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Fantasy Baseball: Hitters To Sell High???

By Ray Guilfoyle
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Yesterday, I posted an article discussing hitters who you should target in trades or free agent pickups as their 2010 BABIP was uncharacteristically low. Today, I give you hitters who's BABIP is higher than one would expect to last for the entire season.

Here's are the top 20 hitters in MLB based on their BABIP through Monday May 10th:

Name BB% K% BB/K AVG OBP SLG OPS ISO BABIP
Austin Jackson 7.50% 28.70% 0.280 0.360 0.408 0.493 0.901 0.132 0.500
Carlos Ruiz 20.20% 19.50% 1.310 0.354 0.481 0.488 0.969 0.134 0.415
Jayson Werth 12.10% 26.80% 0.530 0.348 0.424 0.688 1.112 0.339 0.410
Franklin Gutierrez 11.20% 25.40% 0.500 0.322 0.396 0.475 0.870 0.153 0.407
Colby Rasmus 17.40% 34.80% 0.630 0.304 0.430 0.598 1.028 0.293 0.400
Shin-Soo Choo 16.20% 26.90% 0.720 0.315 0.431 0.481 0.912 0.167 0.400
Miguel Cabrera 13.40% 13.90% 1.120 0.377 0.465 0.648 1.112 0.270 0.398
David Freese 10.00% 23.30% 0.500 0.320 0.393 0.476 0.869 0.155 0.390
Chase Headley 7.40% 20.30% 0.400 0.325 0.370 0.423 0.793 0.098 0.388
Andre Ethier 8.90% 12.50% 0.790 0.393 0.452 0.732 1.184 0.339 0.386
Justin Morneau 19.90% 22.00% 1.130 0.339 0.471 0.624 1.094 0.284 0.385
Ryan Theriot 4.60% 14.10% 0.350 0.331 0.360 0.373 0.733 0.042 0.382
Ryan Braun 12.10% 14.10% 1.000 0.359 0.443 0.594 1.037 0.234 0.381
Adrian Beltre 5.50% 18.30% 0.320 0.325 0.359 0.450 0.809 0.125 0.381
Alfonso Soriano 8.00% 22.30% 0.390 0.340 0.389 0.660 1.050 0.320 0.378
Elvis Andrus 16.00% 21.20% 0.950 0.298 0.416 0.346 0.762 0.048 0.378
Evan Longoria 10.70% 24.40% 0.500 0.325 0.393 0.585 0.978 0.260 0.375
Andrew McCutchen 7.40% 18.70% 0.430 0.325 0.381 0.504 0.885 0.179 0.375
Brett Gardner 11.60% 12.50% 1.080 0.333 0.418 0.406 0.824 0.073 0.373
Carlos Gonzalez 3.40% 20.90% 0.170 0.318 0.336 0.482 0.818 0.164 0.372




The guys that stand out for me are Austin Jackson, Andre Ethier, Alfonso Soriano and Jayson Werth. A-Jack is a rookie, and no one should expect his BABIP to be around .500 at the end of the season. His BA will drop as a result. Ethier is known for his hot streaks and cold streaks, and he is very hot right now, leading the NL in hitting, HRs and RBI. To think that I traded him in the UBA league offseason makes me sick.

The same goes for Alfonso Soriano. He won't hit .340 all season. His career BABIP is .307, so some of those balls in play will become outs in the near future. Werth's career BABIP is 0.331, and it is sitting at .410 right now, so I don't see him hitting .348 all season. Werth is in his walk year, so I could see him hitting better than his career .269 BA this season, especially in the Phillies lineup.

Another guys who sticks out for me is Colby Rasmus. I didn't realize how often he was striking out, but the BB% is very good. If he can cut down on the K's, he could have a very good season in 2010.

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