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2009 PECOTA HR Leaders

Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections are out. Here is a list of the top HR hitters. There is one surprise in there. Can you guess who it is?

First Last TM HR BA OBP SLG
Ryan Howard PHI 40 0.27 0.374 0.547
Ryan Braun MIL 37 0.296 0.362 0.56
Adam Dunn ARI 36 0.262 0.396 0.541
Albert Pujols SLN 35 0.339 0.443 0.609
Prince Fielder MIL 33 0.286 0.38 0.527
Alfonso Soriano CHN 33 0.281 0.348 0.538
Miguel Cabrera DET 32 0.294 0.369 0.527
David Wright NYN 32 0.302 0.4 0.538
Matt Wieters BAL 31 0.311 0.395 0.544
Carlos Pena TBA 30 0.239 0.359 0.476
Grady Sizemore CLE 30 0.269 0.368 0.494
Manny Ramirez LAN 30 0.295 0.391 0.538
Alex Rodriguez NYA 30 0.282 0.373 0.508