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Fantasy Baseball Thoughts: Moneyball, Troy Tulowitzki, Alex Gordon and Other Stuff

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This one will be brief as I worked late last night, and am pretty beat. 

ESPN's Keith Law wrote his review of the Moneyball move over at his blog called The Dish, where he posts on topics from baseball to cooking to board games to book reviews and even his Top 100 raps songs of all time. Head on over to see why KLaw did not like the Moneyball movie, but he ends the post with this:

If you do end up seeing the film, and I imagine most of you will, there is one scene towards the end that stood out for me as incredibly spot on, so much so that it didn’t seem to fit with the rest of the film. Beane is sitting in what was then called the .406 club at Fenway Park with John Henry, who is about to offer him a record-breaking deal to become the Red Sox’ new GM. Henry expounds on how Beane’s method of doing things is going to sweep through the industry, and how critics within the game weren’t just trying to protect the game, but were expressing their own fears about their livelihoods. That speech applies just as well to any industry undergoing the kind of creative destruction ushered in by Bill James, Sandy Alderson and Billy Beane. Remember that when you see the next written attack on "stat geeks" who are ruining the game along with a defense of RBIs or pitcher wins.

Meanwhile, Dodger Thoughts writer Jon Weisman thinks the move is an Oscar contender.

I don't know about you, but has this season flew by or not? We are just over two weeks left in the season, and I have to say this season has just flown by too quick for me. It seems like a few weeks ago, I was drafting 4 teams in the same week. 

More thoughts after the jump:

Royals outfielder Alex Gordon has had one heckuva breakout year this year. He's hitting .303-.373-.505 with 22 HRs, 85 RBI, 96 runs and 16 SBs in 24 attempts. The question for fantasy owners is whether he can repeat this performance in 2012. He will surely be drafted like he will. I will have a post on Gordon in the near future. All I know is the Royals are going to be an exciting team next season with many of their top prospects up in the big leagues now.

If you missed the lively banter in the comments section of my Dee Gordon post on Wednesday morning, clink here to check them out. Apparently I am on my own little island thinking that Gordon could be a top 10 shortstop in 2012. I could be early on him as he is young and still needs some work on his plate discipline.

Minor League Ball's John Sickels wrote a recent blog post asking readers who they would want for the rest of their career: Brett Lawrie or Mike Trout? Here is his response to the question:

I voted for Brett Lawrie over Mike Trout by the way. I have seen both in person in the minors several times, and I love both of them. Both of them are Grade A prospects. But as much as I love Trout, I can't get that Lawrie performance I saw in Omaha back in May out of my mind. I think he's going to be better-than-fine with the glove, and while some growing pains are likely at some point, his bat is not a fluke. He has terrific bat speed, controls the strike zone reasonably well, and is underrated athlete. It's very close, but if I could pick one or the other, I think I would take Lawrie right now.

I have not seen either player play yet, but it would be a very difficult decision for me. I wrote about Lawrie last week here. I think I would probably pick Lawrie right now, but can definitely see Trout having a very good season in 2012, assuming he starts the season in the big leagues.

I expect Cubs third baseman Aramis Ramirez to become a free agent this offseason as he will be the top third baseman available and there are no shortage of teams that have a need at third base. If Chipper Jones wasn't coming back, how good would he look in the middle of the Braves lineup?

Fangraphs' Dave Cameron held a chat yesterday and here is an excerpt:

Comment From Steve 
Your MVP votes as of right this second?
12:02
Dave Cameron: 
Ellsbury, Kemp.

 

I agree. Everyone knows how much I like Kemp, but I think Ellsbury will win the AL MVP. He is having a tremendous breakout year hitting .321-.380-.542 with 27 HRs, 94 RBI, 108 runs and 36 SBs. Yankees outfielder Curtis Granderson is another excellent candidate. Who would have thought that either would be mentioned as MVP candidates back in spring training.

Cameron also thinks Brewers first baseman Prince Fielder will sign with the Blue Jays this offseason. Don't they have enough power hitters in Toronto?

Jason Parks from Baseball Prospectus wrote up his 2011 Minor League Awards yesterday and had this to say about Blue Jays outfield prospect Jake Marisnick:

Jake Marisnick (Jays)
TCF: "Marisnick is the poster boy for the modern prospect: He has size (6-foot-4, 200 pounds), plus athleticism, present tools and polish to go with future projection and ceiling, not to mention a name that just sounds like it belongs in the game." I like quoting myself. It makes me feel important. Marisnick shows all five tools, with solid-average to plus projections across the board. Industry debate exists over Marisnick’s future role, with some seeing right field as a better fit given his strong arm and offensive profile, while others think his skills can play in center field, making him one of the most valuable prospects in the game. Regardless of the position, Marisnick’s toolbox gives him a major-league future, and if everything comes together, a first-division ceiling is within reach.

Marisnick tore up A ball this season hitting .320-.392-.500 with 14 HRs, 77 RBI, 68 runs and 37 SBs in 118 games. It will be interesting to see where the Blue Jays start him next season.

I may be biased here, but the Dodgers are set to have one heckuva bullpen next season. Jonathan Broxton is a free agent next season, so he will be gone. But with Javy Guerra, Kenley Jansen, Josh Lindblom, Scott Elbert, Hong-Chih Kuo and possibly Nathan Eovaldi, they are a pen full of no names, but all are very good. Lindblom struck out 5 in two innings of relief last night, and Eovaldi hit 99 mph three times and 100mph once in his one inning of relief a few nights ago. Eovaldi has a better shot at the 4th or 5th starter spot in the Dodgers rotation, but if that doesn't work out, he can certainly be effective in the bullpen.

Troy Renck from the Denver Post wrote the following last night regarding shortstop Troy Tulowitzki and his injured hip, with quotes from Tulo:

 

"I haven’t heard that, but I think the next time I get in there, I need to be 100 percent,’’ he said. "I’m going to stop going out there just being good enough to play. Because I do feel it out there and it does seem to affect me.

"I don’t want to get shut down for the rest of the season, but at the same time, we’ve got to be smart about this thing. Hopefully it doesn’t get to that point.’’

No one is putting a number on things, but Tulowitzki, who isn’t in tonight’s lineup, could miss a significant number of games. And the clock is ticking, what with the Rockies having 14 games remaining after tonight.