A little while back I wrote a list of Top 10 NL shortstops, and ranked Stephen Drew ahead of Troy Tulowitzki. I am starting to think that maybe I should have ranked JJ Hardy ahead of Tulowitzki also.
In the article, I described Hardy as Tulo-Light? But based on PECOTA's projections, Hardy is projected to have the better year. Take a look:
| Last | First | PA | R | HR | RBI | BA | OBP | SLG |
| Hardy | J.J. | 621 | 78 | 21 | 79 | .284 | .344 | .459 |
| Tulowitzki | Troy | 521 | 68 | 15 | 66 | .283 | .356 | .452 |
And, here are the projections from Bill James:
| Last | First | PA | R | HR | RBI | BA | OBP | SLG |
| Hardy | J.J. | 556 | 77 | 23 | 79 | 0.273 | 0.336 | 0.462 |
| Tulowitzki | Troy | 500 | 71 | 17 | 80 | 0.288 | 0.359 | 0.466 |
Hardy's ADP according to MockDraftCentral is 57 in NL only leagues, while Tulkowitzki's is 51. There is also the fact that Tulowitzki is hitting in a lineup that some will consider inferior to the Brewers lineup. On top of that, the humidor has leveled the playing field somewhat over the past few years.