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Adam Foster published his Top 100 Prospects for 2011 today over at Project Prospect. Adam uses a combination of ceiling and floor in his lists. Here is his explanation when asked is his Sunday night chat:
9:46
[Comment From Matt]First time to Project Prospect, but I follow you on Twitter. Can you give some quick background on your list, and how you do your prospect projections and ranking?
9:49
Thanks for dropping by Matt. Gladly.
We try to get out and see as many guys as possible. I go to about 40 games a year.
When we can't see guys, we consult scouts who have seen them. We tend to value floor a lot higher than other publications. While we put a lot of value into upside, we don't want to miss out on too many average regulars while we try to uncover stars.
And here are his Top 10 prospects for 2011:
Rk
Player
Pos
Age
Org
Lvl
Ceiling
Floor
Risk
1
Bryce Harper
RF
18.3
WAS
n/a
9
(A)
4
(C)
High
2
Mike Trout
CF
19.5
LAA
A+
8
(A-)
5
(B-)
Moderate
3
Jesus Montero
DH/C
21.2
NYY
AAA
8
(A-)
4
(C+/C)
Moderate
4
Dustin Ackley
2B
23.0
SEA
AAA
6
(B)
4
(C+/C)
Low
5
Eric Hosmer
1B
21.2
KC
AA
7
(B+)
4
(C+/C)
Moderate
6
Wil Myers
RF
20.2
KC
A+
7
(B+)
4
(C+/C)
Moderate
7
Brandon Belt
1B
22.8
SF
AAA
7
(B+)
4
(C+/C)
Moderate
8
Domonic Brown
RF
23.4
PHI
MLB
7
(B+)
3
(C-)
Moderate
9
Shelby Miller
RHP
20.3
STL
A
8
(A-)
4
(C+/C)
Moderate
10
Wilin Rosario
C
22.0
COL
AA
7
(B+)
1
(D)
High
The only surprise for me was his ranking of Rosario, which is alot higher than the other prospect experts.
Head on over to Project Prospect to check out the rest of his Top 100.