Here is the list of pitchers, starters and relievers, that Baseball HQ feel will be fantasy busts in 2010. Shandler creates the list based on the following pitching stats: H%, S%, HR/FB%, and xERA.
David Aardsma (2 A's)
Madison Bumgarner
Matt Cain
Francisco Cordero
Ryan Franklin
Mike Gonzalez
Zack Greinke
J.A. Happ (not JA)
Trevor Hoffman (2 F's, 1 N)
Jair Jurrjens
Carlos Marmol
Joe Nathan
Jonathan Papelbon
Mariano Rivera
Chris Carpenter
Clayton Kershaw
Mat Latos (1 T)
Tommy Hanson (not "en")
Shandler lists almost all of the top closers in his "Corrections list". I used "bust" since it is easier to say and spell. I used to be a good speller but I am certainly not a good typer. Oh, and I didn't know there was an "n" in Matt Lindstrom's name until someone pointed that out to me. And Jordan Zimmermann, has two "N's" in his name, not one.
Now, onto this list. Well, I have Kershaw and Latos in the UBA league as my two top starting pitchers going into 2010 after dealing Wandy-Rod and Ricky Nolasco. I can see Carpenter being a bit of a bust as he will probably be drafted amongst the top 10 starting pitchers in 2010 drafts even though he has a history of injuries.
I am totally on board with J.A. Happ and Ryan Franklin being on this list as well. I have written about Happ previously as he had an extreme S%, or LOB%, in 2009 around 85%. That won't happen in 2010, so his ERA should increase. Franklin, to me, won't last the season as the Cardinals closer, but then again, you can say that about alot of closers, no?
Greinke being on this list surprised me.
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