With pick 10 in the first round, I pondered selecting Evan Longoria or Mark Reynolds, but decided to go with a true power hitter, Prince Fielder.
Fielder was second in the majors in HRs in 2009 as he went 46-141-.299-.412-.602-1.014, and approached 50 HRs for the second time in three years. He improved his BB/K% from 0.63 to 0.80 in 2009 as he increased his BB% from 12.5% in 2008 to 15.7% in 2009. He also increased his HR/FB% from 18.2% in 2008 to 23.1% in 2009.
If Fielder can maintain the high BB/K%, and slightly increase his HR/FB%, Prince can approach 50 HRs for the 3rd time in four seasons. With that said, Bill James predicts Prince will go 44-124-.286-.393-.574-.967 in 2010. James see a slight regression in Prince's OBP, but I have a feeling he can continue to show a solid eye at the plate.
Should Fielder continue to show an improved eye at the plate, Prince could exceed James prediction of 44-124 again in 2010. Milwaukee will need a bounce back season from outfielder Corey Hart and a solid sopphomore season from third baseman Casey McGehee to protect Fielder in the middle of the Brewers lineup, as well.