Adam Foster and his team over at Project Prospect have published their Top 100 prospect list for 2010. We have previously published his Top 25 list here at Fake Teams, so here are his # 26-50 prospects for 2010:
26 | Martin Perez | LHP | Just needs to prove he can handle a SP's workload; potential for 3 plus pitches | 19.0 | TEX | AA | ||||||
27 | Ryan Westmoreland | CF/LF | Outstanding athlete w/ speed, power, patience and strong arm; very high upside | 19.9 | BOS | SS | ||||||
28 | Wade Davis | RHP | Horse of a SP; extended track record in minors, solid FB & 2 good breaking balls | 24.6 | TB | MLB | ||||||
29 | Brett Wallace | 1B/3B | Won't stick at 3B, but could be slightly above-average overall as a first baseman | 23.6 | TOR | AAA | ||||||
30 | Daniel Hudson | RHP | Reached the bigs in his full-season debut; great FB/CH combo; SL is inconsistent | 23.1 | CHW | MLB | ||||||
31 | Derek Norris | C/DH | Extemely patient power hitter but he will stike out; not a good bet to stick at C | 21.1 | WAS | A | ||||||
32 | Aroldis Chapman | LHP | Didn't have great command in Cuban League, but hard to doubt his stuff | 22.1 | CIN | n/a | ||||||
33 | Todd Frazier | 2B/LF | Unorthodox swing has led to sweet LD rates; his defensive home is uncertain | 24.1 | CIN | AAA | ||||||
34 | Alex Avila | C | Rapid rise from from 5th rounder to MLB; solid bet to stick at C; decent upside | 23.2 | DET | MLB | ||||||
35 | Casey Kelly | RHP | Doesn't have top-notch FB velo, but knows how to pitch & has a polished arsenal | 20.5 | BOS | A+ | ||||||
36 | Starlin Castro | SS | Good contact bat doesn't walk and power upside is limited; can he stick at SS? | 20.0 | CHC | AA | ||||||
37 | Thomas Neal | LF/1B | Fresh off outstanding offensive season in the low-minors; may end up as a 1B | 22.6 | SF | A+ | ||||||
38 | Jose Iglesias | SS | Best defensive SS in minors; good contact hitter; questions about power & BB% | 20.2 | BOS | n/a | ||||||
39 | Chris Heisey | LF/CF | D-III stud turned legit MLB prospect; may not be a star but likely a solid regular | 25.3 | CIN | AAA | ||||||
40 | Brett Lawrie | 2B | Balanced power hitter with above-average speed reached AA in 1st full season | 20.2 | MIL | AA | ||||||
41 | Lonnie Chisenhal | 3B | Established himself as an elite power/contact hitter in A+; solid bet to stick at 3B | 21.5 | CLE | AA | ||||||
42 | Tony Sanchez | C | Nearly a lock to stick at C; hit for power, walked & didn't K; 4th overall pick ('09) | 21.9 | PIT | A+ | ||||||
43 | Nick Weglarz | LF/DH | Played w/ a broken leg in '09; very patient, plus power, not a bad contact bat | 22.3 | CLE | AA | ||||||
44 | Hector Rondon | RHP | Composed + has great command; doesn't try to overpower guys; fly-ball pitcher | 22.1 | CLE | AAA | ||||||
45 | Logan Forsythe | 3B | Patient, balanced LD hitter who could be a good defensive 3B; maybe even a 2B | 23.2 | SD | AA | ||||||
46 | Brandon Snyder | 1B | Bat will get him to the bigs - smooth swing + patient; former C is now stuck at 1B | 23.4 | BAL | AAA | ||||||
47 | Jason Castro | C | Already outstanding defensive C; simple LD swing doesn't generate much power | 22.8 | HOU | AA | ||||||
48 | Jon Niese | LHP | Commands a sinking FB; CB and SL both get swing-throughs; Likely no. 3 starter | 23.4 | NYM | MLB | ||||||
49 | Matt Dominguez | 3B | Slow but still an elite defender; lots of offensive potential, though swing is long | 20.6 | FLA | AA | ||||||
50 | Aaron Hicks | CF | Patient hitter with some power; he plays an outstanding CF - great speed/arm | 20.5 | MIN | A |
Adam also held a chat over at Project Prospect and here is one of the Q & A:
[Comment from Tom]
What three players do you think are unique to this list? As in which evaluations have you all made that clash most with other evaluators? Why do you think there is that difference? What might you be doing differently?
Adam Foster: Mike Leake jumps out at a lot of people. We think he could become a top-of-the-rotation starter because of his elite command of four offerings that could be above-average. His height and fastball velocity -- under 6-foot and usually doesn't get it up above 92 MPH -- don't concern us.
As mentioned in this chat and explained above, we have Fernando Martinez higher than he's been on most lists.
Then our Hellickson ranking will probably be lower than you'll see just about anywhere. Most prospect rankers don't put much energy into predicting pitcher durability. If Hellickson goes out and throws 200+ quality innings a season for 4-5 years, our ranking may not look so hot :).
We weigh floor pretty heavily along with ceiling. Our goal is to hit on as many future average or better big leaguers without missing anyone. A guy doesn't need to profile as a likely above-average regular to make our list. And some of those "average tools" guys go on to become stars. For example, Chase Utley and Dan Haren were never thought of as cream-of-the-crop prospects.