Ray starter David Price had a breakout season in 2010 going 19-6 with a 2.72 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 188-79 K/BB rate in 208+ innings pitched. He had a 3.42 FIP and 3.83 xFIP last year with a K rate a hair above 8 and a walk rate in the mid 3.00 range. He benefitted from a .270 BABIP and an excellent 79% strand rate, or LOB%. Coming into the 2011 season, I expected some regression, as I did not expect him to have an ERA under 3.00 again, nor win 19 games again.
But Price is determined to prove me wrong. On Thursday, Price gave up just one unearned run, on 4 hits, no walks and 10 strikeouts in 8 2/3rds innings pitched. He threw first pitch strikes to 20 of the 29 batters he faced and earned 11 swinging strikes.
For the season, he now owns a 4-3 record with an ERA of 3.26, a WHIP of 1.13 and a K/BB rate of 40-9 in just under 50 innings pitched. He is on pace for 21 wins according to ESPN, but fantasy owners would be happy with 15-16 on this Rays team.