After a week of looking at the spring boxscores of the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals, I decided to line-up both teams starting eight and pulling-in Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections to see which one is truly worse. The Cardinals clearly look better.
Looking at the projections for the Giants, I can't help guessing the players involved are not expected to get a lot of playing time for whatever reason - age, injury, etc. Outside of 1B Dan Ortmeier, every Giant has projected numbers worse than those they produced in the prior season. Is this a reasonable expectation?
|Adam Kennedy||3||7||22||28||0.254||Dave Roberts||3||21||27||52||0.279|
|Rick Ankiel||30||5||97||74||0.257||Kevin Frandsen||4||8||32||41||0.28|
|Albert Pujols||32||8||110||119||0.327||Randy Winn||10||9||60||67||0.293|
|Troy Glaus||21||3||68||65||0.258||Benji Molina||12||2||56||39||0.277|
|Chris Duncan||21||3||66||59||0.261||Aaron Rowand||15||8||68||67||0.279|
|Brian Barton||11||19||52||68||0.256||Ray Durham||7||5||35||35||0.250|
|Yadier Molina||5||2||35||29||0.263||Dan Ortmeier||11||16||51||56||0.251|
|Cesar Izturis||0||3||20||23||0.251||Rich Aurilia||6||2||32||29||0.266|