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Fantasy Football Draft Tips - Highest ADP Risers

Using the immensely informative Mock Draft Central Trend Analysis Report, I grabbed the players are the hottest movers up the ADP chart in the last week. There is no surprise that Vikings' rookie RB Adrian Peterson as he is apparently Larry Johnson circa 2005.

A look at the list shows a lot of RBs whose depth chart status is has become more clear. Donovan McNabb's inclusion can be easily explained by the answering of any health questions surrounding him. What I can't quite get is the rise of the Tampa bay Buccanneer Defense.

Maybe the Defense does not have a high Percent Drafted and a few people reached to grab them early, but that hypothesis is refuted by the latest data. The %D is 90.1 in a sample of 394 drafts, and the highest it has been taken amongst those Defense with a %D greater than 80% is the lowest in the group (137 versus 103, 104, 112 and 113.)

If there is wisdom in the fantasy drafting crowd, then the signal is clear that the Bucs will be better than expected on Defense. If that carries over to its offense, then there are sleepers on that side of the ball because I do not see the Defense remaining viable without the help the offense would give by keeping it off the field - Oakland Raiders aside.

Pro Football Prospectus' Aaron Schatz at 1PM.

Fantasy Football with Scott Engel at 3PM.

NFL with Scouts' Jeremy Green at 4PM.
Player Pos Team Current Change 1 Week Change 2 Weeks Overall Initial ADP
Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 30.9 5.6% 32.6 5.8% 34.5 11.8% 35.0
Marion Barber RB DAL 34.2 -0.1% 34.2 6.3% 36.3 6.2% 36.5
Adrian Peterson RB MIN 49.9 2.1% 50.9 18.5% 60.4 21.0% 63.2
Donovan McNabb QB PHI 52.7 0.5% 52.9 5.8% 56.0 6.4% 56.3
Brandon Jackson RB GB 67.9 11.8% 75.9 18.3% 89.8 32.3% 100.3
LaMont Jordan RB OAK 73.5 7.4% 78.9 9.8% 86.6 17.9% 89.5
DeShaun Foster RB CAR 93.8 -3.2% 90.7 8.6% 98.5 5.1% 98.8
Chris Brown RB TEN 139.5 3.3% 144.2 12.5% 162.2 16.2% 166.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers DEF TB 173.9 -0.7% 172.6 12.1% 193.6 11.3% 196.1
Tony Hunt RB PHI 187.5 -1.0% 185.6 5.9% 196.5 4.8% 197.0