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AFC Stats By Position

With a couple weeks until most fantasy football drafts are finished, I am putting up the raw stats I look at when trying to determine what to expect from various players what the total yards were for each position - top RB, #1 WR, #2 WR, #3WR, #1TE and top receiving RB. Listening to various projections on different players can be put into context better if you are aware of how the yardage totals were distributed previously.

As an example, there have been a total of three 1,000+ yard second WRs amongst the 16 AFC teams (32 seasons). Projecting there will be more than one or two in 2007 goes against historical fact. My guess would be Reggie Wayne, who has two of those three 1,000+ yard seasons and T.J. Housmanzedah, who has the other. Both players are in the same systems this season as the previous two with the same supporting #1WR and QB.

Knowing there were only three 1,000+ YD #2WRs leads me to loosening the expectations of a #2. Making the cut-off 900+ YDs, only adds three more seasons. That would make the total six out of 32 seasons - 18.75%. Even lowering the threshhold to 800 or more yards adds just one more AFC #2WR.

After the #1WR receivers, there is little reason to expect big things (1,000 yard) from the second WR on most teams. So when I hear about the big things expected from Lions WRs Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson ( I know save it for the NFC version), I pause.

Rushing Yd RB1 Passing YD WR1 WR2 WR3 TE1 RB1
Buffalo
2006 1552 990 3051 1292 410 402 233 156
2005 1607 1247 2852 816 743 449 178 139
Miami
2006 1673 1008 3577 747 687 677 640 276
2005 1898 907 3458 1118 686 434 582 232
NE
2006 1969 812 3590 760 384 344 643 356
2005 1512 733 4322 998 738 466 441 260
NYJ
2006 1738 650 3352 1098 961 347 300 270
2005 1328 735 2989 845 713 251 269 155
Rushing Yd RB1 Passing YD WR1 WR2 WR3 TE1 RB1
BAL
2006 1637 1132 3535 939 750 396 765 182
2005 1605 906 3381 1073 471 132 855 292
CIN
2006 1629 1309 4066 1369 1081 605 254 213
2005 1910 1458 3935 1432 956 422 193 328
CLE
2006 1335 758 3247 884 495 228 875 169
2005 1503 1232 3023 1009 512 441 153 369
PIT
2006 2192 1494 4026 975 824 624 393 222
2005 2223 1202 3104 975 558 451 459 218
Rushing Yd RB1 Passing YD WR1 WR2 WR3 TE1 RB1
HOU
2006 1687 612 3032 1147 557 160 352 204
2005 1816 976 2661 688 492 436 168 337
IND
2006 1762 1081 4397 1366 1310 85 377 325
2005 1703 1506 4191 1146 1055 543 488 337
JAX
2006 2541 1146 3060 643 616 524 353 436
2005 1959 787 3352 1023 681 445 157 240
TEN
2006 2214 1211 2748 737 461 384 370 138
2005 1525 851 3797 738 299 299 543 327
Rushing Yd RB1 Passing YD WR1 WR2 WR3 TE1 RB1
DEN
2006 2152 1025 2995 1084 512 309 286 158
2005 2539 1014 3373 1105 770 203 481 212
KC
2006 2143 1789 3243 860 561 204 900 410
2005 2382 1750 4014 1102 533 436 905 343
OAK
2006 1519 659 2850 727 553 299 293 138
2005 1369 1025 3883 1005 942 554 303 563
SD
2006 2578 1815 3412 659 453 437 924 508
2005 2072 1462 3738 917 725 352 1101 370