Georgia RB Knowshon Moreno was the first RB off the draft board this year, coming in at #12 overall. That's the lowest that the first RB has been drafted since 2004, when a RB wasn't taken until #24 overall. Of course, that guy was Steven Jackson and he turned out alright, so Moreno shouldn't feel bad about his draft position.
What he SHOULD feel bad about is the fact that he landed in Denver, a team with a ton of running backs, a new QB and a rookie Head Coach that may be a few sandwiches short of a picnic. But other than that, hey, welcome rookie!
Back on April 2nd, I wrote about the crazy RB situation in Denver and how it would affect new QB Kyle Orton.
Quick Quiz: Name the Bronco RBs with 15+ carries last season.
Answers: Peyton Hillis, Michael Pittman, Selvin Young, Tatum Bell, Andre Hall, P.J. Pope, Ryan Torain.
And don't forget that in the off-season they've already signed J.J. Arrington, Correll Buckhalter and LaMont Jordan. And the Broncos now have two first round draft picks (#12 and #18) coming up. They might draft a RB. Who's going to be starting at RB? Who knows? It might be unknowable, like the sound of one hand clapping.
Since then they cut Cory Boyd, Andrew Pinnock and Selvin Young (oh boy), but who will be starting at RB in the Mile High City is still unknowable.
What are the odds that Moreno gets to be their main running threat? Near zero. He's going to share carries this season and share them with more than one running back. HC Josh McDaniels is more than comfortable with that plan after his time with New England. McDaniels is all about quarterbacks anyway.
That brings up another key point -- the Broncos are going to focus on throwing the ball, not running. They're going to throw the ball a lot this year. Moreno may be the cornerstone of the Broncos offense someday, but it won't be this season. I'd be surprised if Moreno finished with more than 700 rushing yards.
This is truly a terrible place for Moreno to land and a place where his fantasy value will be depressed for a long time. He's probably worth a shot as an RB3, but right now, that's all.