Generally, experienced fantasy players have similar valuations for players. Maybe they would move around a few players here, a few there, on their favorite pre-season rankings list, as they have their favorites and disliked players like anyone else. But generally, there's a somewhat narrow view for how good or bad most fantasy-eligible players are.
That's why it's always interesting to see which players are slipping through the cracks in drafts, especially if you haven't built your own team yet. You can develop your own list of which sleepers out of players who are being forgotten about elsewhere. Using Mock Draft Central's average draft position listings, we can see who has the largest differences between the earliest and latest they have been drafted, to see if there's anything to learn from the type of player with the most significant gaps.
Don't take this as science; it's just a bit of fun to get you thinking about who you might be able to wait on.
Player | Pos | Team | Earliest | Latest | Difference |
John Axford | RP | MIL | 54 | 301 | 247 |
Drew Storen | RP | WAS | 61 | 247 | 186 |
Craig Kimbrel | RP | ATL | 38 | 206 | 168 |
Mariano Rivera | RP | NYY | 54 | 188 | 134 |
We shouldn't be surprised to see closers here, leading the way in differing opinions. Ever been in a league where you all begrudgingly draft closers after eight-to-10 rounds or so? Everyone just silently agrees not to bother opening that flood gate until more important players have been taken off of the board.
Player | Pos | Team | Earliest | Latest | Difference |
Tommy Hanson | SP | ATL | 74 | 166 | 92 |
Josh Johnson | SP | MIA | 42 | 130 | 88 |
The next grouping is two pitchers who had their seasons shortened by injuries, but are both great when healthy. This is simply a case of some leagues having more tolerance for risk than others.
Player | Pos | Team | Earliest | Latest | Difference |
Brett Gardner | OF | NYY | 69 | 153 | 84 |
Drew Stubbs | OF | CIN | 62 | 145 | 83 |
Ichiro Suzuki | OF | SEA | 60 | 140 | 80 |
Here we see three speed-first players who all have other skills that make them more than just that. Ichiro generally hits for a high average, Stubbs has power, and Gardner is on base often, an important thing for someone with the powerful Yankees lineup behind him. Many fantasy owners avoid players who rely on their speed to this degree, but there are others who swear by them -- this group has more to offer than just their steals, though, so it's interesting to see the same kind of split in opinion existing here anyway.
Player | Pos | Team | Earliest | Latest | Difference |
Corey Hart | OF | MIL | 67 | 145 | 78 |
Cameron Maybin | OF | SD | 73 | 148 | 75 |
Lance Berkman | OF,1B | STL | 48 | 122 | 74 |
Ben Zobrist | 2B | TB | 32 | 105 | 73 |
Asdrubal Cabrera | SS | CLE | 32 | 102 | 70 |
Alex Gordon | OF | KC | 37 | 105 | 68 |
Michael Morse | 1B,OF | WAS | 42 | 110 | 68 |
Ah, the players with huge 2011 seasons. Will they revert to their pre-2011 form, or is this who they really are? You learn a lot about your tolerance for risk when players like this are available for you to draft. Whether you have reason to or not, it's easy to talk yourself into someone coming off of a huge year.
On the other side of things, the differences in opinion don't have any real theme, other than that owners disagree on who is more likely to keep it up (Jacoby Ellsbury or Curtis Granderson?), who should lead at second base (Dustin Pedroia or Robinson Cano?), and if it's Josh Hamilton or Ian Kinsler who's really the MVP of the Rangers. No one seems to question the guys up top very much, but looking from the other direction, those differences in opinion are what win or lose seasons.