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Buy Low On BABIP

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Yesterday, I listed the twenty starting pitchers with the best BABIP in order to see who could possibly be Sell High candidates or be pitchers to expect to have short-term difficulties. A regression to the mean BABIP of .300 would mean the pitcher gets hit hard in the near future. Today, I'll list those starting pitchers with the worst BABIPs for the opposite effects.

One thing to keep in mind, a higher BABIP could be more sustainable for those pitchers who have higher strikeout rates by defintion. A K means a ball isn't put in play. This could allow those types of pitchers to get by with a higher-than-normal BABIP. So Tim Lincecum and C.C. Sabthia may not have as much regression-to-the-mean in their future as an Ian Kennedy or Mark Buerhle might.

As a reminder, make your entry in The Worst Fantasy Baseball Season So Far by Wednesday for the chance to win an annual Baseball Prospectus subscription.

Player 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Andrew Miller 0.462 0.333 0.242 NA NA
Chad Billingsley 0.449 0.299 0.313 NA NA
Shawn Hill 0.424 0.264 0.323 NA 0.533
Matt Belisle 0.417 0.336 0.306 0.330 NA
Bronson Arroyo 0.408 0.317 0.274 0.281 0.291
Philip Hughes 0.400 0.272 NA NA NA
Jason Bergmann 0.395 0.249 0.356 0.271 NA
Luke Hochevar 0.395 0.25 NA NA NA
Dustin McGowan 0.392 0.276 0.363 0.309 NA
Dustin Moseley 0.390 0.307 0.432 NA NA
Ubaldo Jimenez 0.385 0.262 0.174 NA NA
Tim Lincecum 0.380 0.292 NA NA NA
Ian Kennedy 0.373 0.231 NA NA NA
Chris Sampson 0.373 0.294 0.212 NA NA
C.C. Sabathia 0.370 0.316 0.301 0.294 0.289
Mark Buehrle 0.368 0.292 0.313 0.295 0.299
Manny Parra 0.368 0.338 NA NA NA
Jesse Litsch 0.366 0.279 NA NA NA
Zach Duke 0.365 0.374 0.336 0.303 NA
Nick Blackburn 0.361 0.405 NA NA NA
Matt Chico 0.360 0.295 NA NA NA