Following the post about Jacksonville QB Byron Leftwich, I wanted to see the Percent Drafted figures (courtesy of Mock Draft Central) for the team. There was little doubt that both RBS would be 100% drafted, but I was surprised at how frequently WR Matt Jones is being taken. (Despite the fact, I did draft him in the SBN FFL on Monday evening.)
At 98.98%, there is little doubt that Jones is expected to be the No. 1 WR on the Jaguars. Dennis Northcut and Ernest Wilford could be very deep sleepers, but a zero %D makes my question the meaning of "could".
In addition to Jones' %D figure, I was was also surprised by QB Byron Leftwich's 49.49%. I can't see any reason for a number that high, and I like Leftwich to offer some upside value. I just can't see him offering enough to be taken in nearly 50% of the drafts. However, Pro Football Prospectus 2007 does offer some statistical support for 5th-year QB improvement, and Leftwich could help support that trend. (PFP07 also says 2nd year QBs improve, too).
Any suggestions why Jones and Leftwich have been drafted so frequently?
| Player | Pos | Team | ADP | Earliest | Latest | %D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Jones-Drew | RB | JAX | 17.48 | 12 | 27 | 100.00% |
| Fred Taylor | RB | JAX | 65.11 | 45 | 91 | 100.00% |
| Matt Jones | WR | JAX | 120.9 | 86 | -ND- | 98.98% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | DEF | JAX | 168.43 | 105 | -ND- | 81.60% |
| Reggie Williams | WR | JAX | 186.7 | 126 | -ND- | 49.49% |
| Byron Leftwich | QB | JAX | 189.1 | 129 | -ND- | 47.03% |
| Josh Scobee | K | JAX | 203.03 | 160 | -ND- | 5.73% |