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Fantasy Baseball: NL Second Half Stolen Base Leaderboard

By Ray Guilfoyle

Continuing the second half leaderboard series, I give you the NL second half stolen base leaders. Here you may find a cheap stolen base guy to get late in your drafts in 2010. In this list I am using SBO%, which represents a hitters stolen base opportunity percentage. SBO% tells you how often a hitter attempts a stolen base once he reaches base.

Let's take a look at the leaderboard after the jump.


Player AB R H HR RBI BB KO SB CS SBO% BA OBP
Bourn, Michael CF HOU 278 41 78 0 10 25 70 29 4 0.320 0.281 0.341
Morgan, Nyjer LF WAS 153 29 55 1 10 9 17 19 7 0.406 0.360 0.410
Cabrera, Everth SS SD 288 42 73 2 21 36 71 18 7 0.229 0.254 0.340
McCutchen, Andrew OF PIT 283 51 81 10 31 44 55 15 5 0.160 0.286 0.378
Rollins, Jimmy SS PHI 326 50 89 14 43 18 30 15 3 0.168 0.273 0.308
Kemp, Matt CF LA 285 49 76 15 51 18 63 15 4 0.202 0.267 0.311
Ramirez, Hanley SS FLA 269 50 91 10 46 30 53 15 1 0.132 0.338 0.412
Utley, Chase 2B PHI 268 51 67 11 32 36 53 14 0 0.136 0.250 0.360
Phillips, Brandon 2B CIN 288 33 82 6 40 13 41 13 3 0.168 0.285 0.321
Braun, Ryan J. LF MIL 308 52 100 16 56 21 53 13 3 0.132 0.325 0.374
Theriot, Ryan SS CHC 279 34 75 0 24 26 42 11 5 0.158 0.269 0.332
Gonzalez, Carlos OF COL 195 42 62 12 24 19 46 11 4 0.185 0.318 0.382
Matsui, Kazuo 2B HOU 257 29 65 7 28 15 43 10 0 0.125 0.253 0.296
Stubbs, Drew OF CIN 180 27 48 8 17 15 49 10 4 0.222 0.267 0.323
Victorino, Shane CF PHI 274 40 74 4 20 24 30 10 3 0.133 0.270 0.338
Velez, Eugenio 2B SF 249 38 69 5 31 16 47 10 5 0.176 0.277 0.321
Castillo, Luis 2B NYM 241 36 79 1 22 27 40 10 3 0.123 0.328 0.395
Taveras, Willy CF CIN 123 16 30 0 4 2 14 9 2 0.344 0.244 0.256
McLouth, Nate CF ATL 210 37 51 6 21 37 46 9 5 0.159 0.243 0.365
Reynolds, Mark 3B ARI 257 43 66 20 40 32 103 9 3 0.122 0.257 0.344

A few guys that stand out in this list, based on SBO%, are no surprise to many fantasy/roto owners. The Astros Michael Bourn, the Reds Willy Taveras, and the Nationals Nyjer Morgan all attempted a SB at least 30% of the time they reached base. But Taveras owners will have to wonder if he will even have a job in 2010, due to the presence of CF prospect Drew Stubbs, who stole 10 bases in his 180 ABs. Stubbs attempted an SB 22% of the time he reached base, which tells me that Dusty Baker will let his leadoff hitter run next season. I just wonder who that will be.

A couple other guys that attempted an SB at least 20% of the time they reached base are the Dodgers Matt Kemp and the Padres Everth Cabrera. I wonder how many SBs Kemp will attempt since he will more than likely be hitting in the middle of the Dodgers lineup in 2010. I don't see a significant dropoff, as manager Joe Torre likes to be aggressive on the basepaths.

Cabrera is a speed demon who I think can steal 40+ in 2010, and possibly 50. He may hit leadoff in 2010, and the Padres will more than likely struggle to score runs again in 2010, so Cabrera should have the green light come March 2010. Feel free to spend accordingly.

The Rockies Carlos Gonzalez, or CarGo, has the potential to go 20-20 in 2010, as he appears to have reached his potential after a year and a half of mediocre production in Oakland and Colorado.

Finally, I can see Andrew McCutchen getting the green light a bit more in 2010, and could steal 35+ bases with average power.

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