Adrian Gonzalez of the San Diego Padres has hit HRs like no one expected given his home ballpark. The key stat is an outrageous 40.1% HR-to-Flyball rate. Over the previous five seasons, the highest HR/F was Ryan Howard's 2006 38.3%. He hit 56 HRs that season.
I don't know if Gonzalez can keep up his HR/F rate or something north of 30% given just five players had accomplished a 30+% HR/F in the 2004 to 2008 time frame (Howard, Jack Cust twice, Barry Bonds and Travis Hafner). I can see that AGonz's current BABIP of .258 would rank as the worst amongst the Top 100 HR/F though.
Unrelated to Gonzalez, I'd like to note that the highest HR/F rates generally appear to be flukes. There are just a few players who consistently maintain these elite rates, so behave accordingly.
FWIW, I think we should consider HR/F a durable skill if it occurs in back-to-back seasons including 2009. Welcome to the statisitical significance of a sample size of two Evan Longoria and Adrian Gonzalez!
Slugger | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Dunn | ||||||
HR/F | 0.235 | 0.209 | 0.216 | 0.225 | 0.244 | |
BA/BIP | 0.321 | 0.279 | 0.276 | 0.305 | 0.292 | |
Adam Jones | ||||||
HR/F | 0.22 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.386 | |||||
Adam LaRoche | ||||||
HR/F | 0.216 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.319 | |||||
Adrian Beltre | ||||||
HR/F | 0.224 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.325 | |||||
Adrian Gonzalez | ||||||
HR/F | 0.23 | 0.401 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.308 | 0.258 | ||||
Albert Pujols | ||||||
HR/F | 0.213 | 0.216 | 0.225 | 0.22 | 0.241 | |
BA/BIP | 0.298 | 0.316 | 0.292 | 0.34 | 0.305 | |
Alex Rodriguez | ||||||
HR/F | 0.25 | 0.202 | 0.267 | 0.214 | ||
BA/BIP | 0.347 | 0.326 | 0.309 | 0.328 | ||
Alfonso Soriano | ||||||
HR/F | 0.194 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.3 | |||||
Andruw Jones | ||||||
HR/F | 0.255 | 0.224 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.24 | 0.264 | ||||
B.J. Upton | ||||||
HR/F | 0.195 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.393 | |||||
Barry Bonds | ||||||
HR/F | 0.328 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.31 | |||||
Brandon Inge | ||||||
HR/F | 0.209 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.325 | |||||
Carlos Beltran | ||||||
HR/F | 0.22 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.263 | |||||
Carlos Delgado | ||||||
HR/F | 0.196 | 0.236 | 0.238 | 0.243 | ||
BA/BIP | 0.283 | 0.332 | 0.269 | 0.279 | ||
Carlos Pena | ||||||
HR/F | 0.193 | 0.287 | 0.23 | |||
BA/BIP | 0.284 | 0.297 | 0.25 | |||
Chipper Jones | ||||||
HR/F | 0.205 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.246 | |||||
Chris Davis | ||||||
HR/F | 0.24 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.271 | |||||
Craig A Wilson | ||||||
HR/F | 0.216 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.325 | |||||
David Ortiz | ||||||
HR/F | 0.207 | 0.222 | 0.266 | |||
BA/BIP | 0.322 | 0.303 | 0.27 | |||
Derrek Lee | ||||||
HR/F | 0.219 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.343 | |||||
Evan Longoria | ||||||
HR/F | 0.194 | 0.2 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.309 | 0.369 | ||||
Hanley Ramirez | ||||||
HR/F | 0.2 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.329 | |||||
J.D. Drew | ||||||
HR/F | 0.203 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.34 | |||||
Jack Cust | ||||||
HR/F | 0.337 | 0.31 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.355 | 0.306 | ||||
Jacque Jones | ||||||
HR/F | 0.193 | 0.226 | 0.241 | |||
BA/BIP | 0.282 | 0.279 | 0.319 | |||
Jason Bay | ||||||
HR/F | 0.196 | 0.234 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.33 | 0.295 | ||||
Jason Giambi | ||||||
HR/F | 0.213 | 0.2 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.292 | 0.245 | ||||
Jason Varitek | ||||||
HR/F | 0.205 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.329 | |||||
Jermaine Dye | ||||||
HR/F | 0.233 | 0.205 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.328 | 0.29 | ||||
Jhonny Peralta | ||||||
HR/F | 0.196 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.346 | |||||
Jim Edmonds | ||||||
HR/F | 0.277 | 0.2 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.344 | 0.31 | ||||
Jim Thome | ||||||
HR/F | 0.226 | 0.255 | 0.272 | 0.199 | 0.219 | |
BA/BIP | 0.298 | 0.321 | 0.316 | 0.273 | 0.3 | |
Justin Upton | ||||||
HR/F | 0.195 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.397 | |||||
Justin Morneau | ||||||
HR/F | 0.211 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.354 | |||||
Kevin Youkilis | ||||||
HR/F | 0.202 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.432 | |||||
Lance Berkman | ||||||
HR/F | 0.24 | 0.204 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.316 | 0.3 | ||||
Manny Ramirez | ||||||
HR/F | 0.232 | 0.279 | 0.239 | |||
BA/BIP | 0.324 | 0.295 | 0.341 | |||
Mark Reynolds | ||||||
HR/F | 0.248 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.352 | |||||
Mark Teixeira | ||||||
HR/F | 0.199 | 0.193 | 0.207 | |||
BA/BIP | 0.293 | 0.315 | 0.273 | |||
Michael Cuddyer | ||||||
HR/F | 0.211 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.302 | |||||
Miguel Cabrera | ||||||
HR/F | 0.219 | 0.195 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.335 | 0.358 | ||||
Mike Napoli | ||||||
HR/F | 0.208 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.306 | |||||
Mike Jacobs | ||||||
HR/F | 0.194 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.26 | |||||
Milton Bradley | ||||||
HR/F | 0.203 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.388 | |||||
Nelson Cruz | ||||||
HR/F | 0.237 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.313 | |||||
Prince Fielder | ||||||
HR/F | 0.239 | 0.204 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.283 | 0.32 | ||||
Raul Ibanez | ||||||
HR/F | 0.246 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.318 | |||||
Richie Sexson | ||||||
HR/F | 0.25 | 0.2 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.304 | 0.3 | ||||
Russell Branyan | ||||||
HR/F | 0.219 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.39 | |||||
Ryan Braun | ||||||
HR/F | 0.206 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.357 | |||||
Ryan Howard | ||||||
HR/F | 0.383 | 0.284 | 0.292 | 0.253 | ||
BA/BIP | 0.356 | 0.328 | 0.285 | 0.302 | ||
Ryan Ludwick | ||||||
HR/F | 0.212 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.342 | |||||
Sammy Sosa | ||||||
HR/F | 0.245 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.275 | |||||
Torii Hunter | ||||||
HR/F | 0.219 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.324 | |||||
Travis Hafner | ||||||
HR/F | 0.268 | 0.307 | ||||
BA/BIP | 0.344 | 0.323 | ||||
Vladimir Guerrero | ||||||
HR/F | 0.198 | |||||
BA/BIP | 0.329 | |||||