative view on him for now, but may change it again once we see more of him in spring training.
Ryan Braun
Braun had surgery on his ailing thumb this offseason, and I can see him as a solid bounce back candidate in 2015, especially in the potent Brewers lineup. With the thumb bothering him for most of the season, Braun still hit .266-.324-.453 with 19 home runs, 68 runs scored, 81 RBI and 11 stolen bases. If fully healthy in 2015, Braun could put up a .290, 25 home run, 90 RBI season.
Rusney Castillo
I ranked Red Sox outfielder Rusney Castillo as my #53 outfielder for next season, as he has earned comps to teammate Shane Victorino from some. I might be a little low on him, but reserve the right to move him up in my rankings as we learn more about him in spring training. In 40 plate appearances in September, Castillo hit .333-.400-.528 with 2 home runs, 6 runs, 6 RBI and 3 stolen bases.
Now let's take a look at my updated Top 80 Outfielder Rankings for 2015:
Rank |
Name |
Team |
1 |
Mike Trout |
|
2 |
Giancarlo Stanton |
|
3 |
Andrew McCutchen |
|
4 |
Carlos Gomez |
|
5 |
Jose Bautista |
|
6 |
Adam Jones |
|
7 |
Matt Kemp |
|
8 |
Justin Upton |
|
9 |
Bryce Harper |
|
10 |
George Springer |
|
11 |
Ryan Braun |
Brewers |
12 |
Michael Brantley |
|
13 |
Hunter Pence |
|
14 |
Yasiel Puig |
Dodgers |
15 |
Matt Holliday |
|
16 |
Carlos Gonzalez |
|
17 |
Alex Gordon |
|
18 |
Nelson Cruz |
Mariners |
19 |
Charlie Blackmon |
Rockies |
20 |
Corey Dickerson |
Rockies |
21 |
Jacoby Ellsbury |
|
22 |
Starling Marte |
Pirates |
23 |
Yoenis Cespedes |
- - - |
24 |
Billy Hamilton |
|
25 |
Shin-Soo Choo |
|
26 |
Jay Bruce |
Reds |
27 |
Jayson Werth |
Nationals |
28 |
Marlon Byrd |
|
29 |
Jorge Soler |
|
30 |
Wil Myers |
|
31 |
Jason Heyward |
Cardinals |
32 |
Marcell Ozuna |
Marlins |
33 |
Brett Gardner |
Yankees |
34 |
Mark Trumbo |
|
35 |
Christian Yelich |
Marlins |
36 |
Mookie Betts |
|
37 |
Ryan Zimmerman |
Nationals |
38 |
Melky Cabrera |
Blue Jays |
39 |
Kole Calhoun |
Angels |
40 |
Yasmany Tomas |
Diamondbacks |
41 |
Gregory Polanco |
Pirates |
42 |
Josh Harrison |
Pirates |
43 |
Khris Davis |
Brewers |
44 |
Drew Stubbs |
Rockies |
45 |
J.D. Martinez |
|
46 |
Ben Revere |
Phillies |
47 |
Denard Span |
Nationals |
48 |
Curtis Granderson |
|
49 |
Brandon Moss |
|
50 |
Oswaldo Arcia |
|
51 |
Ben Zobrist |
Rays |
52 |
Carlos Beltran |
Yankees |
53 |
Rusney Castillo |
Red Sox |
54 |
Carl Crawford |
Dodgers |
55 |
A.J. Pollock |
Diamondbacks |
56 |
Lorenzo Cain |
Royals |
57 |
Adam Eaton |
|
58 |
Michael Cuddyer |
Rockies |
59 |
Josh Hamilton |
Angels |
60 |
Torii Hunter |
Twins |
61 |
Shane Victorino |
Red Sox |
62 |
Desmond Jennings |
Rays |
63 |
Dustin Ackley |
|
64 |
Jon Jay |
Cardinals |
65 |
Nick Markakis |
Orioles |
66 |
Danny Santana |
Twins |
67 |
Austin Jackson |
- - - |
68 |
Dexter Fowler |
Astros |
69 |
Seth Smith |
|
70 |
Allen Craig |
Red Sox |
71 |
Domonic Brown |
Phillies |
72 |
Coco Crisp |
Athletics |
73 |
Alex Rios |
Rangers |
74 |
Leonys Martin |
Rangers |
75 |
Josh Reddick |
Athletics |
76 |
Angel Pagan |
Giants |
77 |
Rajai Davis |
Tigers |
78 |
Alejandro De Aza |
- - - |
79 |
Michael Morse |
Giants |
80 |
Nori Aoki |
Royals |
Other 2015 Position Rankings
Top 30 Second Baseman for 2015
Top 30 Third Baseman for 2015
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