clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Fantasy Baseball: NL 3 Year Average Quality Starts

New, 5 comments

When analyzing starting pitchers sometimes looking at previous year stats is not a good predictor of how a pitcher will pitch in the coming year. So I decided to look at a pitcher's 3 year average starting with Quality Starts.

Let's take a look:

Player INN GS QS W K BBI ERA WHIP
Santana, Johan SP NYM 229 33.7 24 17 229 54 2.87 1.07
Webb, Brandon SP ARI 233 33.7 23 19 185 62 3.13 1.17
Haren, Dan SP ARI 221 33.7 23 15 191 47 3.51 1.18
Oswalt, Roy SP HOU 214 32 23 15 162 48 3.24 1.22
Lincecum, Tim SP SF 187 28.5 21 12 208 74 3.18 1.21
Arroyo, Bronson SP CIN 217 34.3 21 13 168 65 4.06 1.33
Lowe, Derek SP ATL 209 33.3 20 14 139 53 3.57 1.22
Lilly, Ted SP CHC 198 33.3 20 16 173 67 4.05 1.26
Zambrano, Carlos SP CHC 206 32.3 19 16 172 96 3.75 1.31
Cain, Matt SP SF 203 32.3 19 9 176 86 3.86 1.31
Moyer, Jamie SP PHI 202 33 19 14 121 60 4.36 1.36
Garland, Jon SP LA 205 32 19 14 100 52 4.56 1.39
Harang, Aaron SP CIN 217 32.7 18 13 196 53 4.03 1.26
Kuroda, Hiroki SP LA 183 31 18 9 116 42 3.73 1.22
Hudson, Tim SP ATL 195 30.3 18 13 119 57 3.88 1.29
Zito, Barry SP SF 199 33 18 12 134 95 4.47 1.44
Hamels, Cole SP PHI 181 28 17 13 173 48 3.43 1.14
Smoltz, John SP STL 155 24 17 11 148 37 3.24 1.18
Vazquez, Javier SP ATL 209 32.3 17 13 199 56 4.39 1.25
Blanton, Joe SP PHI 207 32.7 17 13 119 55 4.47 1.38



It is no surprise that Johan Santana is at the top of this list. Two names that are surprising to me are Jon Garland and Jamie Moyer. If it wasn't for their ERA and WHIP, that have average 19 quality starts and 14 wins over the last 3 years...not bad.
Another surprising name is Bronson Arroyo who has averaged 21 quality starts and 13 wins over the last 3 years. His ERA and WHIP are respectable as well. He may be someone you can pick in the later rounds of most drafts in 2010.