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This week is a full week, as each team plays a two-game series Wednesday and Thursday before Interleague Play starts on the weekend (2 NL teams excepted, of course). No teams have any scheduled days off this week, so we have a total of 58 two-start pitchers. The only reason we don't have an even 60 is that two teams - the Rangers and the Royals - have spot starters listed as probables during the week. It's possible that the Angels will follow suit, what with C.J. Wilson sort of starting twice in a row this weekend, but as of now no announcements have been made and there's not even any reliable speculation going on at this point in time, so we will proceed as normal.
As always, a Google Spreadsheet has been provided so that you may sort to your heart's content. Like last week, I've included statistics known to stabilize at 150 total batters faced (TBF): K%, GB%, and LD%. I've also included ERA, xFIP, and ERA-xFIP for reference. I've also listed park factors (from 2011) and the MLB rank of each pitcher's opposing offense by OBP. (Psst: This stuff can come in handy for Pick 6, too.) Ratings range from 0.5 to 5. They are subjective and based on perceived skill level, current and expected performance, park factors, and offenses faced. These are not rest of season ranks. Rather, the ratings represent how I think pitchers will do in a small sample size and in a specific context. This is a risky proposition, as Pick 6 players know, and the science is even more inexact when thinking about games a week away.
I've removed the comments for each pitcher, for the following reasons: (1) It allows me to fit all the necessary statistics into the post, (2) Most of the comments stated the obvious anyway, and (3) Frankly, it was a lot of work for what I perceived to be a minimal payoff. I'm always happy to discuss specific players in the comments and on Twitter.
Follow the jump for this week's two-start pitchers.
In order to view the entire table, make sure you are viewing this page in "wide" mode. You may switch modes via the gray box in the upper right corner of the page. As always, starting pitchers are subject to change.
Pitcher | This Week's Schedule | Own% | Rating | PF (2011) | OppO | TBF | K% | GB% | LD% | ERA | xFIP | ERA-xFIP |
Stephen Strasburg | T (SD), Su (BAL) | 99 | 4.5 | 18, 18 | 22, 18 | 170 | 30.0% | 45.6% | 22.3% | 1.64 | 2.55 | -0.91 |
CC Sabathia | T (@BAL), Su (CIN) | 99 | 4.5 | 12, 6 | 18, 26 | 209 | 25.4% | 49.3% | 20.4% | 3.51 | 2.68 | 0.83 |
Tim Lincecum | T (COL), Su (OAK) | 98 | 4.5 | 30, 30 | 10, 28 | 169 | 24.3% | 47.1% | 26.0% | 5.89 | 3.4 | 2.49 |
Dan Haren | M (@OAK), Sa (SD) | 97 | 4.5 | 20, 27 | 28, 22 | 180 | 19.4% | 37.4% | 22.9% | 4.19 | 3.62 | 0.57 |
Cliff Lee | T (HOU), Su (BOS) | 99 | 4 | 11, 11 | 11, 7 | 102 | 23.5% | 61.6% | 17.8% | 2.17 | 2.32 | -0.15 |
David Price | T (@TOR), Su (ATL) | 98 | 4 | 4, 29 | 14, 8 | 188 | 20.7% | 50.0% | 24.2% | 2.98 | 3.32 | -0.34 |
Clayton Kershaw | M (ARI), Sa (STL) | 99 | 4 | 22, 22 | 12, 1 | 177 | 23.2% | 51.6% | 19.7% | 2.56 | 2.8 | -0.24 |
Zack Greinke | T (@NYM), Su (SEA) | 98 | 4 | 24, 10 | 3, 29 | 175 | 26.3% | 48.3% | 26.7% | 3.35 | 2.44 | 0.91 |
Ian Kennedy | M (@LAD), Sa (@KC) | 97 | 4 | 22, 13 | 6, 13 | 194 | 19.1% | 38.8% | 19.4% | 3.91 | 3.93 | -0.02 |
Anibal Sanchez | M (PIT), Sa (@CLE) | 88 | 4 | -, 16 | 30, 5 | 164 | 28.1% | 49.0% | 13.0% | 2.01 | 2.86 | -0.85 |
Matt Garza | T (@STL), Su (CWS) | 95 | 4 | 25, 23 | 1, 21 | 149 | 26.2% | 44.9% | 16.9% | 2.56 | 3.46 | -0.9 |
Jon Lester | M (SEA), Sa (@PHI) | 96 | 4 | 3, 11 | 29, 23 | 177 | 15.8% | 50.4% | 20.9% | 4.29 | 4.19 | 0.1 |
Ervin Santana | T (@OAK), Su (SD) | 61 | 4 | 20, 27 | 28, 22 | 194 | 15.5% | 48.0% | 18.9% | 5.09 | 4.16 | 0.93 |
Max Scherzer | T (@CWS), Su (PIT) | 65 | 3.5 | 14, 9 | 21, 30 | 172 | 26.2% | 37.4% | 20.6% | 5.73 | 3.64 | 2.09 |
Josh Johnson | T (PIT), Su (@CLE) | 88 | 3.5 | -, 16 | 30, 5 | 172 | 18.6% | 51.6% | 27.0% | 5.87 | 3.39 | 2.48 |
Jason Hammel | M (NYY), Sa (@WAS) | 72 | 3.5 | 12, 18 | 4, 16 | 149 | 25.5% | 61.0% | 13.0% | 2.09 | 2.77 | -0.68 |
Drew Smyly | M (@CWS), Sa (PIT) | 36 | 3.5 | 14, 9 | 21, 30 | 135 | 25.2% | 44.3% | 18.2% | 1.59 | 3.26 | -1.67 |
Yovani Gallardo | M (@NYM), Sa (SEA) | 95 | 3.5 | 24, 10 | 3, 29 | 174 | 22.4% | 37.9% | 21.6% | 5.35 | 3.85 | 1.5 |
Brandon Morrow | M (TB), Sa (@NYM) | 90 | 3.5 | 4, 24 | 9, 3 | 184 | 21.2% | 44.6% | 13.1% | 2.27 | 3.66 | -1.39 |
Jake Peavy | T (DET), Su (@CHC) | 90 | 3.5 | 14, 23 | 17, 24 | 195 | 22.6% | 28.7% | 21.7% | 1.89 | 3.6 | -1.71 |
Ryan Dempster | M (@STL), Sa (CWS) | 79 | 3.5 | 25, 23 | 1, 21 | 134 | 26.9% | 36.8% | 33.3% | 1.02 | 2.78 | -1.76 |
Jake Westbrook | M (CHC), Sa (@LAD) | 44 | 3.5 | 25, 22 | 24, 6 | 162 | 16.7% | 62.8% | 19.0% | 1.76 | 3.18 | -1.42 |
Bartolo Colon | T (@LAA), Su (@SF) | 44 | 3.5 | 27, 30 | 27, 20 | 207 | 13.5% | 43.3% | 17.0% | 3.96 | 4.18 | -0.22 |
Anthony Bass | T (@WAS), Su (LAA) | 12 | 3.5 | 18, 26 | 16, 27 | 161 | 23.6% | 52.8% | 14.2% | 3.23 | 3.32 | -0.09 |
Tim Stauffer | M (@WAS), Sa (LAA) | 18 | 3 | 18, 26 | 16, 27 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kyle Lohse | T (CHC), Su (@LAD) | 85 | 3 | 25, 22 | 24, 6 | 173 | 15.6% | 41.5% | 17.7% | 2.08 | 4.08 | -2 |
Chad Billingsley | T (ARI), Su (STL) | 76 | 3 | 22, 22 | 12, 1 | 169 | 20.1% | 44.1% | 18.6% | 3.32 | 3.88 | -0.56 |
Tim Hudson | T (CIN), Su (@TB) | 70 | 3 | 19, 29 | 26, 9 | 76 | 17.1% | 64.2% | 24.5% | 4.5 | 2.97 | 1.53 |
Johnny Cueto | T (@ATL), Su (@NYY) | 89 | 3 | 19, 6 | 8, 4 | 192 | 16.2% | 45.8% | 22.9% | 1.12 | 3.76 | -2.64 |
Ross Detwiler | M (SD), Sa (BAL) | 51 | 3 | 18, 18 | 22, 18 | 136 | 18.4% | 53.6% | 9.3% | 2.1 | 3.73 | -1.63 |
Ryan Vogelsong | M (COL), Sa (OAK) | 43 | 3 | 30, 30 | 10, 28 | 144 | 18.1% | 46.9% | 14.6% | 2.94 | 4.26 | -1.32 |
Ivan Nova | M (@BAL), Sa (CIN) | 52 | 3 | 12, 6 | 18, 26 | 170 | 21.2% | 44.6% | 19.0% | 5.02 | 3.68 | 1.34 |
Jeff Niemann | M (@TOR), Sa (ATL) | 10 | 3 | 4, 29 | 14, 8 | 141 | 21.3% | 49.5% | 20.6% | 3.48 | 3.51 | -0.03 |
Joe Blanton | M (HOU), Sa (BOS) | 14 | 3 | 11, 11 | 11, 7 | 170 | 16.5% | 46.2% | 21.5% | 3.24 | 3.57 | -0.33 |
Jeanmar Gomez | M (@MIN), Sa (MIA) | 2 | 3 | 21, 16 | 19, 25 | 120 | 14.2% | 53.3% | 17.4% | 4.66 | 3.99 | 0.67 |
Tyson Ross | M (@LAA), Sa (@SF) | 1 | 3 | 27, 30 | 27, 20 | 120 | 10.8% | 54.3% | 24.5% | 7.71 | 4.41 | 3.3 |
Colby Lewis | T (KC), Su (@HOU) | 84 | 2.5 | 1, 7 | 13, 11 | 186 | 23.1% | 29.9% | 20.1% | 3.69 | 3.67 | 0.02 |
Wade Miley | T (@LAD), Su (@KC) | 18 | 2.5 | 22, 13 | 6, 13 | 136 | 16.2% | 52.0% | 17.6% | 2.76 | 4.01 | -1.25 |
Dillon Gee | T (MIL), Su (@TOR) | 4 | 2.5 | 24, 4 | 15, 14 | 165 | 20.0% | 52.2% | 23.5% | 4.78 | 3.02 | 1.76 |
Wandy Rodriguez | M (@PHI), Sa (TEX) | 75 | 2.5 | 11, 7 | 23, 2 | 189 | 15.3% | 49.7% | 18.2% | 2.14 | 3.84 | -1.7 |
Randall Delgado | M (CIN), Sa (@TB) | 3 | 2.5 | 19, 29 | 26, 9 | 147 | 21.1% | 50.5% | 22.1% | 4.54 | 3.69 | 0.85 |
Brad Lincoln | M (@MIA), Sa (@DET) | 1 | 2.5 | -, 9 | 25, 17 | 56 | 28.6% | 52.9% | 26.5% | 0.63 | 2.65 | -2.02 |
Derek Lowe | T (@MIN), Su (MIA) | 0 | 2.5 | 21, 16 | 19, 25 | 190 | 6.8% | 63.6% | 16.0% | 2.47 | 4.36 | -1.89 |
Josh Beckett | T (SEA), Su (@PHI) | 82 | 2 | 3, 11 | 29, 23 | 152 | 17.1% | 38.6% | 18.4% | 5.97 | 4.35 | 1.62 |
Jason Vargas | M (@BOS), Sa (@COL) | 37 | 2 | 3, 2 | 7, 10 | 201 | 18.9% | 45.3% | 16.2% | 2.79 | 3.75 | -0.96 |
John Danks | M (DET), Sa (@CHC) | 33 | 2 | 14, 23 | 17, 24 | 194 | 13.4% | 39.2% | 22.4% | 5.89 | 4.77 | 1.12 |
Henderson Alvarez | T (TB), Su (@NYM) | 20 | 2 | 4, 24 | 9, 3 | 193 | 7.3% | 58.1% | 13.1% | 2.61 | 4.68 | -2.07 |
Christian Friedrich | M (@SF), Sa (SEA) | 2 | 2 | 30, 2 | 20, 29 | 24 | 29.2% | 26.7% | 26.7% | 1.5 | 2.72 | -1.22 |
Carl Pavano | M (CLE), Sa (@MIL) | 2 | 2 | 21, 10 | 5, 15 | 176 | 11.4% | 44.8% | 18.6% | 5.02 | 4.21 | 0.81 |
Kevin Correia | T (@MIA), Su (@DET) | 2 | 2 | -, 9 | 25, 17 | 150 | 8.7% | 55.7% | 18.0% | 3.47 | 4.44 | -0.97 |
Wei-Yin Chen | T (NYY), Su (@WAS) | 8 | 1.5 | 12, 18 | 4, 16 | 160 | 17.5% | 32.2% | 21.7% | 2.68 | 4.46 | -1.78 |
Lucas Harrell | T (@PHI), Su (TEX) | 1 | 1.5 | 11, 7 | 23, 2 | 173 | 11.0% | 56.0% | 18.7% | 4.58 | 4.4 | 0.18 |
Bruce Chen | M (@TEX), Sa (ARI) | 4 | 1.5 | 1, 13 | 2, 12 | 168 | 16.1% | 34.1% | 23.5% | 4.83 | 4.1 | 0.73 |
Jason Marquis | T (CLE), Su (@MIL) | 1 | 1.5 | 21, 10 | 5, 15 | 120 | 8.3% | 57.3% | 20.8% | 6.26 | 4.71 | 1.55 |
Jeremy Guthrie | T (@SF), Su (SEA) | 1 | 1.5 | 30, 2 | 20, 29 | 108 | 4.6% | 42.2% | 21.1% | 5.92 | 5.76 | 0.16 |
Homer Bailey | M (@ATL), Sa (@NYY) | 5 | 1 | 19, 6 | 8, 4 | 156 | 15.4% | 39.0% | 28.8% | 4.93 | 4.29 | 0.64 |
Blake Beavan | T (@BOS), Su (@COL) | 1 | 1 | 3, 2 | 7, 10 | 143 | 9.8% | 33.3% | 20.0% | 4.32 | 5.14 | -0.82 |
Miguel Batista | M (MIL), Sa (@TOR) | 0 | 1 | 24, 4 | 15, 14 | 90 | 13.3% | 53.3% | 21.7% | 5.89 | 5.39 | 0.5 |