Here is the first in a series for 2011 Fantasy Sleepers, and I will start out with Braves outfielder Nate McLouth. He may be a real deep sleeper, but in NL-only leagues, he is a late round choice for the outfield who could give fantasy owners a 15-15 season in 2011.
McLouth will be the Braves starting center fielder in 2011, and is a year removed from a 20-70-19 season in 2009. Last year, the wheels came off as he was hurt and then struggled in AAA. With the big league club, he hit .190-.2280.322 with 6 HRs, 24 RBIs and 7 SBs in 242 ABs . His BA and OBP were impacted by his horrific BABIP of .221.
Looking at his plate discipline, i see his K rate increased from 20% in 2009 to 24% last year, but his BB rate remained the same at right around 12%. If he can raise his BABIP, which shouldn't be too hard to do, his BA should rise, and he could return to the player we saw in 2008 and 2009, or at least come close.
Ron Shandler projects him to hit hit .254-.334-.415 with 15 HRs, 52 RBIs and 16 SBs in 2011, and I could see him reaching those estimates should he stay healthy.