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Fantasy Baseball: 20 Pitchers You Should Buy

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By Ray Guilfoyle Updated
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Yesterday, I wrote about 20 pitchers fantasy owners should sell. Today, I have 20 pitchers owners should buy, based on a positive difference between their ERA and their FIP. Let's take a look:

Name Team K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% ERA FIP E-F  xFIP
Change page: < 1 2 3 4 >  |  Displaying page 1 of 4, items 1 to 35 of 109.
Randy Wells Cubs 6.96 2.47 2.81 0.64 .290 1.42 .345 67.8 % 4.67 3.37 1.29 3.78
Brandon Morrow Blue Jays 10.03 4.22 2.38 0.66 .252 1.42 .339 68.1 % 4.69 3.45 1.23 3.87
Francisco Liriano Twins 9.88 2.38 4.14 0.17 .253 1.22 .352 72.2 % 3.32 2.10 1.22 2.89
Felipe Paulino Astros 7.95 4.50 1.77 0.21 .264 1.51 .338 61.4 % 4.40 3.28 1.12 4.63
Scott Feldman Rangers 5.42 2.93 1.85 0.98 .316 1.63 .350 63.8 % 5.51 4.44 1.06 4.72
Gavin Floyd White Sox 7.47 2.78 2.69 0.61 .264 1.32 .322 66.1 % 4.43 3.37 1.06 3.76
Kyle Davies Royals 5.54 4.13 1.34 0.91 .276 1.53 .306 63.8 % 5.64 4.63 1.01 5.24
Justin Masterson Indians 7.32 3.99 1.83 0.57 .284 1.56 .345 66.6 % 4.85 3.86 0.99 3.91
Chris Narveson Brewers 7.34 3.56 2.06 1.08 .281 1.50 .329 68.1 % 5.29 4.33 0.96 4.39
Wandy Rodriguez Astros 6.22 3.67 1.69 0.82 .299 1.61 .343 63.1 % 5.30 4.40 0.90 4.47
Scott Baker Twins 7.95 1.66 4.79 1.31 .287 1.32 .338 71.8 % 4.72 3.88 0.84 3.75
Tommy Hanson Braves 9.12 3.07 2.97 0.65 .266 1.37 .345 71.1 % 4.19 3.39 0.80 4.10
James Shields Rays 8.18 2.05 4.00 1.39 .290 1.38 .344 67.6 % 4.83 4.07 0.76 3.62
Kevin Millwood Orioles 7.02 2.93 2.40 1.67 .308 1.58 .344 67.6 % 5.77 5.05 0.71 4.35
Edwin Jackson Diamondbacks 7.15 3.86 1.85 0.80 .258 1.41 .306 68.9 % 4.74 4.10 0.64 4.22
Justin Verlander Tigers 8.43 3.03 2.78 0.57 .225 1.15 .286 68.5 % 3.85 3.21 0.63 3.97
Jake Peavy White Sox 7.78 2.82 2.76 1.11 .246 1.23 .290 68.5 % 4.70 4.10 0.60 4.14
Jeremy Bonderman Tigers 6.48 2.55 2.54 1.08 .275 1.35 .311 66.6 % 4.81 4.24 0.57 4.45
Chad Billingsley Dodgers 8.12 3.05 2.67 0.71 .269 1.38 .333 70.6 % 4.06 3.51 0.55 3.89
Nick Blackburn Twins 3.19 2.52 1.27 1.45 .326 1.65 .328 66.7 % 6.00 5.46 0.54 5.16

A few guys who stand out for me in this list are Francisco Liriano with a 2.10 FIP. I know he has the talent, but can he really pitch better than he has. His .352 BABIP is surprising. I think Tommy Hanson will pitch much better than he has so far, especially with the solid bullpen behind him.

Jake Peavy is a pitcher who could thrive down the stretch if the White Sox could get into a pennant race, or if he is dealt to a team in the playoff race. Wandy Rodriguez has pitched better of late, striking out 10 on Tuesday night. His LOB% of 63% should rise, lowering his ERA at the same time.

A pitcher just missing this list is Dan Haren, who should pitch better than he has to date. His BABIP of .340 should regress to league average around .300, as should his career high HR/9 of 1.39. Haren, Wandy and Peavy are buy low pitchers should you find an owner willing to deal them.

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