Continuing the second half leaderboard series, I give you the NL second half stolen base leaders. Here you may find a cheap stolen base guy to get late in your drafts in 2010. In this list I am using SBO%, which represents a hitters stolen base opportunity percentage. SBO% tells you how often a hitter attempts a stolen base once he reaches base.
Let's take a look at the leaderboard after the jump.
|Bourn, Michael CF HOU||278||41||78||0||10||25||70||29||4||0.320||0.281||0.341|
|Morgan, Nyjer LF WAS||153||29||55||1||10||9||17||19||7||0.406||0.360||0.410|
|Cabrera, Everth SS SD||288||42||73||2||21||36||71||18||7||0.229||0.254||0.340|
|McCutchen, Andrew OF PIT||283||51||81||10||31||44||55||15||5||0.160||0.286||0.378|
|Rollins, Jimmy SS PHI||326||50||89||14||43||18||30||15||3||0.168||0.273||0.308|
|Kemp, Matt CF LA||285||49||76||15||51||18||63||15||4||0.202||0.267||0.311|
|Ramirez, Hanley SS FLA||269||50||91||10||46||30||53||15||1||0.132||0.338||0.412|
|Utley, Chase 2B PHI||268||51||67||11||32||36||53||14||0||0.136||0.250||0.360|
|Phillips, Brandon 2B CIN||288||33||82||6||40||13||41||13||3||0.168||0.285||0.321|
|Braun, Ryan J. LF MIL||308||52||100||16||56||21||53||13||3||0.132||0.325||0.374|
|Theriot, Ryan SS CHC||279||34||75||0||24||26||42||11||5||0.158||0.269||0.332|
|Gonzalez, Carlos OF COL||195||42||62||12||24||19||46||11||4||0.185||0.318||0.382|
|Matsui, Kazuo 2B HOU||257||29||65||7||28||15||43||10||0||0.125||0.253||0.296|
|Stubbs, Drew OF CIN||180||27||48||8||17||15||49||10||4||0.222||0.267||0.323|
|Victorino, Shane CF PHI||274||40||74||4||20||24||30||10||3||0.133||0.270||0.338|
|Velez, Eugenio 2B SF||249||38||69||5||31||16||47||10||5||0.176||0.277||0.321|
|Castillo, Luis 2B NYM||241||36||79||1||22||27||40||10||3||0.123||0.328||0.395|
|Taveras, Willy CF CIN||123||16||30||0||4||2||14||9||2||0.344||0.244||0.256|
|McLouth, Nate CF ATL||210||37||51||6||21||37||46||9||5||0.159||0.243||0.365|
|Reynolds, Mark 3B ARI||257||43||66||20||40||32||103||9||3||0.122||0.257||0.344|
A few guys that stand out in this list, based on SBO%, are no surprise to many fantasy/roto owners. The Astros Michael Bourn, the Reds Willy Taveras, and the Nationals Nyjer Morgan all attempted a SB at least 30% of the time they reached base. But Taveras owners will have to wonder if he will even have a job in 2010, due to the presence of CF prospect Drew Stubbs, who stole 10 bases in his 180 ABs. Stubbs attempted an SB 22% of the time he reached base, which tells me that Dusty Baker will let his leadoff hitter run next season. I just wonder who that will be.
A couple other guys that attempted an SB at least 20% of the time they reached base are the Dodgers Matt Kemp and the Padres Everth Cabrera. I wonder how many SBs Kemp will attempt since he will more than likely be hitting in the middle of the Dodgers lineup in 2010. I don't see a significant dropoff, as manager Joe Torre likes to be aggressive on the basepaths.
Cabrera is a speed demon who I think can steal 40+ in 2010, and possibly 50. He may hit leadoff in 2010, and the Padres will more than likely struggle to score runs again in 2010, so Cabrera should have the green light come March 2010. Feel free to spend accordingly.
The Rockies Carlos Gonzalez, or CarGo, has the potential to go 20-20 in 2010, as he appears to have reached his potential after a year and a half of mediocre production in Oakland and Colorado.
Finally, I can see Andrew McCutchen getting the green light a bit more in 2010, and could steal 35+ bases with average power.