When looking to find undervalued hitters going into your 2011 fantasy drafts, you might want to take a look at the the hitters who underperformed their expectations in 2010. You can start by looking at those hitters who were "unlucky" at the plate. By unlucky, I mean, those hitters who had the lowest BABIP in 2010.
After the jump, we'll take a look at the hitters who had the lowest BABIP in 2010, courtesy of Fangraphs:
Name
Team
BB%
K%
BB/K
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
Spd
BABIP
wRC
wRAA
wOBA
Change page: < 1 2 3 4 5 > | Displaying page 1 of 5, items 1 to 35 of 149.
Aaron Hill
Blue Jays
7.1 %
16.1 %
0.48
.205
.271
.394
.665
.189
2.6
.196
52.5
-14.1
.291
Carlos Pena
Rays
14.9 %
32.6 %
0.55
.196
.325
.407
.732
.211
2.7
.222
69.1
2.2
.326
Jose Bautista
Blue Jays
14.6 %
20.4 %
0.86
.260
.378
.617
.995
.357
4.4
.233
134.1
55.6
.422
Carlos Lee
Astros
5.7 %
9.8 %
0.63
.246
.291
.417
.708
.170
2.3
.238
67.6
-7.0
.308
Carlos Quentin
White Sox
9.5 %
18.3 %
0.60
.243
.342
.479
.821
.236
3.5
.241
75.3
14.7
.356
Kurt Suzuki
Athletics
6.1 %
9.9 %
0.67
.242
.303
.366
.669
.123
3.2
.245
51.5
-11.0
.296
Aramis Ramirez
Cubs
6.7 %
19.4 %
0.38
.241
.294
.452
.745
.211
1.9
.245
58.2
-0.1
.321
Jose Lopez
Mariners
3.7 %
11.1 %
0.35
.239
.270
.339
.609
.099
2.2
.254
45.2
-26.3
.268
Juan Uribe
Giants
7.8 %
17.7 %
0.49
.248
.310
.440
.749
.192
2.3
.256
66.4
0.4
.322
Cesar Izturis
Orioles
4.9 %
11.2 %
0.47
.230
.277
.268
.545
.038
4.2
.257
29.0
-29.9
.248
Mark Reynolds
Diamondbacks
13.9 %
42.3 %
0.39
.198
.320
.433
.753
.234
4.1
.257
71.8
3.3
.328
Alcides Escobar
Brewers
6.5 %
13.8 %
0.51
.235
.288
.326
.614
.091
6.4
.264
40.9
-22.5
.270
Yuniesky Betancourt
Royals
3.9 %
11.5 %
0.36
.259
.288
.405
.692
.146
2.8
.267
57.4
-10.1
.300
Mark Teixeira
Yankees
13.1 %
20.3 %
0.76
.256
.365
.481
.846
.225
2.0
.268
108.4
26.6
.367
Alberto Callaspo
- - -
5.2 %
7.5 %
0.74
.265
.302
.374
.675
.109
3.5
.269
56.6
-12.4
.295
Jeff Francoeur
- - -
6.0 %
17.8 %
0.37
.249
.300
.383
.683
.134
4.2
.270
47.2
-10.5
.295
Ty Wigginton
Orioles
7.7 %
20.0 %
0.43
.248
.312
.415
.727
.167
1.4
.270
72.2
-2.4
.316
Kevin Kouzmanoff
Athletics
4.1 %
17.4 %
0.25
.247
.283
.396
.679
.149
2.6
.270
55.3
-12.0
.296
Vernon Wells
Blue Jays
7.7 %
14.2 %
0.60
.273
.331
.515
.847
.242
3.7
.272
95.3
21.0
.362
Shane Victorino
Phillies
8.2 %
13.5 %
0.67
.259
.327
.429
.756
.170
7.6
.273
83.6
9.2
.339
The one player that jumps out at me is Blue Jays outfielder Jose Baustista, who had a career year in 2010 with 54 HRs, yet had a career low BABIP of just .233. What does that tells you about Bautista in 2011? I am not a buyer, but will say I am shocked at his .233 BABIP.
Another guy who underperformed in 2010 was Astros outfielder Carlos Lee. I was expecting a 30-100-.300 season from him and he responded with a 24-89-.246 season. Does he bounce back in 2010? I am not sure, but I can see him being very cheap in auction leagues.
Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira did not underperform in the power stats in 2010, but did underperform in the BA category hitting just .256, and I can see him bouncing back in that category in 2011. His .268 BABIP was the worst of his career, and below his career BABIP of .303.
Another guy I will draft in 2011, expecting a bounce back, is Cubs third baseman Aramis Ramirez. I think he can return to the 2008 version where he went 27-111-.289, assuming he can stay healthy. His .245 BABIP was his lowest since 2002 when he was with the Pirates, and well below his career BABIP of .287.
Brewers SS Alcides Escobar is another hitter who had a career worst BABIP in 2010, albeit in his first major league season. Escobar had a .264 BABIP in 2010, but had BABIPs of .297, .369, .369 and .343 in the minors. He is known to be a good contact hitter with no power, so I can see him improving his BA in 2011, after hitting just .235 in 2010.