clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Fantasy Baseball: Early 2015 Top 50 Outfielder Rankings

New, 8 comments

Ray offers an early look at his 2015 Top 50 outfielder rankings. Check out where I rank George Springer, Bryce Harper, Mookie Betts and others.

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Today, I continue with my early 2015 position rankings, ranking my Top 50 outfielders for next season. Sure, it is early for rankings, and we have yet to see any free agent signings or offseason trades, so my rankings may change as a result. But, for now, here are my 2015 outfielder rankings, assuming any offseason free agent signings or trades won't have a material impact on my rankings.

Before we get into my outfielder rankings, here is a link to my 2015 position rankings to date:

Top 30 Catchers for 2015

Top 30 First Baseman for 2015

Top 30 Second Baseman for 2015

Top 30 Shortstops for 2015

Top 30 Third Baseman for 2015

With that said, here is a look at my early 2015 fantasy outfielder rankings.

Angels outfielder Mike Trout is the easy pick for the #1 outfielder off the board and #1 overall pick in 2015 fantasy drafts, but one could make the case for Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton as the #1 pick as well. Stanton had a terrific season at the plate, hitting .288-.395-.555 with 37 home runs, 89 run scored, 105 RBI and 13 stolen bases in 145 games, the most games he has played since 2011. While Trout scored more runs and drove in more runs, Stanton out-homered and hit for a better average than Trout. Trout isn't running as much as he has in the past, stealing "just" 16 bases vs the 13 bases Stanton stole last season. To me, they are closer than you think, and if Stanton is traded this offseason, he could move into the top spot depending on where he lands.

I have already written about how much I like Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp in 2015 here:

2015 Buy LIst: Matt Kemp

There are two young outfielders at the bottom half of my top 10 who could battle for a top 5 spot in my outfielder rankings come this time in 2015. Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper missed 62 games due to a thumb injury, but hit well in August and September and performed well in the playoffs, so he could finally put things together in 2015, assuming he can stay healthy.

Astros young outfielder George Springer performed well in his 78 games played this season, hitting .231-.336-.468 with 20 home runs, 45 runs scored, 51 RBI and 5 stolen bases in just under 350 plate appearances. He struck out 33% of his plate appearances in 2014, but I see him improving the whiff rate as he gets more comfortable with American League pitchers. I see him being one of the several 30 home run hitters in 2015, and see him running more as well.

The Rockies have a couple of outfielders who could be two of the best in the National League and both are ranked in my top 20 outfielders for 2015. Both Charlie Blackmon and Corey Dickerson were fantasy gold in 2014, as both went undrafted in many mixed leagues, yet ended the season as two of the more productive fantasy outfielders. Blackmon was one home run and two stolen bases from a 20 home run, 30 stolen base season, and Dickerson displayed solid power and batting average in his 478 plate appearances. Neither have the track record, so there is some risk in ranking them so high, but get the benefit of playing half of their games at Coors Field in 2015. They team up with Carlos Gonzalez to form one of the more productive fantasy outfields in the game.

Below you will find my early 205 Top 50 outfielder rankings, along with 2014 player stats, courtesy of FanGraphs. Included in the rankings and stats provided below, I have included each players 2014 wRC+, which is defined below, courtesy of FanGraphs:

Weighted Runs Created (wRC) is an improved version of Bill James' Runs Created (RC) statistic, which attempted to quantify a player's total offensive value and measure it by runs.  In Runs Created, instead of looking at a player's line and listing out all the details (e.g. 23 2B, 15 HR, 55 BB, 110 K, 19 SB, 5 CS), the information is synthesized into one metric in order to say, "Player X was worth 24 runs to his team last year."

Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) measures how a player's wRC compares with league average after controlling for park effects.  League average for position players is 100, and every point above 100 is a percentage point above league average. For example, a 125 wRC+ means a player created 25% more runs than a league average hitter would have in the same number of plate appearances. Similarly, every point below 100 is a percentage point below league average, so a 80 wRC+ means a player created 20% fewer runs than league average.

For example, George Springer's 120 wRC+ indicates he created 20% more runs than the league average hitter, or is 20% better than the league average hitter.

I included wRC+ because I think, along with others, that it is one of the single stats you can look at to tell you how good a hitter is vs all major league hitters, and it factors in park effects as well.

Rank

Name

League

Team

G

PA

HR

R

RBI

SB

wRC+

1

Mike Trout

AL

Angels

157

705

36

115

111

16

167

2

Giancarlo Stanton

NL

Marlins

145

638

37

89

105

13

159

3

Andrew McCutchen

NL

Pirates

146

648

25

89

83

18

168

4

Carlos Gomez

NL

Brewers

148

644

23

95

73

34

132

5

Jose Bautista

AL

Blue Jays

155

673

35

101

103

6

159

6

Adam Jones

AL

Orioles

159

682

29

88

96

7

117

7

Matt Kemp

NL

Dodgers

150

599

25

77

89

8

140

8

Justin Upton

NL

Braves

154

641

29

77

102

8

133

9

Bryce Harper

NL

Nationals

100

395

13

41

32

2

115

10

George Springer

AL

Astros

78

345

20

45

51

5

127

11

Michael Brantley

AL

Indians

156

676

20

94

97

23

155

12

Hunter Pence

NL

Giants

162

708

20

106

74

13

123

13

Yasiel Puig

NL

Dodgers

148

640

16

92

69

11

147

14

Ryan Braun

NL

Brewers

135

580

19

68

81

11

114

15

Matt Holliday

NL

Cardinals

156

667

20

83

90

4

132

16

Carlos Gonzalez

NL

Rockies

70

281

11

35

38

3

83

17

Alex Gordon

AL

Royals

156

643

19

87

74

12

122

18

Nelson Cruz

AL

Orioles

159

678

40

87

108

4

137

19

Charlie Blackmon

NL

Rockies

154

648

19

82

72

28

100

20

Corey Dickerson

NL

Rockies

131

478

24

74

76

8

140

21

Jacoby Ellsbury

AL

Yankees

149

635

16

71

70

39

107

22

Starling Marte

NL

Pirates

135

545

13

73

56

30

132

23

Yoenis Cespedes

AL

- - -

152

645

22

89

100

7

109

24

Billy Hamilton

NL

Reds

152

611

6

72

48

56

79

25

Jay Bruce

NL

Reds

137

545

18

71

66

12

79

26

Jayson Werth

NL

Nationals

147

629

16

85

82

9

141

27

Marlon Byrd

NL

Phillies

154

637

25

71

85

3

109

28

Michael Cuddyer

NL

Rockies

49

205

10

32

31

3

151

29

Wil Myers

AL

Rays

87

361

6

37

35

6

78

30

Jason Heyward

NL

Braves

149

649

11

74

58

20

110

31

Brett Gardner

AL

Yankees

148

636

17

87

58

21

110

32

Shin-Soo Choo

AL

Rangers

123

529

13

58

40

3

100

33

Mookie Betts

AL

Red Sox

52

213

5

34

18

7

130

34

Mark Trumbo

NL

Diamondbacks

88

362

14

37

61

2

91

35

Ryan Zimmerman

NL

Nationals

61

240

5

26

38

0

120

36

Jorge Soler

NL

Cubs

37

Marcell Ozuna

NL

Marlins

153

612

23

72

85

3

114

38

Melky Cabrera

AL

Blue Jays

139

621

16

81

73

6

125

39

Kole Calhoun

AL

Angels

127

537

17

90

58

5

125

40

Gregory Polanco

NL

Pirates

89

312

7

50

33

14

87

41

Christian Yelich

NL

Marlins

144

660

9

94

54

21

116

42

Josh Harrison

NL

Pirates

143

550

13

77

52

18

137

43

Khris Davis

NL

Brewers

144

549

22

70

69

4

107

44

J.D. Martinez

AL

Tigers

123

480

23

57

76

6

153

45

Ben Revere

NL

Phillies

151

626

2

71

28

49

92

46

Denard Span

NL

Nationals

147

668

5

94

37

31

117

47

Curtis Granderson

NL

Mets

155

654

20

73

66

8

108

48

Brandon Moss

AL

Athletics

147

580

25

70

81

1

121

49

A.J. Pollock

NL

Diamondbacks

75

287

7

41

24

14

134

50

Ben Zobrist

AL

Rays

146

654

10

83

52

10

119

Fantasy Rundown

If you are looking for more rankings, whether it be fantasy baseball, football or basketball, make sure you check out Fantasy Rundown, your one site on the 'net for all things fantasy.