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Fantasy Football Draft Tips

Here are some summary statistics based on the data I recently posted on yardage totals for each of the NFL teams. What I found particularly interesting was how few top RB1 seasons cracked the 1,000 yard barrier. Just 59.4% crossed that milestone, and, in a 16-game season, I know I was under the impression that it should be much easier to do than that stat demonstrates. Even expanding the cut-off to 900+ yards only brings the percentage to 67.2%.

The numbers for 1,000 yard receivers are even worse, and given this Golden Age of Passing, I am more surprised. Fewer than half (48.4%) of the WR1 seasons crossed to 1,000 yard marker. Expanding that 1,000 yard receiver to include WR2 worsens the number to 29.7% as just 7 in 64 seasons have done so.

For TEs, there has just been Antonio Gates' 2005 season that was over 1,000 yards, and only three 900+ seasons (Gates in 2006 and Tony Gonzalez in both years.) Even at a much lower threshhold of value (450+ yards), we only capture 43.8% of the seasons.
Stat TM Rushing Yd RB1 TM Passing YD WR1 WR2 WR3 TE1 RB1 SumTop3WR
Seasons 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64
Average 1841 1095 3495 993 658 387 459 318 2038
">1000 Yd"   38   31 7 0 1 0 64
>900 Yd   43   39 11 0 3 0 64
>700 Yd   56   56 25 1 14 2 64
>450 Yd   64   64 51 18 28 11 64
MIN 1129 451 2190 506 217 85 76 138 1336
MAX 2939 1880 4723 1563 1402 740 1101 806 3243