Here is a list of closer-in-waiting and the draft values I expect to see in AL- or NL-only keeper leagues. No set-up man will fetch more than $14. There are just not enough roster spots for all of them to reach their maximum expected value. As a result many of the $8-14 pitchers will go for less. I placed pitchers there to signal those set-up men who have the best chance to move into the closers role or those who will have that kind of dollar value as pure set-up men.
A couple of closing situations should yield a set-up man in the higher tier, but I am not sure who the back-up will be. The Brewers situation is one in particular. With Eric Gagne closing, one wouldn't be crazy to think he will continue to breakdown. That makes his back-up worth grabbing. Unfortunately, I'm not excited about either Derek Turnbow or Dave Riske.
AL-Only Draft values
$8-$14 | Joba Chamberlain | BJ Ryan | Al Reyes | Rafael Betancourt |
Octavio Dotel | Pat Neshek | Scot Shields | Brandon Morrow | |
Alan Embree | ||||
$1-7 | Hideki Okajima | Manny Delcarmen | Kyle Farnsworth | Fernando Rodney |
Greg Aquino | Jamie Walker | Masahide Kobayashi | Yasuhiko Yabuto | |
Matt Guerrier | Joaquin Benoit | Eddie Guardado | ||
NL-Only Draft values
$8-$14 | Jon Rauch | Bobby Howry | Carlos Marmol | Jonathan Broxton |
Tony Pena | ||||
$1-7 | Aaron Heilman | Tom Gordon | Pete Moylan | Matt Linstrom |
Derek Turnbow | Dave Riske | Dave Weathers | Russ Springer | |
Oscar Villareal | Damaso Marte | Chad Qualls | Heath Bell | |
Tyler Walker | Brad Hennessey | Brian Fuentes | ||