A little while back I wrote a list of Top 10 NL shortstops, and ranked Stephen Drew ahead of Troy Tulowitzki. I am starting to think that maybe I should have ranked JJ Hardy ahead of Tulowitzki also.
In the article, I described Hardy as Tulo-Light? But based on PECOTA's projections, Hardy is projected to have the better year. Take a look:
And, here are the projections from Bill James:
Hardy's ADP according to MockDraftCentral is 57 in NL only leagues, while Tulkowitzki's is 51. There is also the fact that Tulowitzki is hitting in a lineup that some will consider inferior to the Brewers lineup. On top of that, the humidor has leveled the playing field somewhat over the past few years.