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I haven't written one of these articles in awhile, but here is a list of 20 pitchers you should sell, based on their ERA - FIP per Fangraphs. If you put value in this peripheral statistic, you may want to look to sell a few of these pitchers who could see their ERA's rise in the near future. Let's take a look:
Name
Team
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
HR/9
AVG
WHIP
BABIP
LOB%
ERA
FIP
E-F
xFIP
Tim Hudson
Braves
4.57
3.23
1.41
0.71
.218
1.15
.234
84.0 %
2.44
4.30
-1.86
4.17
Jeff Niemann
Rays
6.37
2.55
2.50
1.19
.219
1.08
.238
86.4 %
2.80
4.40
-1.60
4.32
David Price
Rays
7.52
3.51
2.14
0.67
.223
1.20
.270
79.5 %
2.42
3.69
-1.26
4.08
Jaime Garcia
Cardinals
7.35
3.72
1.97
0.38
.222
1.22
.276
81.7 %
2.10
3.36
-1.26
3.73
Randy Wolf
Brewers
5.31
4.44
1.20
1.65
.267
1.52
.274
77.4 %
4.70
5.94
-1.24
5.30
Wade LeBlanc
Padres
6.00
3.41
1.76
0.93
.266
1.40
.299
84.2 %
3.10
4.32
-1.22
4.72
Livan Hernandez
Nationals
4.34
2.73
1.59
0.77
.253
1.26
.271
80.6 %
2.98
4.19
-1.21
4.75
Ian Kennedy
Diamondbacks
7.98
3.59
2.23
1.52
.227
1.23
.254
78.7 %
3.77
4.91
-1.14
4.45
Andy Pettitte
Yankees
6.66
2.65
2.52
0.94
.233
1.15
.265
79.7 %
2.82
3.93
-1.11
4.08
Mike Leake
Reds
5.95
3.46
1.72
0.98
.269
1.42
.301
79.5 %
3.38
4.41
-1.04
4.36
Clay Buchholz
Red Sox
6.26
3.72
1.68
0.29
.229
1.25
.275
76.2 %
2.45
3.47
-1.03
4.28
Jon Garland
Padres
5.70
3.94
1.44
0.70
.247
1.36
.279
74.9 %
3.24
4.26
-1.01
4.45
Ubaldo Jimenez
Rockies
8.09
3.33
2.43
0.45
.200
1.08
.254
82.5 %
2.27
3.20
-0.94
3.74
Chris Carpenter
Cardinals
7.90
2.71
2.92
1.05
.244
1.21
.290
79.0 %
3.16
4.06
-0.90
3.77
Ted Lilly
Cubs
6.17
2.12
2.91
1.45
.235
1.10
.249
75.0 %
3.76
4.63
-0.87
4.64
Adam Wainwright
Cardinals
8.63
2.24
3.84
0.70
.210
1.00
.265
82.2 %
2.24
3.07
-0.83
3.18
C.J. Wilson
Rangers
6.42
4.22
1.52
0.53
.219
1.26
.258
71.9 %
3.34
4.06
-0.71
4.64
Wade Davis
Rays
6.00
3.93
1.53
1.66
.271
1.48
.286
77.4 %
4.86
5.57
-0.71
5.07
Mat Latos
Padres
8.22
2.35
3.50
0.81
.199
0.96
.243
80.8 %
2.62
3.33
-0.71
3.59
Matt Cain
Giants
6.44
3.06
2.10
0.63
.225
1.16
.263
76.7 %
2.98
3.69
-0.70
4.72
I own Tim Hudson in my big money 5 x 5 league and have been very happy with his performance to date, but worry when he will implode. His .234 BABIP and 84% LOB% worries me. The same can be said for Rays starter Jeff Niemann. I think everyone knew Ubaldo wouldn't pitch like he has for most of the first 3 months of the season.
We don't know how Mat Latos will pitch the rest of the season, but he has been one of the more consistent pitchers the last two months. Mike Leake started out with quaiity start after quality start, but I think the wheels are starting to come off, and the Reds have already stated they will look to limit his innings in the very near future. The same can be said about Latos, but we do not know when the Padres will skip a few of his starts.