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Fake Teams Hits the Fantasy Links

I apologize for not having a post up yesterday.  I went somewhere expecting to have the ability to access Wi-Fi, but apparently this technology has not quite caught on like I thought.  Here are today's links:

Grounding Hamels | Baseball Analytics

He's now getting 46% of his balls in play as ground balls, only 24.9% as fly balls. The fly balls still give batters good results, .297/.734. Batters are hitting .262/.295 on ground balls, but it's worth it to keep the ball in the park. Hamels is trading extra-base hits for singles, a trade that is paying huge dividends.

The Price is Wright | The Hardball Times

So what does this all mean? It means that Wright is not overrated. He is routinely one of only 10 players a season that you can bank on hitting 25 home runs and stealing 15 or more bases, while hitting .280 with batting average upside. In addition to elite production, Wright plays at one of baseball's increasingly premium fantasy positions—third base.

Fantasy Trade Targets: Daniel Hudson | Roto Hardball

With the great defense the Diamondbacks will provide behind him, a favorable schedule, and considerable pitching talents, Daniel Hudson should provide ace-level production without the high price tag. He can likely be acquired for a decent outfielder, and that's a trade I think will benefit you during the stretch run of the 2011 season.

Painting the Black: What to Expect from Strasburg | Baseball Prospectus

Although it may sound outlandish, there is recent precedent for a young stud of a pitcher to undergo Tommy John surgery and return with a better ERA than before. Had Josh Johnson qualified, he would have finished with the second-best ERA in the National League in 2006. He then spent the next two seasons injured and recovering before returning. Johnson had a 3.10 ERA in that 2006 season, but he has a 2.80 ERA since returning from the surgery in 2008. Strasburg probably won’t reach that level, but just having him healthy and active again will make the game more entertaining—and we owe Dr. Frank Jobe our gratitude for that.

Dontrelle Willis? The Dontrelle Willis? | FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

This is what happens when you try to make decisions based on small sample sizes. You have a few anchors — in this case his per-pitch swinging strike and ball rates — and then you have some subjective work to do. Do you believe that the Dontrelle Willis has found the plate? If so, you better pick him up in your deeper leagues.

Buy or Sell: J.D. Martinez, Nova, Bay | Fantasy Baseball 365

As a free agent add in mixed leagues, Nova is worth taking a flier on, especially with a schedule that should line him up to pitch against the Royals, Twins and Orioles the next three times out.

Oswalt and Strasburg: NL Starters | FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

Oswalt’s average fastball velocity this season is 91.2 mph, a full tick slower than it was last year, which is somewhat worrisome on its own. If he drops even further form there, he could be in real trouble. While he doesn’t live or die by high velocity, Oswalt isn’t going to thrive with a fastball that tops out at the same speed he averaged last year.

AL Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire: McCarthy, Niemann, Beavan | Roto Hardball

If [McCarthy] can keep that fastball velocity average in the 92 mph range, he's going to likely earn you K's above his season average. Keep an eye on his matchups as he's been far better at home than on the road (2.98 xFIP vs. 3.56 xFIP) and is averaging almost 2 more strikeouts per 9 innings pitched at the Coliseum.

Under the Radar - AL/NL Only Leagues |

With Polanco facing sports hernia surgery, the team could be without the veteran third baseman for an extended period of time. [Martinez'] .222/.265/.313 triple-slash line this season isn't easy on the eyes at first, but perhaps the lineup he plays in along with multiple position eligibility will change your mind.

Closer Look | Razzball
Spoiler: Heath Bell gets a huge bump.

Injury Report: August 11: Matt Holliday, Justin Morneau, Tommy Hanson & More | Rotoprofessor

Shoulder Capsule Surgeries: What Are These? | Roto Hardball
What are capsule injuries in MLB pitchers? Come inside to see, as well as what to expect from pitchers who have this surgery.

Prospect of the Day: Phillippe Aumont, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies | Minor League Ball

Aumont's step forward this year looks legitimate to me, and he has the stuff to be a major league closer if he maintains his command and avoids further health issues. We should see him in the majors later this year or certainly in 2012.

Introducing Xander Bogaerts! | Roto Hardball

In dynasty leagues, he's a definite own in leagues where a prospect can be stashed for a few years. This winter, I expect prospect followers to hear Bogaerts' name frequently as I expect him to surface as a top-8 prospect within the Boston Red Sox organization, in addition to at least a couple of top-100 rankings.

Trevor May and Alex Liddi, Scouting the Unknown | Razzball

I mentioned before that May was the better long term prospect than Jarred Cosart due to the projectability and strikeout potential. I still believe this to be the case. I also want to raise a warning over his command and control, not to forget his mechanical difficulties. Without high-risk, there isn’t high-reward. Statistically speaking, May’s numbers don’t show any oddities or outliers, just continued control issues. There are similarities between him and Joba Chamberlain: strikeout potential and control troubles. Could be a right-handed Jonathan Sanchez or a Joba-type reliever.

Fantasy Baseball Player Prospecting: Trevor Bauer, Salvador Perez, more |
Trevor Bauer mowing down first competition. KC hopes they brought up their backstop solution. Plus a primer on a few other less known, but still intriguing, names.

Daily Dish: Tigers’ Casey Crosby Stays Grounded | Baseball America
Crosby, Bauer, d'Arnaud, Hood, Wong, Arcia, Colome

Wezen-Ball: A (Stolen) Sign from Above | Baseball Prospectus
Of course the White Sox are behind this. Remember when Mark Buehrle thought the Rangers were sending signals through the Ballpark in Arlington scoreboard? Yeah.

The Lineup Card: 12 Favorite Basebrawls and Individual Performances in Basebrawls | Baseball Prospectus
A "Come And Take It" reference. My life is now complete.